UAlbany
W-L: ( 1-10) PR = 89.9938Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 8- 5 221 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 1-15 221 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 6- 8 222 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 0-10 228 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 3- 6 228 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 1- 4 301 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 6-14 306 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 1-12 307 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 4- 5 308 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 3- 4 520 A Maine AE ( 6-12, 93.1) 5-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
220 H Southern Miss 8- 5 3 -6 +++ 8.96
221 A Texas Tech 1-15 -14 -6 --- -7.52
221 A Texas Tech 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.48
222 A Texas Tech 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.52
228 A Janes Madison 3- 6 -3 -3 -0.22
228 A Michigan State 1- 4 -3 -6 + 2.72
301 H Illinois 6-14 -8 -4 - -3.52
306 H UAB 1-12 -11 -4 --- -6.79
307 A St. John's 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.83
308 A St. John's 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.83
520 A Maine 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Texas Tech 1-15 -14 -6 --- -7.52 306 H UAB 1-12 -11 -4 --- -6.79 222 A Texas Tech 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.52 301 H Illinois 6-14 -8 -4 - -3.52 520 A Maine 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Southern Miss 8- 5 3 -6 +++ 8.96 221 A Texas Tech 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.48 228 A Michigan State 1- 4 -3 -6 + 2.72 307 A St. John's 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.83 308 A St. John's 3- 4 -1 -5 + 3.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 8- 5 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 2.63 76.13
0 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 1-15 -4.11 14.32 0.68 2.63 -4.51
0 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 6- 8 -4.11 14.32 0.68 2.63 -4.51
0 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 0-10 -4.11 14.32 0.68 2.63 -4.51
0 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 3- 6 -7.80 10.63 0.68 2.63 -9.37
0 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 1- 4 -4.86 13.57 0.68 2.63 -5.50
0 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 6-14 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 2.63 -7.13
0 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 1-12 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 2.63 -7.49
0 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 4- 5 -5.75 12.68 0.68 2.63 -6.67
0 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 3- 4 -5.75 12.68 0.68 2.63 -6.67
0 A Maine ( 6-12, 93.1) 5-11 -6.82 11.60 0.68 2.63 -8.08
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11.69
|
winning pts = 76.1280 losing points = -64.4404
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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