App State
W-L: (31-23) PR = 95.1786Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 5- 2 214 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 13- 3 214 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 8- 5 217 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 5-10 220 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 9- 2 221 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 10- 0 222 H Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 9- 8 225 A East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 8- 5 227 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 6- 7 228 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 10-11 301 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 7- 9 304 A Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 8- 2 306 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 7- 4 307 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 13- 3 308 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 13- 4 310 H Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 3-13 313 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 6-10 314 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 4- 7 315 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 7- 8 320 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 7-13 321 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 10- 5 322 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 10- 6 324 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 2- 3 327 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 5- 6 328 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 6- 2 329 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4-13 331 H UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 17- 7 402 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 6-12 403 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 5- 4 404 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 10- 4 407 A UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 18- 5 410 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 13- 7 411 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 9-14 412 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 12- 4 414 A Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 4-14 417 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 10- 0 418 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 19-10 419 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 14-10 421 H East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 3- 1 424 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 16- 3 425 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 11- 5 426 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 7- 3 428 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 2- 3 502 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 13- 7 502 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5- 0 503 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 3-10 508 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4- 5 509 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 7- 2 510 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 3-12 514 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 12- 5 515 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 2- 3 516 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 2- 3 520 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 5- 6 521 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Canisius 5- 2 3 6 - -2.59
214 H Canisius 13- 3 10 6 ++ 4.41
214 H Canisius 8- 5 3 6 - -2.59
217 A Duke 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.01
220 A Long Beach State 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.38
221 H North Carolina A&T 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.28
222 H Southern Illinois 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.30
225 A East Tennessee State 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.42
227 A Gardner-Webb 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.27
228 A Gardner-Webb 10-11 -1 2 - -3.27
301 H Georgia Southern 7- 9 -2 4 -- -5.95
304 A Oakland 8- 2 6 3 + 2.64
306 H Sam Houston 7- 4 3 2 0.59
307 H Presbyterian 13- 3 10 6 ++ 4.04
308 H Presbyterian 13- 4 9 6 + 3.04
310 H Western Carolina 3-13 -10 3 --- -12.55
313 H Coastal Carolina 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.37
314 H Coastal Carolina 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.37
315 H Coastal Carolina 7- 8 -1 0 -1.37
320 A Old Dominion 7-13 -6 1 --- -7.19
321 H Georgia State 10- 5 5 2 + 2.78
322 A Old Dominion 10- 6 4 1 + 2.81
324 H High Point 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.58
327 A Southern Miss 5- 6 -1 -2 1.12
328 A Southern Miss 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.12
329 A Southern Miss 4-13 -9 -2 --- -6.88
331 H UNC Asheville 17- 7 10 7 + 2.75
402 H Marshall 6-12 -6 2 --- -8.39
403 H Marshall 5- 4 1 2 -1.39
404 H Marshall 10- 4 6 2 + 3.61
407 A UNC Asheville 18- 5 13 6 +++ 7.10
410 A Rice 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.83
411 H UL Monroe 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.24
412 H UL Monroe 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.76
414 A Western Carolina 4-14 -10 1 --- -11.19
417 A Janes Madison 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.60
418 A Janes Madison 19-10 9 2 +++ 6.60
419 A Janes Madison 14-10 4 2 1.60
421 H East Tennessee State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.07
424 H Georgia Southern 16- 3 13 4 +++ 9.05
425 H Georgia Southern 11- 5 6 4 + 2.05
426 H Georgia Southern 7- 3 4 4 0.05
428 A Wake Forest 2- 3 -1 -3 1.76
502 A Troy 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 7.72
502 A Troy 5- 0 5 -2 +++ 6.72
503 A Troy 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.28
508 H Louisiana 4- 5 -1 1 -1.77
509 H Louisiana 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.23
510 H Louisiana 3-12 -9 1 --- -9.77
514 H Old Dominion 12- 5 7 3 ++ 4.46
515 H UNC Wilmington 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.54
516 A Georgia State 2- 3 -1 1 -1.86
520 H Texas State 5- 6 -1 1 -1.84
521 A Coastal Carolina 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Western Carolina 3-13 -10 3 --- -12.55 320 A Old Dominion 7-13 -6 1 --- -7.19 329 A Southern Miss 4-13 -9 -2 --- -6.88 402 H Marshall 6-12 -6 2 --- -8.39 411 H UL Monroe 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.24 414 A Western Carolina 4-14 -10 1 --- -11.19 510 H Louisiana 3-12 -9 1 --- -9.77 217 A Duke 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.01 222 H Southern Illinois 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.30 301 H Georgia Southern 7- 9 -2 4 -- -5.95 313 H Coastal Carolina 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.37 503 A Troy 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.28 521 A Coastal Carolina 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -5.02 213 H Canisius 5- 2 3 6 - -2.59 214 H Canisius 8- 5 3 6 - -2.59 227 A Gardner-Webb 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.27 228 A Gardner-Webb 10-11 -1 2 - -3.27 314 H Coastal Carolina 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.37 324 H High Point 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.58 515 H UNC Wilmington 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Southern Miss 6- 2 4 -2 +++ 6.12 407 A UNC Asheville 18- 5 13 6 +++ 7.10 412 H UL Monroe 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.76 417 A Janes Madison 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.60 418 A Janes Madison 19-10 9 2 +++ 6.60 424 H Georgia Southern 16- 3 13 4 +++ 9.05 502 A Troy 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 7.72 502 A Troy 5- 0 5 -2 +++ 6.72 214 H Canisius 13- 3 10 6 ++ 4.41 220 A Long Beach State 9- 2 7 2 ++ 5.38 221 H North Carolina A&T 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.28 225 A East Tennessee State 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.42 307 H Presbyterian 13- 3 10 6 ++ 4.04 410 A Rice 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.83 509 H Louisiana 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.23 514 H Old Dominion 12- 5 7 3 ++ 4.46 304 A Oakland 8- 2 6 3 + 2.64 308 H Presbyterian 13- 4 9 6 + 3.04 321 H Georgia State 10- 5 5 2 + 2.78 322 A Old Dominion 10- 6 4 1 + 2.81 331 H UNC Asheville 17- 7 10 7 + 2.75 404 H Marshall 10- 4 6 2 + 3.61 421 H East Tennessee State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.07 425 H Georgia Southern 11- 5 6 4 + 2.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 5- 2 -9.64 8.79 -0.68 0.54 8.69
3 H Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 13- 3 -9.64 8.79 -0.68 0.54 8.69
3 H Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 8- 5 -9.64 8.79 -0.68 0.54 8.69
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 5-10 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.54 -1.27
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 9- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.54 12.94
3 H North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 10- 0 -9.77 8.66 -0.68 0.54 8.55
3 H Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 9- 8 -9.34 9.08 -0.68 0.54 9.01
3 A East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 8- 5 -3.98 14.45 0.68 0.54 16.20
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 6- 7 -7.67 10.76 0.68 0.54 -1.87
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 10-11 -7.67 10.76 0.68 0.54 -1.87
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 7- 9 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.54 -2.32
3 A Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 8- 2 -8.76 9.67 0.68 0.54 11.08
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 7- 4 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.54 12.09
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 13- 3 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.54 8.30
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 13- 4 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.54 8.30
3 H Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 3-13 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.54 -1.95
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 6-10 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.54 -1.36
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 4- 7 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.54 -1.36
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 7- 8 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.54 -1.36
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 7-13 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.54 -1.58
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 10- 5 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.54 12.31
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 10- 6 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.54 13.40
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 2- 3 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.54 -1.95
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 5- 6 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.54 -0.70
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 6- 2 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.54 16.96
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4-13 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.54 -0.70
3 H UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 17- 7 -11.30 7.13 -0.68 0.54 6.91
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 6-12 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.90
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 5- 4 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 12.12
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 10- 4 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 12.12
3 A UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 18- 5 -11.30 7.13 0.68 0.54 8.36
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 13- 7 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.54 14.50
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 9-14 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.54 -1.60
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 12- 4 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.54 13.35
3 A Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 4-14 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.54 -1.58
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 10- 0 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.54 12.11
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 19-10 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.54 12.11
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 14-10 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.54 12.11
3 H East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 3- 1 -3.98 14.45 -0.68 0.54 14.76
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 16- 3 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.54 10.45
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 11- 5 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.54 10.45
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 7- 3 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.54 10.45
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 2- 3 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.54 -0.52
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 13- 7 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.54 16.52
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5- 0 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.54 16.52
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 3-10 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.54 -0.80
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 4- 5 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.54 -1.47
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 7- 2 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.54 13.85
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 3-12 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.54 -1.47
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 12- 5 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.54 11.96
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 2- 3 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.54 -1.68
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 2- 3 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 5- 6 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.54 -1.49
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2- 8 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.54 -1.00
------
330.52
|
winning pts = 363.8387 losing points = -33.3163
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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