Arizona State
W-L: (38-21) PR = 97.6417Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 7- 2 214 H Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 11- 5 215 H Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 6- 4 217 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 17- 2 220 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 9- 0 221 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 3- 1 222 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 16- 6 224 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 15- 3 225 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 3- 4 227 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 4- 8 228 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 3- 5 301 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 3- 9 306 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 12- 2 307 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 9- 1 308 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 29- 4 310 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 10- 4 313 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 314 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 15- 8 315 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4- 0 318 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 4- 4 320 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 5- 4 321 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 18- 2 322 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 1-12 323 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 12-11 325 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 10- 4 327 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 14- 4 328 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 7-13 329 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5- 9 330 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 6- 2 402 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 6- 4 403 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 4- 7 404 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 15- 6 407 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 12- 3 408 A Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 5-10 410 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 4- 5 411 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 14-13 412 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 5- 2 413 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 3- 5 416 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 9-19 417 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 13- 0 418 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 12- 8 422 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 9-10 424 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 11- 2 425 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 4- 2 426 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 11- 4 501 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 9- 4 503 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 6- 3 508 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 6- 9 509 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 6-13 510 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 11- 7 514 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4-12 515 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 3-10 516 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 8- 3 521 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 10- 2 522 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 3- 7 529 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 6- 7 530 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 17- 0 530 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 17- 0 531 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 11- 8 531 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Omaha 7- 2 5 6 -1.19
214 H Omaha 11- 5 6 6 -0.19
215 H Omaha 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.19
217 A UC Santa Barbara 17- 2 15 1 +++ 13.29
220 A Seattle U 9- 0 9 6 + 2.77
221 H St. John's 3- 1 2 4 - -2.17
222 H St. John's 16- 6 10 4 ++ 5.83
224 A Oklahoma 15- 3 12 0 +++ 12.09
225 A Oklahoma 3- 4 -1 0 -0.91
227 A Mississippi State 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.63
228 H Tennessee 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.63
301 A Texas A&M 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.97
306 A Saint Mary's 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.60
307 H Loyola Marymount 9- 1 8 7 0.65
308 H Loyola Marymount 29- 4 25 7 +++ 6.65
310 H Arizona 10- 4 6 4 1.51
313 H TCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.39
314 H TCU 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.61
315 H TCU 4- 0 4 2 1.61
318 A St. John's 4- 4 0 3 - -2.81
320 A Kansas State 5- 4 1 0 0.65
321 H Central Arkansas 18- 2 16 6 +++ 8.39
322 A Kansas State 1-12 -11 0 --- -11.35
323 A UNLV 12-11 1 5 -- -4.28
325 H New Mexico State 10- 4 6 5 0.56
327 H West Virginia 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.83
328 H West Virginia 7-13 -6 0 --- -6.17
329 H West Virginia 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.17
330 H San Diego State 6- 2 4 5 -1.38
402 A Arizona 6- 4 2 3 -1.14
403 A Arizona 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.14
404 A Arizona 15- 6 9 3 ++ 5.86
407 H Cal State Fullerton 12- 3 9 5 ++ 4.39
408 A Rider 5-10 -5 3 --- -7.62
410 A Stony Brook 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.51
411 H Utah 14-13 1 4 - -2.51
412 H Utah 5- 2 3 4 -0.51
413 H Arizona 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.49
416 A BYU 9-19 -10 2 --- -12.22
417 A BYU 13- 0 13 2 +++ 10.78
418 A BYU 12- 8 4 2 1.78
422 H New Mexico State 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.44
424 H Baylor 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.40
425 H Baylor 4- 2 2 4 -1.60
426 H Baylor 11- 4 7 4 + 3.40
501 A UCF 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.03
503 A UCF 6- 3 3 1 + 2.03
508 H Oklahoma State 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.07
509 H Oklahoma State 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.07
510 H Oklahoma State 11- 7 4 1 + 2.93
514 H Rice 4-12 -8 4 --- -11.99
515 H Rice 3-10 -7 4 --- -10.99
516 A Houston 8- 3 5 2 + 2.63
521 H Cincinnati 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.45
522 A West Virginia 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.82
529 A Ole Miss 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.30
530 H South Dakota State 17- 0 17 8 +++ 6.33
530 H South Dakota State 17- 0 17 8 +++ 6.33
531 H Nebraska 11- 8 3 1 1.72
531 A Ole Miss 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.30
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Kansas State 1-12 -11 0 --- -11.35 328 H West Virginia 7-13 -6 0 --- -6.17 403 A Arizona 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.14 408 A Rider 5-10 -5 3 --- -7.62 413 H Arizona 3- 5 -2 4 --- -6.49 416 A BYU 9-19 -10 2 --- -12.22 422 H New Mexico State 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.44 509 H Oklahoma State 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.07 514 H Rice 4-12 -8 4 --- -11.99 515 H Rice 3-10 -7 4 --- -10.99 215 H Omaha 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.19 323 A UNLV 12-11 1 5 -- -4.28 329 H West Virginia 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.17 410 A Stony Brook 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.51 508 H Oklahoma State 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.07 221 H St. John's 3- 1 2 4 - -2.17 228 H Tennessee 3- 5 -2 2 - -3.63 301 A Texas A&M 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.97 313 H TCU 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.39 318 A St. John's 4- 4 0 3 - -2.81 411 H Utah 14-13 1 4 - -2.51 522 A West Virginia 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A UC Santa Barbara 17- 2 15 1 +++ 13.29 224 A Oklahoma 15- 3 12 0 +++ 12.09 306 A Saint Mary's 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.60 308 H Loyola Marymount 29- 4 25 7 +++ 6.65 321 H Central Arkansas 18- 2 16 6 +++ 8.39 327 H West Virginia 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.83 417 A BYU 13- 0 13 2 +++ 10.78 521 H Cincinnati 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.45 530 H South Dakota State 17- 0 17 8 +++ 6.33 530 H South Dakota State 17- 0 17 8 +++ 6.33 222 H St. John's 16- 6 10 4 ++ 5.83 314 H TCU 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.61 404 A Arizona 15- 6 9 3 ++ 5.86 407 H Cal State Fullerton 12- 3 9 5 ++ 4.39 424 H Baylor 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.40 501 A UCF 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.03 220 A Seattle U 9- 0 9 6 + 2.77 426 H Baylor 11- 4 7 4 + 3.40 503 A UCF 6- 3 3 1 + 2.03 510 H Oklahoma State 11- 7 4 1 + 2.93 516 A Houston 8- 3 5 2 + 2.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 7- 2 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.48 9.62
3 H Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 11- 5 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.48 9.62
3 H Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 6- 4 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.48 9.62
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 17- 2 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.48 14.90
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 9- 0 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.48 9.58
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 3- 1 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.48 11.57
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 16- 6 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.48 11.57
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 15- 3 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.48 15.68
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.48 -0.52
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 4- 8 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.48 -0.03
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 3- 5 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.48 -0.94
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 3- 9 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.48 -0.06
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 12- 2 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.48 13.28
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 9- 1 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.48 8.50
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 29- 4 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.48 8.50
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 10- 4 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.48 11.25
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.48 -1.12
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 15- 8 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.48 13.28
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4- 0 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.48 13.28
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 4- 4 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.48 0.00
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 5- 4 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.48 15.25
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 18- 2 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.48 10.18
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 1-12 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.48 -0.63
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 12-11 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.48 10.50
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 10- 4 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.48 10.35
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 14- 4 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.48 15.42
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 7-13 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.48 -0.58
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5- 9 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.48 -0.58
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 6- 2 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.48 10.40
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 6- 4 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.48 12.56
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 4- 7 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.48 -1.30
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 15- 6 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.48 12.56
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 12- 3 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.48 11.14
3 A Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 5-10 -5.56 12.87 0.68 0.48 -1.18
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 4- 5 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.48 -1.63
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 14-13 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.48 12.20
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 5- 2 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.48 12.20
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 3- 5 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.48 -1.63
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 9-19 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.48 -1.08
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 13- 0 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.48 13.45
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 12- 8 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.48 13.45
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 9-10 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.48 -1.85
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 11- 2 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.48 12.12
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 4- 2 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.48 12.12
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 11- 4 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.48 12.12
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 9- 4 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.48 14.65
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 6- 3 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.48 14.65
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 6- 9 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.48 -0.80
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 6-13 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.48 -0.80
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 11- 7 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.48 14.55
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4-12 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.48 -1.50
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 3-10 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.48 -1.50
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 8- 3 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.48 13.30
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 10- 2 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.48 14.09
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 3- 7 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.48 -0.26
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 6- 7 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.48 -0.37
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 17- 0 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.48 8.19
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 17- 0 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.48 8.19
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 11- 8 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.48 14.36
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 4- 5 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.48 -0.37
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439.50
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winning pts = 458.2533 losing points = -18.7519
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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