Little Rock
W-L: (16-12) PR = 93.9345Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 12-10 220 A St. Bonaventure A10 ( 1- 6, 87.4) 6- 1 221 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 4- 3 222 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 6- 1 224 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 5-24 227 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 5- 8 228 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 5- 7 228 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 4- 9 306 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 1- 4 306 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 8- 4 308 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 7- 2 310 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5-12 407 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 0- 7 414 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 9 505 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 0-12 520 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 7- 3 521 H Lindenwood OV ( 4- 4, 95.1) 4- 3 521 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 3- 4 522 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 7- 2 523 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 7- 5 523 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 4- 3 524 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 10- 6 529 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 7- 4 530 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 8- 6 530 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 8- 6 531 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 6- 3 605 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 2-12 606 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 2- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 H UTSA 12-10 2 -3 ++ 4.54
220 A St. Bonaventure 6- 1 5 6 -0.89
221 H West Georgia 4- 3 1 4 - -2.53
222 H West Georgia 6- 1 5 4 1.47
224 H Memphis 5-24 -19 0 --- -14.24
227 A Missouri State 5- 8 -3 -3 0.05
228 A Missouri State 5- 7 -2 -3 1.05
228 A Missouri State 4- 9 -5 -3 -1.95
306 H West Virginia 1- 4 -3 -4 0.54
306 H Tennessee 8- 4 4 -2 +++ 6.08
308 H Central Arkansas 7- 2 5 2 + 3.10
310 H Arkansas State 5-12 -7 -1 --- -6.09
407 A Arkansas 0- 7 -7 -4 - -2.74
414 A Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.59
505 H Arkansas State 0-12 -12 -1 --- -11.09
520 H Southern Indiana 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.18
521 H Lindenwood 4- 3 1 -1 1.52
521 A SIU Edwardsville 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.86
522 H Southern Indiana 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.18
523 A SIU Edwardsville 7- 5 2 2 0.14
523 A Eastern Illinois 4- 3 1 -1 1.54
524 A Eastern Illinois 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.54
529 A Southern Miss 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.37
530 A Jacksonville State 8- 6 2 -4 ++ 5.83
530 A Jacksonville State 8- 6 2 -4 ++ 5.83
531 H Jacksonville State 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 5.47
605 A Troy 2-12 -10 -3 --- -7.04
606 H Troy 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.39
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Memphis 5-24 -19 0 --- -14.24 310 H Arkansas State 5-12 -7 -1 --- -6.09 505 H Arkansas State 0-12 -12 -1 --- -11.09 605 A Troy 2-12 -10 -3 --- -7.04 414 A Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.59 221 H West Georgia 4- 3 1 4 - -2.53 407 A Arkansas 0- 7 -7 -4 - -2.74 521 A SIU Edwardsville 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.86 606 H Troy 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Tennessee 8- 4 4 -2 +++ 6.08 529 A Southern Miss 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.37 217 H UTSA 12-10 2 -3 ++ 4.54 520 H Southern Indiana 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.18 522 H Southern Indiana 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.18 524 A Eastern Illinois 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.54 530 A Jacksonville State 8- 6 2 -4 ++ 5.83 530 A Jacksonville State 8- 6 2 -4 ++ 5.83 531 H Jacksonville State 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 5.47 308 H Central Arkansas 7- 2 5 2 + 3.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 12-10 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 1.03 31.00
3 A St. Bonaventur ( 1- 6, 87.4) 6- 1 -12.53 5.90 0.68 1.03 13.58
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 4- 3 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 1.03 18.44
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 6- 1 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 1.03 18.44
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 5-24 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 1.03 -3.20
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 5- 8 -3.59 14.83 0.68 1.03 -1.51
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 5- 7 -3.59 14.83 0.68 1.03 -1.51
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 4- 9 -3.59 14.83 0.68 1.03 -1.51
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 1- 4 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 1.03 -1.25
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 8- 4 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 1.03 30.04
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 7- 2 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 1.03 21.81
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 5-12 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 1.03 -2.61
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 0- 7 -2.38 16.04 0.68 1.03 -0.88
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 3- 9 -5.24 13.19 0.68 1.03 -2.36
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 0-12 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 1.03 -2.61
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 7- 3 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 1.03 26.11
3 H Lindenwood ( 4- 4, 95.1) 4- 3 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 1.03 26.81
3 A SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 3- 4 -8.50 9.93 0.68 1.03 -4.04
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 7- 2 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 1.03 26.11
3 A SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 7- 5 -8.50 9.93 0.68 1.03 21.90
3 A Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 4- 3 -6.10 12.32 0.68 1.03 26.85
3 A Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 10- 6 -6.10 12.32 0.68 1.03 26.85
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 7- 4 -3.27 15.15 0.68 1.03 32.70
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 8- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 1.03 33.64
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 8- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 1.03 33.64
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 6- 3 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 1.03 30.85
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 2-12 -3.68 14.75 0.68 1.03 -1.55
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 2- 7 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 1.03 -2.25
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393.51
|
winning pts = 418.7798 losing points = -25.2726
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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