Arkansas Pine Bluff
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 92.4071Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 1-15 225 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 1- 5 227 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 3-11 228 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 0-10 301 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 2- 7 306 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 9- 4 307 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 5- 6 331 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 13- 3 407 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 414 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 2-12 422 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 9-10 520 A Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 6- 4 522 A Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 7- 8 523 A Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 13- 8 523 A Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 A Missouri 1-15 -14 -3 --- -11.23
225 A Missouri 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.23
227 A Arkansas State 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.21
228 A Arkansas State 0-10 -10 -4 --- -6.21
301 A Arkansas State 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.21
306 H Indiana 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 6.97
307 A Houston 5- 6 -1 -3 1.86
331 H Central Arkansas 13- 3 10 0 +++ 9.63
407 H Florida State 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.90
414 A Arkansas 2-12 -10 -6 -- -4.22
422 A Central Arkansas 9-10 -1 -1 -0.02
520 A Bethune-Cookman 6- 4 2 0 1.94
522 A Alabama State 7- 8 -1 0 -0.96
523 A Bethune-Cookman 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.94
523 A Alabama State 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Missouri 1-15 -14 -3 --- -11.23 228 A Arkansas State 0-10 -10 -4 --- -6.21 227 A Arkansas State 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.21 414 A Arkansas 2-12 -10 -6 -- -4.22 523 A Alabama State 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Indiana 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 6.97 331 H Central Arkansas 13- 3 10 0 +++ 9.63 407 H Florida State 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.90 523 A Bethune-Cookman 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.94 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 1-15 -5.40 13.03 0.68 1.93 -4.55
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 1- 5 -5.40 13.03 0.68 1.93 -4.55
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 3-11 -4.38 14.05 0.68 1.93 -3.57
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 0-10 -4.38 14.05 0.68 1.93 -3.57
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 2- 7 -4.38 14.05 0.68 1.93 -3.57
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 9- 4 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 1.93 49.77
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.30 13.12 0.68 1.93 -4.46
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 13- 3 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 1.93 40.72
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 1.93 57.20
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 2-12 -2.38 16.04 0.68 1.93 -1.65
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 9-10 -7.19 11.24 0.68 1.93 -6.28
3 A Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 6- 4 -8.23 10.20 0.68 1.93 41.92
3 A Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 7- 8 -8.13 10.30 0.68 1.93 -7.19
3 A Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 13- 8 -8.23 10.20 0.68 1.93 41.92
3 A Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 5- 8 -8.13 10.30 0.68 1.93 -7.19
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184.97
|
winning pts = 231.5385 losing points = -46.5691
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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