Auburn
W-L: (45-20) PR = 98.8739Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 2- 1 214 H Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 2- 1 214 H Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 17- 2 217 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 0- 4 220 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 5- 1 221 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 8- 5 222 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 10- 6 225 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 4- 3 227 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 8- 9 228 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 15- 4 301 A Davidson A10 ( 1- 7, 90.0) 12- 6 303 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 6- 4 306 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 10- 5 307 H Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 6- 0 307 H Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 8- 1 310 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 17- 2 313 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 2- 0 314 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 4- 3 314 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 9- 2 317 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 9- 2 320 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 4- 3 321 A Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 6- 7 322 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 0- 5 324 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 10- 0 327 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 1-11 328 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 2- 3 329 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 1- 3 331 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 3-13 402 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 10- 2 403 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 2- 3 404 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 8- 3 407 A Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 4- 2 410 A Dallas Baptist 12- 6 411 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 4- 5 412 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 11- 0 414 H Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 13- 0 416 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3- 6 417 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 5- 3 418 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 8- 5 421 A Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 14- 2 424 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 6- 4 425 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 1- 2 426 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 14- 4 502 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 5- 4 502 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 18- 5 503 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 3- 4 505 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 10- 2 507 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 3-10 508 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 5- 4 509 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 13- 2 512 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 1- 4 514 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 1-17 515 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 7- 5 516 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 14- 4 520 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 3- 1 522 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 7- 0 523 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 1- 2 529 H Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 8-13 530 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 17-13 530 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 17-13 531 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 9- 3 531 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 8- 1 601 H Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 8- 3 605 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 4- 6 606 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Youngstown State 2- 1 1 7 --- -6.42
214 H Youngstown State 2- 1 1 7 --- -6.42
214 H Youngstown State 17- 2 15 7 +++ 6.58
217 A Sam Houston 0- 4 -4 5 --- -8.76
220 H Grand Canyon 5- 1 4 6 - -2.46
221 H Florida State 8- 5 3 3 0.43
222 A Louisville 10- 6 4 2 + 2.00
225 H West Georgia 4- 3 1 8 --- -7.47
227 H Nebraska 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.51
228 H Nebraska 15- 4 11 3 +++ 8.49
301 A Davidson 12- 6 6 8 - -2.16
303 A Milwaukee 6- 4 2 4 - -2.23
306 A Rice 10- 5 5 4 1.13
307 H Winthrop 6- 0 6 7 -1.49
307 H Winthrop 8- 1 7 7 -0.49
310 H UAB 17- 2 15 5 +++ 9.33
313 A Missouri 2- 0 2 4 -1.70
314 A Missouri 4- 3 1 4 - -2.70
314 A Missouri 9- 2 7 4 + 3.30
317 H Georgia Tech 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.35
320 H Texas 4- 3 1 0 0.91
321 A Gonzaga 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.49
322 H Texas 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.09
324 H South Alabama 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.64
327 A Alabama 1-11 -10 1 --- -11.12
328 A Alabama 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.12
329 A Alabama 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.12
331 A Georgia Tech 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.30
402 H Arkansas 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.97
403 H Arkansas 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.03
404 H Arkansas 8- 3 5 2 + 2.97
407 A Samford 4- 2 2 3 -1.45
411 H Kentucky 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.63
412 H Kentucky 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.37
414 H Alabama State 13- 0 13 8 ++ 5.22
416 A Florida 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.93
417 A Florida 5- 3 2 0 + 2.07
418 A Florida 8- 5 3 0 + 3.07
421 A Samford 14- 2 12 3 +++ 8.55
424 H Oklahoma 6- 4 2 2 -0.49
425 H Oklahoma 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.49
426 H Oklahoma 14- 4 10 2 +++ 7.51
502 A Texas A&M 5- 4 1 -1 1.79
502 A Texas A&M 18- 5 13 -1 +++ 13.79
503 A Texas A&M 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.21
505 A UAB 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.68
507 A Mississippi State 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.86
508 A Mississippi State 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.14
509 A Mississippi State 13- 2 11 -1 +++ 12.14
512 A Jacksonville State 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.11
514 A Florida International 1-17 -16 5 --- -19.42
515 A Florida International 7- 5 2 5 - -3.42
516 H Georgia 14- 4 10 1 +++ 9.40
520 H LSU 3- 1 2 3 -0.54
522 A Texas A&M 7- 0 7 -1 +++ 7.79
523 H Arkansas 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.03
529 H Milwaukee 8-13 -5 6 --- -10.58
530 A NC State 17-13 4 2 + 2.18
530 A NC State 17-13 4 2 + 2.18
531 H UCF 9- 3 6 4 + 2.44
531 A Milwaukee 8- 1 7 4 + 2.77
601 H Milwaukee 8- 3 5 6 -0.58
605 H Ole Miss 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.88
606 A Ole Miss 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.53
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Youngstown State 2- 1 1 7 --- -6.42 214 H Youngstown State 2- 1 1 7 --- -6.42 217 A Sam Houston 0- 4 -4 5 --- -8.76 225 H West Georgia 4- 3 1 8 --- -7.47 327 A Alabama 1-11 -10 1 --- -11.12 331 A Georgia Tech 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.30 514 A Florida International 1-17 -16 5 --- -19.42 529 H Milwaukee 8-13 -5 6 --- -10.58 322 H Texas 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.09 411 H Kentucky 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.63 507 A Mississippi State 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.86 512 A Jacksonville State 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.11 220 H Grand Canyon 5- 1 4 6 - -2.46 227 H Nebraska 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.51 301 A Davidson 12- 6 6 8 - -2.16 303 A Milwaukee 6- 4 2 4 - -2.23 314 A Missouri 4- 3 1 4 - -2.70 321 A Gonzaga 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.49 328 A Alabama 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.12 329 A Alabama 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.12 403 H Arkansas 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.03 416 A Florida 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.93 425 H Oklahoma 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.49 515 A Florida International 7- 5 2 5 - -3.42 523 H Arkansas 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.03 605 H Ole Miss 4- 6 -2 2 - -3.88 606 A Ole Miss 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Youngstown State 17- 2 15 7 +++ 6.58 228 H Nebraska 15- 4 11 3 +++ 8.49 310 H UAB 17- 2 15 5 +++ 9.33 317 H Georgia Tech 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.35 412 H Kentucky 11- 0 11 4 +++ 7.37 421 A Samford 14- 2 12 3 +++ 8.55 426 H Oklahoma 14- 4 10 2 +++ 7.51 502 A Texas A&M 18- 5 13 -1 +++ 13.79 509 A Mississippi State 13- 2 11 -1 +++ 12.14 516 H Georgia 14- 4 10 1 +++ 9.40 522 A Texas A&M 7- 0 7 -1 +++ 7.79 324 H South Alabama 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.64 402 H Arkansas 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.97 414 H Alabama State 13- 0 13 8 ++ 5.22 505 A UAB 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.68 222 A Louisville 10- 6 4 2 + 2.00 314 A Missouri 9- 2 7 4 + 3.30 404 H Arkansas 8- 3 5 2 + 2.97 417 A Florida 5- 3 2 0 + 2.07 418 A Florida 8- 5 3 0 + 3.07 508 A Mississippi State 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.14 530 A NC State 17-13 4 2 + 2.18 530 A NC State 17-13 4 2 + 2.18 531 H UCF 9- 3 6 4 + 2.44 531 A Milwaukee 8- 1 7 4 + 2.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 2- 1 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.45 9.02
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 2- 1 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.45 9.02
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 17- 2 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.45 9.02
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 0- 4 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.45 -1.31
3 H Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 5- 1 -6.81 11.62 -0.68 0.45 9.89
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 8- 5 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.45 13.41
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 10- 6 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.45 13.92
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 4- 3 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.45 8.07
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 8- 9 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.45 -0.80
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 15- 4 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.45 13.46
3 A Davidson ( 1- 7, 90.0) 12- 6 -9.86 8.57 0.68 0.45 8.35
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 6- 4 -5.93 12.50 0.68 0.45 11.90
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 10- 5 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.45 12.23
3 H Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 6- 0 -7.84 10.58 -0.68 0.45 8.96
3 H Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 8- 1 -7.84 10.58 -0.68 0.45 8.96
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 17- 2 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.45 11.50
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 2- 0 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.45 12.39
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 4- 3 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.45 12.39
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 9- 2 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.45 12.39
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 9- 2 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.45 16.04
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 4- 3 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.45 15.65
3 A Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 6- 7 -4.20 14.23 0.68 0.45 -0.80
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 0- 5 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.45 -0.25
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 10- 0 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.45 11.79
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 1-11 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 -0.48
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 2- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 -0.48
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 -0.48
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 3-13 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.45 -0.15
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 10- 2 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.45 13.89
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 2- 3 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.45 -0.69
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 8- 3 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.45 13.89
3 A Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 4- 2 -5.15 13.27 0.68 0.45 12.61
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 4- 5 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.45 -1.05
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 11- 0 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.45 12.44
3 H Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 13- 0 -8.13 10.30 -0.68 0.45 8.69
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3- 6 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.45 -0.22
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 5- 3 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.45 15.79
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 8- 5 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.45 15.79
3 A Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 14- 2 -5.15 13.27 0.68 0.45 12.61
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 6- 4 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.45 13.48
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 1- 2 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.45 -0.79
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 14- 4 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.45 13.48
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 5- 4 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.45 16.44
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 18- 5 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.45 16.44
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 3- 4 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.45 -0.05
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 10- 2 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.45 12.72
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 3-10 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.45 -0.03
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 5- 4 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.45 16.76
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 13- 2 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.45 16.76
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 1- 4 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 -0.48
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 1-17 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.45 -1.46
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 7- 5 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.45 10.83
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 14- 4 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.45 15.18
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 3- 1 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.45 13.43
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 7- 0 -0.91 17.52 0.68 0.45 16.44
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 1- 2 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.45 -0.69
3 H Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 8-13 -5.93 12.50 -0.68 0.45 -1.49
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 17-13 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.45 14.08
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 17-13 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.45 14.08
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 9- 3 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.45 12.51
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 8- 1 -5.93 12.50 0.68 0.45 11.90
3 H Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 8- 3 -5.93 12.50 -0.68 0.45 10.68
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 4- 6 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.45 -0.66
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 5 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.45 -0.35
------
546.55
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winning pts = 559.2693 losing points = -12.7227
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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