Ball State
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 91.3765Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 4- 3 214 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 8- 2 214 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 5- 2 215 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 0- 8 226 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 1- 6 227 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 0-12 301 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 0- 3 310 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 3-10 318 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 10- 2 331 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 12-13 407 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 4- 8 414 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 5- 8 421 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 10-20 520 A Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 2- 8 521 A Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 6- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H St. John's 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.10
214 H St. John's 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 8.10
214 A Stetson 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.06
215 A Minnesota 0- 8 -8 -7 -1.36
226 A Hawai'i 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.05
227 A Hawai'i 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.05
301 H Texas State 0- 3 -3 -3 -0.04
310 A Kentucky 3-10 -7 -5 -1.78
318 A UNC Greensboro 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 9.24
331 H Xavier 12-13 -1 -2 0.54
407 H East Carolina 4- 8 -4 -5 0.68
414 A Butler 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.83
421 H Indiana 10-20 -10 -3 --- -7.00
520 A Toledo 2- 8 -6 -3 - -3.43
521 A Western Michigan 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Hawai'i 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.05 421 H Indiana 10-20 -10 -3 --- -7.00 226 A Hawai'i 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.05 520 A Toledo 2- 8 -6 -3 - -3.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H St. John's 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 8.10 318 A UNC Greensboro 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 9.24 214 A Stetson 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.06 213 H St. John's 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 4- 3 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 1.93 46.28
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 8- 2 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 1.93 46.28
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 5- 2 -7.14 11.29 0.68 1.93 46.14
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 0- 8 -2.56 15.86 0.68 1.93 -1.82
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 1- 6 -6.25 12.18 0.68 1.93 -5.37
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 0-12 -6.25 12.18 0.68 1.93 -5.37
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 0- 3 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 1.93 -5.36
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 3-10 -3.98 14.44 0.68 1.93 -3.19
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 10- 2 -7.96 10.46 0.68 1.93 42.96
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 12-13 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 1.93 -6.73
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 4- 8 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 1.93 -3.70
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 5- 8 -8.03 10.39 0.68 1.93 -7.09
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 10-20 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 1.93 -5.32
3 A Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 2- 8 -6.63 11.80 0.68 1.93 -5.74
3 A Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 6- 8 -7.39 11.04 0.68 1.93 -6.47
------
125.50
|
winning pts = 181.6631 losing points = -56.1622
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------