Baylor
W-L: (26-27) PR = 94.7215Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 15- 2 214 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 5- 2 215 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 7- 3 217 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 14- 8 220 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 1- 2 221 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 5- 6 222 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 1- 5 224 H Stephen F. Austin SL ( 1- 7, 90.8) 9- 8 227 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 6- 5 228 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2- 5 302 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 6- 7 303 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 5- 6 306 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 7- 4 308 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 6- 1 310 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 13- 5 313 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 7- 6 314 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 2-13 315 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 0- 8 317 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 3-13 320 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 6- 4 321 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 3- 5 322 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 6-13 324 H Incarnate Word SL ( 2- 4, 91.9) 16- 7 327 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 6- 2 328 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 10- 3 329 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 14- 7 331 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 1- 5 402 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 12- 5 403 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 4-10 404 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 3- 1 407 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 5- 9 410 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 1- 1 411 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 0- 8 414 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 10- 9 417 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 11- 4 419 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 419 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 2-10 421 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 5- 7 424 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 2-11 425 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 2- 4 426 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 4-11 428 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 6- 2 502 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 8- 1 502 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 10- 9 503 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 3- 8 505 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6- 9 508 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 0- 8 509 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 3-19 510 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 8- 7 514 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 7-14 515 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 10- 6 516 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 11-10 520 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 13- 9 521 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H New Mexico State 15- 2 13 3 +++ 10.48
214 H New Mexico State 5- 2 3 3 0.48
215 H New Mexico State 7- 3 4 3 1.48
217 A TCU 14- 8 6 -2 +++ 7.88
220 A TCU 1- 2 -1 -2 0.88
221 A Purdue 5- 6 -1 -2 1.30
222 H Southern Miss 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.77
224 H Stephen F. Austin 9- 8 1 5 - -3.58
227 A Ole Miss 6- 5 1 -4 ++ 4.62
228 A Texas 2- 5 -3 -5 + 2.42
302 A Stony Brook 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.59
303 H Nicholls 5- 6 -1 5 --- -6.40
306 A Sacramento State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.82
308 H Air Force 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.50
310 H Sam Houston 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.04
313 H West Virginia 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.75
314 H West Virginia 2-13 -11 -3 --- -8.25
315 H West Virginia 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.25
317 H Kansas State 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.78
320 A Oklahoma State 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 5.20
321 H Saint Mary's 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.83
322 A Oklahoma State 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.80
324 H Incarnate Word 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.53
327 A Houston 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.55
328 A Houston 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 7.55
329 A Houston 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 7.55
331 H Tarleton State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.57
402 H BYU 12- 5 7 1 +++ 6.35
403 H BYU 4-10 -6 1 --- -6.65
404 H BYU 3- 1 2 1 1.35
407 H Oklahoma State 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.15
410 H Delaware 1- 1 0 3 - -3.26
411 A Cincinnati 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.28
414 H UTSA 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.76
417 H TCU 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.53
419 H TCU 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.47
419 H TCU 2-10 -8 -1 --- -7.47
421 A Sam Houston 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.60
424 A Arizona State 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.40
425 A Arizona State 2- 4 -2 -4 1.60
426 A Arizona State 4-11 -7 -4 - -3.40
428 H UT Arlington 6- 2 4 2 1.99
502 H Texas Tech 8- 1 7 0 +++ 7.40
502 H Texas Tech 10- 9 1 0 1.40
503 H Texas Tech 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.60
505 A Texas State 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.03
508 H UCF 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.40
509 H UCF 3-19 -16 -1 --- -13.40
510 H UCF 8- 7 1 -1 1.60
514 H Southern Miss 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.77
515 H New Mexico State 10- 6 4 3 1.48
516 A Utah 11-10 1 -1 1.76
520 H BYU 13- 9 4 1 + 3.35
521 A Kansas 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.09
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Nicholls 5- 6 -1 5 --- -6.40 314 H West Virginia 2-13 -11 -3 --- -8.25 317 H Kansas State 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.78 403 H BYU 4-10 -6 1 --- -6.65 419 H TCU 2-10 -8 -1 --- -7.47 508 H UCF 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.40 509 H UCF 3-19 -16 -1 --- -13.40 315 H West Virginia 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.25 331 H Tarleton State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.57 411 A Cincinnati 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.28 424 A Arizona State 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.40 503 H Texas Tech 3- 8 -5 0 -- -4.60 514 H Southern Miss 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.77 222 H Southern Miss 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.77 224 H Stephen F. Austin 9- 8 1 5 - -3.58 302 A Stony Brook 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.59 321 H Saint Mary's 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.83 322 A Oklahoma State 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.80 407 H Oklahoma State 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.15 410 H Delaware 1- 1 0 3 - -3.26 421 A Sam Houston 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.60 426 A Arizona State 4-11 -7 -4 - -3.40 505 A Texas State 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H New Mexico State 15- 2 13 3 +++ 10.48 217 A TCU 14- 8 6 -2 +++ 7.88 310 H Sam Houston 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.04 328 A Houston 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 7.55 329 A Houston 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 7.55 402 H BYU 12- 5 7 1 +++ 6.35 417 H TCU 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.53 502 H Texas Tech 8- 1 7 0 +++ 7.40 227 A Ole Miss 6- 5 1 -4 ++ 4.62 308 H Air Force 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.50 320 A Oklahoma State 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 5.20 324 H Incarnate Word 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.53 327 A Houston 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.55 228 A Texas 2- 5 -3 -5 + 2.42 306 A Sacramento State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.82 313 H West Virginia 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.75 414 H UTSA 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.76 520 H BYU 13- 9 4 1 + 3.35 521 A Kansas 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 15- 2 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.54 11.49
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 5- 2 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.54 11.49
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 7- 3 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.54 11.49
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 14- 8 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.54 16.21
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 1- 2 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.54 -0.88
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 5- 6 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 -0.77
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 1- 5 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.54 -1.06
3 H Stephen F. Aus ( 1- 7, 90.8) 9- 8 -9.08 9.34 -0.68 0.54 9.28
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 6- 5 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.54 18.07
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2- 5 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.54 -0.06
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 6- 7 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.54 -1.81
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 5- 6 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.54 -2.83
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 7- 4 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.54 15.07
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 6- 1 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 0.54 13.66
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 13- 5 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.54 12.09
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 7- 6 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.54 17.14
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 2-13 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.54 -0.65
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 0- 8 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.54 -0.65
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 3-13 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.54 -1.06
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 6- 4 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.54 17.62
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 3- 5 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.54 -1.61
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 6-13 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.54 -0.53
3 H Incarnate Word ( 2- 4, 91.9) 16- 7 -7.98 10.45 -0.68 0.54 10.47
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 6- 2 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.54 14.78
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 10- 3 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.54 14.78
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 14- 7 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.54 14.78
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 1- 5 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 0.54 -1.54
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 12- 5 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.54 13.50
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 4-10 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.54 -1.56
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.54 13.50
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 5- 9 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.54 -0.89
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 1- 1 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.54 0.00
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 0- 8 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.54 -0.66
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 10- 9 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.54 16.07
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 11- 4 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.54 14.76
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4- 5 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.54 -1.24
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 2-10 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.54 -1.24
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 5- 7 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.54 -1.55
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 2-11 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.54 -0.42
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 2- 4 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.54 -0.42
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 4-11 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.54 -0.42
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 6- 2 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.54 12.04
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 8- 1 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.54 14.61
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 10- 9 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.54 14.61
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 3- 8 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.54 -1.28
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6- 9 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.54 -1.13
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 0- 8 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.54 -1.23
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 3-19 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.54 -1.23
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 8- 7 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.54 14.83
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 7-14 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.54 -1.06
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 10- 6 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.54 11.49
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 11-10 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.54 15.01
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 13- 9 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.54 13.50
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 7- 8 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.54 -0.56
------
334.00
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winning pts = 362.3501 losing points = -28.3530
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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