Bellarmine
W-L: (18-33) PR = 91.1596Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 2- 8 214 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 6- 3 214 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 5-15 220 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 1- 2 221 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 3- 9 222 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 8-18 224 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 3- 8 227 A Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 3-13 228 A Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 0- 8 228 A Saint Louis A10 ( 3- 6, 92.1) 4- 6 306 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 4-15 307 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 2- 4 307 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 8- 2 310 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 17-10 313 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 9-15 314 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 9- 8 315 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 3-12 318 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 3- 8 320 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 12-17 321 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 5- 3 322 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 7- 8 324 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 7- 6 327 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 16- 6 328 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4- 7 329 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 12- 9 331 A Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 15-12 402 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 4- 9 403 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 17-10 403 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 9- 5 406 A Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 8- 9 407 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 7- 9 410 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 10- 3 411 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 14-10 412 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 11- 9 414 A Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 3-13 417 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 2- 5 417 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 6-16 419 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 5-10 421 A Dayton A10 ( 4- 4, 93.1) 8- 6 424 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 2-13 425 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 7-14 426 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 3- 6 501 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 3-13 502 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 15- 8 503 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 9- 6 508 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 4- 6 509 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 1- 2 512 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 7-14 514 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 11- 8 515 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 3- 6 517 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 4- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Middle Tennessee 2- 8 -6 -3 - -3.05
214 A Middle Tennessee 6- 3 3 -3 ++ 5.95
214 A Middle Tennessee 5-15 -10 -3 --- -7.05
220 H Middle Tennessee 1- 2 -1 -2 0.60
221 A Georgia State 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.85
222 A Georgia State 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.85
224 A Tennessee 3- 8 -5 -6 1.21
227 A Saint Louis 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.41
228 A Saint Louis 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.41
228 A Saint Louis 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.41
306 H LSU 4-15 -11 -5 -- -5.83
307 A Eastern Illinois 2- 4 -2 -3 1.31
307 A Eastern Illinois 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 9.31
310 H Butler 17-10 7 0 +++ 7.03
313 H Austin Peay 9-15 -6 -1 -- -5.08
314 H Austin Peay 9- 8 1 -1 1.92
315 H Austin Peay 3-12 -9 -1 --- -8.08
318 A Ohio State 3- 8 -5 -5 -0.45
320 A Central Arkansas 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.77
321 H Michigan State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.21
322 A Central Arkansas 7- 8 -1 -2 1.23
324 H Northern Kentucky 7- 6 1 2 -1.31
327 H North Alabama 16- 6 10 -2 +++ 11.57
328 H North Alabama 4- 7 -3 -2 -1.43
329 H North Alabama 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 4.57
331 A Northern Kentucky 15-12 3 1 + 2.04
402 H Lipscomb 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.59
403 H Penn State 17-10 7 0 +++ 6.88
403 H Lipscomb 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.41
406 A Southern Indiana 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.30
407 A St. John's 7- 9 -2 -4 1.67
410 H Florida International 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 7.94
411 A Eastern Kentucky 14-10 4 -1 ++ 4.73
412 A Eastern Kentucky 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.73
414 A Morehead State 3-13 -10 -5 -- -5.25
417 A Austin Peay 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.72
417 A Austin Peay 6-16 -10 -2 --- -7.72
419 A Austin Peay 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.72
421 A Dayton 8- 6 2 -3 ++ 4.58
424 H Central Arkansas 2-13 -11 -1 --- -10.13
425 H Central Arkansas 7-14 -7 -1 --- -6.13
426 H Central Arkansas 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.13
501 A North Alabama 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.08
502 A North Alabama 15- 8 7 -3 +++ 9.92
503 A North Alabama 9- 6 3 -3 ++ 5.92
508 A Lipscomb 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.24
509 A Lipscomb 1- 2 -1 -2 0.76
512 A Louisville 7-14 -7 -6 -1.28
514 A Rutgers 11- 8 3 -3 +++ 6.41
515 A Notre Dame 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.41
517 H Eastern Kentucky 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.62
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Middle Tennessee 5-15 -10 -3 --- -7.05 222 A Georgia State 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.85 227 A Saint Louis 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.41 228 A Saint Louis 0- 8 -8 -2 --- -6.41 315 H Austin Peay 3-12 -9 -1 --- -8.08 417 A Austin Peay 6-16 -10 -2 --- -7.72 424 H Central Arkansas 2-13 -11 -1 --- -10.13 425 H Central Arkansas 7-14 -7 -1 --- -6.13 501 A North Alabama 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.08 306 H LSU 4-15 -11 -5 -- -5.83 313 H Austin Peay 9-15 -6 -1 -- -5.08 402 H Lipscomb 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.59 414 A Morehead State 3-13 -10 -5 -- -5.25 517 H Eastern Kentucky 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.62 213 A Middle Tennessee 2- 8 -6 -3 - -3.05 221 A Georgia State 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.85 320 A Central Arkansas 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.77 419 A Austin Peay 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.72 426 H Central Arkansas 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Eastern Illinois 8- 2 6 -3 +++ 9.31 310 H Butler 17-10 7 0 +++ 7.03 327 H North Alabama 16- 6 10 -2 +++ 11.57 403 H Penn State 17-10 7 0 +++ 6.88 410 H Florida International 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 7.94 502 A North Alabama 15- 8 7 -3 +++ 9.92 514 A Rutgers 11- 8 3 -3 +++ 6.41 214 A Middle Tennessee 6- 3 3 -3 ++ 5.95 321 H Michigan State 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.21 329 H North Alabama 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 4.57 403 H Lipscomb 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.41 411 A Eastern Kentucky 14-10 4 -1 ++ 4.73 421 A Dayton 8- 6 2 -3 ++ 4.58 503 A North Alabama 9- 6 3 -3 ++ 5.92 331 A Northern Kentucky 15-12 3 1 + 2.04 406 A Southern Indiana 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.30 412 A Eastern Kentucky 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.73 515 A Notre Dame 3- 6 -3 -5 + 2.41 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 2- 8 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.57 -1.64
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 6- 3 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.57 14.33
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 5-15 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.57 -1.64
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 1- 2 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.57 -2.03
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 3- 9 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.57 -1.58
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 8-18 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.57 -1.58
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 3- 8 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.57 -0.72
3 A Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 3-13 -7.83 10.60 0.68 0.57 -2.03
3 A Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 0- 8 -7.83 10.60 0.68 0.57 -2.03
3 A Saint Louis ( 3- 6, 92.1) 4- 6 -7.83 10.60 0.68 0.57 -2.03
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 4-15 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.57 -1.01
3 A Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 2- 4 -6.10 12.32 0.68 0.57 -1.54
3 A Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 8- 2 -6.10 12.32 0.68 0.57 14.74
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 17-10 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.57 11.02
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 9-15 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.57 -2.22
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 9- 8 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.57 12.03
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 3-12 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.57 -2.22
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 3- 8 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.57 -1.19
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 12-17 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.57 -1.85
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 5- 3 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.57 14.62
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 7- 8 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.57 -1.85
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 7- 6 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.57 8.36
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 16- 6 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.57 12.76
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 4- 7 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.57 -2.03
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 12- 9 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.57 12.76
3 A Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 15-12 -10.38 8.05 0.68 0.57 9.90
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 4- 9 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.57 -2.36
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 17-10 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.57 10.85
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 9- 5 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.57 11.45
3 A Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 8- 9 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.57 -1.26
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 7- 9 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.57 -1.44
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 10- 3 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.57 12.06
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 14-10 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.57 11.81
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 11- 9 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.57 11.81
3 A Morehead State ( 7- 4, 95.2) 3-13 -4.67 13.76 0.68 0.57 -1.13
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 2- 5 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.57 -1.83
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 6-16 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.57 -1.83
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 5-10 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.57 -1.83
3 A Dayton ( 4- 4, 93.1) 8- 6 -6.84 11.59 0.68 0.57 13.91
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 2-13 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.57 -2.23
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 7-14 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.57 -2.23
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 3- 6 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.57 -2.23
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 3-13 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.57 -1.65
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 15- 8 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.57 14.29
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 9- 6 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.57 14.29
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 4- 6 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.57 -1.98
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 1- 2 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.57 -1.98
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 7-14 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.57 -0.86
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 11- 8 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.57 14.85
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 3- 6 -4.01 14.42 0.68 0.57 -0.94
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 4- 9 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.57 -2.65
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168.24
|
winning pts = 225.8605 losing points = -57.6240
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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