UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Belmont
  
Belmont               
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 91.7443

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4- 2 224 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 2- 8 227 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 1- 4 228 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 8- 7 228 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 16- 3 301 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 2- 4 304 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 8-10 313 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 3-13 314 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 10- 4 315 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 2-12 318 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 2- 9 324 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 1- 4 331 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 3-11 407 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 8- 9 414 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 8-10 512 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 1-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Georgia State           4- 2       2    -3    ++     4.57
   224 A Lipscomb                2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.82
   227 H Georgia State           1- 4      -3    -1          -1.78
   228 H Georgia State           8- 7       1    -1    +      2.22
   228 H Georgia State          16- 3      13    -1    +++   14.22
   301 A Seton Hall              2- 4      -2     1    -     -2.61
   304 H Iowa                    8-10      -2    -3           1.41
   313 A UAB                     3-13     -10    -4    ---   -6.19
   314 A UAB                    10- 4       6    -4    +++    9.81
   315 A UAB                     2-12     -10    -4    ---   -6.19
   318 A Clemson                 2- 9      -7    -5    -     -2.43
   324 H Lipscomb                1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.18
   331 A Vanderbilt              3-11      -8    -6          -1.95
   407 A Western Kentucky        8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.29
   414 H Middle Tennessee        8-10      -2    -1          -0.99
   512 A Tennessee               1-11     -10    -6    --    -4.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A UAB                     3-13     -10    -4    ---   -6.19
   315 A UAB                     2-12     -10    -4    ---   -6.19
   224 A Lipscomb                2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.82
   512 A Tennessee               1-11     -10    -6    --    -4.38
   301 A Seton Hall              2- 4      -2     1    -     -2.61
   318 A Clemson                 2- 9      -7    -5    -     -2.43
   324 H Lipscomb                1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Georgia State          16- 3      13    -1    +++   14.22
   314 A UAB                    10- 4       6    -4    +++    9.81
   217 A Georgia State           4- 2       2    -3    ++     4.57
   228 H Georgia State           8- 7       1    -1    +      2.22
   407 A Western Kentucky        8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.29

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Georgia State   (26-30, 93.6)     4- 2       -6.26      12.16       0.68         1.81            46.42
   3 A Lipscomb        (32-22, 92.2)     2- 8       -7.65      10.77       0.68         1.81            -6.31
   3 H Georgia State   (26-30, 93.6)     1- 4       -6.26      12.16      -0.68         1.81            -6.27
   3 H Georgia State   (26-30, 93.6)     8- 7       -6.26      12.16      -0.68         1.81            41.53
   3 H Georgia State   (26-30, 93.6)    16- 3       -6.26      12.16      -0.68         1.81            41.53
   3 A Seton Hall      (16-31, 90.5)     2- 4       -9.44       8.99       0.68         1.81            -7.92
   3 H Iowa            (34-21, 95.8)     8-10       -4.07      14.36      -0.68         1.81            -4.29
   3 A UAB             (31-27, 94.9)     3-13       -5.02      13.40       0.68         1.81            -3.93
   3 A UAB             (31-27, 94.9)    10- 4       -5.02      13.40       0.68         1.81            50.89
   3 A UAB             (31-27, 94.9)     2-12       -5.02      13.40       0.68         1.81            -3.93
   3 A Clemson         (32-25, 95.6)     2- 9       -4.26      14.17       0.68         1.81            -3.24
   3 H Lipscomb        (32-22, 92.2)     1- 4       -7.65      10.77      -0.68         1.81            -7.53
   3 A Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     3-11       -2.78      15.65       0.68         1.81            -1.90
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     8- 9       -5.55      12.88       0.68         1.81            -4.40
   3 H Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     8-10       -6.47      11.96      -0.68         1.81            -6.46
   3 A Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     1-11       -3.21      15.22       0.68         1.81            -2.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       121.92

winning pts = 180.3761 losing points = -58.4576

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------