Butler
W-L: (23-30) PR = 91.8670Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A UT Martin OV ( 3- 4, 89.6) 10- 7 213 A UT Martin OV ( 3- 4, 89.6) 8- 9 214 A UT Martin OV ( 3- 4, 89.6) 11-13 217 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 10- 6 218 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 12- 5 220 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 0-13 221 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 4- 6 221 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 2- 3 227 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 3- 4 228 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 7- 2 301 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 1- 3 306 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 20- 4 306 A Southern SWAC ( 2- 7, 86.1) 6- 1 307 H Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 8-11 308 H Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 4- 9 310 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 10-17 312 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 3-27 313 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 8-14 314 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 1-30 314 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 318 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 14-12 320 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 0-11 321 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 3- 7 322 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 4-14 324 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 11- 1 328 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 6- 2 328 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 3-10 329 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 8- 7 402 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 8- 6 403 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 7- 5 404 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 10- 1 407 A Massachusetts at Amher MA ( 0- 2, 81.8) 14- 1 410 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 5- 3 411 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 1- 3 412 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 0-13 414 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 5 417 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 11-12 418 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 6- 0 419 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 5-14 421 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 6-11 424 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 0- 6 425 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 5- 6 426 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 2-12 428 H Bowling Green MA ( 1- 7, 91.3) 3- 0 501 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 8- 3 502 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 15- 6 503 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 9- 2 508 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 2- 5 509 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 10-12 510 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 2- 9 514 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 7- 0 515 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 2- 1 516 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A UT Martin 10- 7 3 2 1.46
213 A UT Martin 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.54
214 A UT Martin 11-13 -2 2 - -3.54
217 H Kentucky 10- 6 4 -3 +++ 7.37
218 A Portland 12- 5 7 -2 +++ 9.08
220 H Janes Madison 0-13 -13 0 --- -13.44
221 A Murray State 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.38
221 A Murray State 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.38
227 A Marshall 3- 4 -1 -2 1.27
228 A Marshall 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 7.27
301 A Marshall 1- 3 -2 -2 0.27
306 A Northeastern 20- 4 16 -3 +++ 17.24
306 A Southern 6- 1 5 5 -0.06
307 H Morehead State 8-11 -3 -3 -0.31
308 H Morehead State 4- 9 -5 -3 - -2.31
310 A Bellarmine 10-17 -7 0 --- -7.03
312 A Wichita State 3-27 -24 -3 --- -10.61
313 A Wichita State 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.61
314 A Wichita State 1-30 -29 -3 --- -10.61
314 A Wichita State 4- 6 -2 -3 1.39
318 H Janes Madison 14-12 2 0 1.56
320 A Ohio State 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.16
321 H UT Arlington 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.15
322 A Ohio State 4-14 -10 -4 --- -6.16
324 H Toledo 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.73
328 A Milwaukee 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 6.78
328 A Milwaukee 3-10 -7 -3 -- -4.22
329 A Milwaukee 8- 7 1 -3 + 3.78
402 A Villanova 8- 6 2 1 1.13
403 A Villanova 7- 5 2 1 1.13
404 A Villanova 10- 1 9 1 +++ 8.13
407 A Massachusetts at Amher 14- 1 13 9 + 3.59
410 A South Florida 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.39
411 H UConn 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.19
412 H UConn 0-13 -13 -2 --- -11.19
414 H Ball State 8- 5 3 1 1.83
417 H Georgetown 11-12 -1 1 - -2.42
418 H Georgetown 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.58
419 H Georgetown 5-14 -9 1 --- -10.42
421 A Eastern Illinois 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.40
424 A Creighton 0- 6 -6 -3 - -2.78
425 A Creighton 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.22
426 A Creighton 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.78
428 H Bowling Green 3- 0 3 1 1.79
501 H Seton Hall 8- 3 5 2 + 2.92
502 H Seton Hall 15- 6 9 2 +++ 6.92
503 H Seton Hall 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.92
508 H Xavier 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.95
509 H Xavier 10-12 -2 -1 -0.95
510 H Xavier 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.95
514 H Stony Brook 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.92
515 H Stony Brook 2- 1 1 0 0.92
516 A St. John's 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.04
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Janes Madison 0-13 -13 0 --- -13.44 310 A Bellarmine 10-17 -7 0 --- -7.03 312 A Wichita State 3-27 -24 -3 --- -10.61 314 A Wichita State 1-30 -29 -3 --- -10.61 320 A Ohio State 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.16 322 A Ohio State 4-14 -10 -4 --- -6.16 412 H UConn 0-13 -13 -2 --- -11.19 419 H Georgetown 5-14 -9 1 --- -10.42 426 A Creighton 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.78 328 A Milwaukee 3-10 -7 -3 -- -4.22 510 H Xavier 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.95 213 A UT Martin 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.54 214 A UT Martin 11-13 -2 2 - -3.54 308 H Morehead State 4- 9 -5 -3 - -2.31 313 A Wichita State 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.61 321 H UT Arlington 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.15 417 H Georgetown 11-12 -1 1 - -2.42 421 A Eastern Illinois 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.40 424 A Creighton 0- 6 -6 -3 - -2.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Kentucky 10- 6 4 -3 +++ 7.37 218 A Portland 12- 5 7 -2 +++ 9.08 228 A Marshall 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 7.27 306 A Northeastern 20- 4 16 -3 +++ 17.24 324 H Toledo 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.73 328 A Milwaukee 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 6.78 404 A Villanova 10- 1 9 1 +++ 8.13 502 H Seton Hall 15- 6 9 2 +++ 6.92 514 H Stony Brook 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.92 410 A South Florida 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 5.39 418 H Georgetown 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.58 503 H Seton Hall 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.92 329 A Milwaukee 8- 7 1 -3 + 3.78 407 A Massachusetts at Amher 14- 1 13 9 + 3.59 425 A Creighton 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.22 501 H Seton Hall 8- 3 5 2 + 2.92 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UT Martin ( 3- 4, 89.6) 10- 7 -10.25 8.17 0.68 0.55 9.66
3 A UT Martin ( 3- 4, 89.6) 8- 9 -10.25 8.17 0.68 0.55 -2.61
3 A UT Martin ( 3- 4, 89.6) 11-13 -10.25 8.17 0.68 0.55 -2.61
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 10- 6 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.55 15.02
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 12- 5 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.55 13.61
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 0-13 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.55 -2.31
3 A Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 4- 6 -8.09 10.34 0.68 0.55 -2.02
3 A Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 2- 3 -8.09 10.34 0.68 0.55 -2.02
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 3- 4 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.55 -1.57
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 7- 2 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.55 13.82
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 1- 3 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.55 -1.57
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 20- 4 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.55 14.87
3 A Southern ( 2- 7, 86.1) 6- 1 -13.77 4.66 0.68 0.55 5.82
3 H Morehead State ( 7- 4, 95.2) 8-11 -4.67 13.76 -0.68 0.55 -1.46
3 H Morehead State ( 7- 4, 95.2) 4- 9 -4.67 13.76 -0.68 0.55 -1.46
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 10-17 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.55 -2.20
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 3-27 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.55 -1.27
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 8-14 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.55 -1.27
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 1-30 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.55 -1.27
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.55 -1.27
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 14-12 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.55 10.86
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 0-11 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.55 -1.14
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 3- 7 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.55 -1.96
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 4-14 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.55 -1.14
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 11- 1 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.55 12.14
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 6- 2 -5.93 12.50 0.68 0.55 14.37
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 3-10 -5.93 12.50 0.68 0.55 -1.43
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 8- 7 -5.93 12.50 0.68 0.55 14.37
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 8- 6 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.55 10.40
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 7- 5 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.55 10.40
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 10- 1 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.55 10.40
3 A Massachusetts ( 0- 2, 81.8) 14- 1 -18.11 1.00 0.68 0.55 1.83
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 5- 3 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.55 15.04
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 1- 3 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.55 -1.70
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 0-13 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.55 -1.70
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 5 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 0.55 10.07
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 11-12 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.55 -2.58
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 6- 0 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.55 9.79
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 5-14 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.55 -2.58
3 A Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 6-11 -6.10 12.32 0.68 0.55 -1.48
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 0- 6 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 5- 6 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 2-12 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 H Bowling Green ( 1- 7, 91.3) 3- 0 -8.57 9.86 -0.68 0.55 10.02
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 8- 3 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.55 9.07
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 15- 6 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.55 9.07
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 9- 2 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.55 9.07
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 2- 5 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.55 -1.91
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 10-12 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.55 -1.91
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 2- 9 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.55 -1.91
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 7- 0 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 11.25
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 2- 1 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.55 11.25
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 1- 4 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.55 -1.38
------
200.55
|
winning pts = 252.2182 losing points = -51.6653
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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