California Baptist
W-L: (23- 9) PR = 96.4829Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 1- 3 214 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 5- 4 214 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7- 6 215 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7- 0 220 A Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 14- 9 220 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 5- 0 221 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 7- 1 222 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 5- 1 224 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5- 7 226 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 16- 2 227 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 7- 1 228 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 2- 3 301 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 2- 1 304 A Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 5-12 305 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 13- 4 306 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 14-14 307 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 11- 7 310 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 2- 7 324 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 12- 1 327 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 12- 3 328 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 5- 3 329 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 4- 0 406 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 10- 5 414 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 19- 4 420 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 6-11 428 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 18- 6 505 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 9- 7 511 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 8- 3 514 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4- 6 515 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 9- 5 521 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 10- 7 522 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 3- 5 522 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 7-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Cal State Fullerton 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.10
214 H Cal State Fullerton 5- 4 1 3 - -2.45
214 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 6 1 3 - -2.45
215 A Cal State Fullerton 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.90
220 A Omaha 14- 9 5 4 1.32
220 A Washington State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.20
221 H Seattle U 7- 1 6 6 -0.43
222 H Seattle U 5- 1 4 6 - -2.43
224 H Cal State Northridge 5- 7 -2 4 -- -5.53
226 A San Francisco 16- 2 14 5 +++ 9.18
227 A San Francisco 7- 1 6 5 1.18
228 A San Francisco 2- 3 -1 5 -- -5.82
301 A San Francisco 2- 1 1 5 - -3.82
304 A Youngstown State 5-12 -7 4 --- -10.68
305 H Kansas 13- 4 9 0 +++ 8.98
306 H Kansas State 14-14 0 1 -0.54
307 A BYU 11- 7 4 1 + 2.94
310 A Loyola Marymount 2- 7 -5 5 --- -9.84
324 H UC Riverside 12- 1 11 8 + 3.44
327 A St. John's 12- 3 9 2 +++ 7.34
328 A St. John's 5- 3 2 2 0.34
329 A St. John's 4- 0 4 2 + 2.34
406 A Long Beach State 10- 5 5 3 + 2.07
414 A UC Riverside 19- 4 15 6 +++ 7.80
420 H UC Santa Barbara 6-11 -5 1 -- -5.90
428 A UC Riverside 18- 6 12 6 ++ 5.80
505 A Cal State Northridge 9- 7 2 2 -0.17
511 A UC Santa Barbara 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.45
514 H Saint Mary's 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.59
515 H Cincinnati 9- 5 4 0 + 3.61
521 H Utah Tech 10- 7 3 4 -0.90
522 A Tarleton State 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.98
522 H Sacramento State 7-12 -5 2 --- -7.29
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Youngstown State 5-12 -7 4 --- -10.68 310 A Loyola Marymount 2- 7 -5 5 --- -9.84 522 H Sacramento State 7-12 -5 2 --- -7.29 213 A Cal State Fullerton 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.10 224 H Cal State Northridge 5- 7 -2 4 -- -5.53 228 A San Francisco 2- 3 -1 5 -- -5.82 420 H UC Santa Barbara 6-11 -5 1 -- -5.90 514 H Saint Mary's 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.59 214 H Cal State Fullerton 5- 4 1 3 - -2.45 214 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 6 1 3 - -2.45 222 H Seattle U 5- 1 4 6 - -2.43 301 A San Francisco 2- 1 1 5 - -3.82 522 A Tarleton State 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A San Francisco 16- 2 14 5 +++ 9.18 305 H Kansas 13- 4 9 0 +++ 8.98 327 A St. John's 12- 3 9 2 +++ 7.34 414 A UC Riverside 19- 4 15 6 +++ 7.80 215 A Cal State Fullerton 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.90 428 A UC Riverside 18- 6 12 6 ++ 5.80 511 A UC Santa Barbara 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.45 220 A Washington State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.20 307 A BYU 11- 7 4 1 + 2.94 324 H UC Riverside 12- 1 11 8 + 3.44 329 A St. John's 4- 0 4 2 + 2.34 406 A Long Beach State 10- 5 5 3 + 2.07 515 H Cincinnati 9- 5 4 0 + 3.61 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 1- 3 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.88 -2.42
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 5- 4 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.88 20.26
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7- 6 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.88 20.26
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7- 0 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.88 22.63
3 A Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 14- 9 -7.77 10.66 0.68 0.88 19.86
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 5- 0 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.88 23.16
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 7- 1 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.88 15.04
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 5- 1 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.88 15.04
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 5- 7 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.88 -3.04
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 16- 2 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.88 17.86
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 7- 1 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.88 17.86
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 2- 3 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.88 -3.61
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 2- 1 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.88 17.86
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 5-12 -7.77 10.66 0.68 0.88 -3.11
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 13- 4 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.88 26.27
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 14-14 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.88 0.00
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 11- 7 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.88 24.45
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 2- 7 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.88 -3.62
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 12- 1 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.88 13.06
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 12- 3 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.88 23.41
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 5- 3 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.88 23.41
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 4- 0 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.88 23.41
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 10- 5 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.88 21.18
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 19- 4 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.88 15.43
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 6-11 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.88 -1.89
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 18- 6 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.88 15.43
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 9- 7 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.88 22.50
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 8- 3 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.88 27.10
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.88 -2.63
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 9- 5 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.88 25.62
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 10- 7 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.88 19.46
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 3- 5 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.88 -1.93
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 7-12 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.88 -2.50
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445.83
|
winning pts = 470.5724 losing points = -24.7458
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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