UC San Diego
W-L: (26-29) PR = 94.4179Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 4- 8 214 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 2- 7 215 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 8- 7 220 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 8- 0 221 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 7- 9 222 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 2- 5 224 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 8- 7 227 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 7- 3 228 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 0- 8 301 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 3- 4 305 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 5-15 306 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 1- 5 306 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 3- 9 308 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 8- 9 313 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 17-16 314 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 6- 4 315 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 12- 4 320 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 12- 6 321 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 4- 3 322 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 14-10 324 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 6 325 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 4-12 327 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 9- 4 328 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 3- 2 329 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 9- 5 402 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 10- 9 403 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3- 6 404 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 8- 0 410 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 4- 8 411 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 10-11 412 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1- 3 414 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 1- 9 417 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3-11 418 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3- 5 419 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 16-15 421 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 5- 6 424 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 11-10 425 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 9- 4 426 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 7- 9 428 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 10- 0 501 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 1- 3 502 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 1-11 503 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 4- 6 505 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 8- 4 508 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 4- 2 509 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 8-10 510 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 15- 2 514 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 10- 3 515 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 10-16 516 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 5-10 521 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 0- 1 522 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 5- 1 523 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 12- 2 523 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 7- 0 524 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A UCLA 4- 8 -4 -5 0.67
214 A UCLA 2- 7 -5 -5 -0.33
215 A UCLA 8- 7 1 -5 ++ 5.67
220 A BYU 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 9.01
221 H BYU 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.34
222 H Western Michigan 2- 5 -3 3 -- -5.58
224 H San Diego 8- 7 1 2 -1.50
227 A Louisiana 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.34
228 A Louisiana 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.66
301 A Louisiana 3- 4 -1 -1 0.34
305 H Portland 5-15 -10 2 --- -11.83
306 H Nebraska 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.05
306 H Southern Miss 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.47
308 A Cincinnati 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.03
313 A Cal State Northridge 17-16 1 0 0.89
314 A Cal State Northridge 6- 4 2 0 1.89
315 A Cal State Northridge 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.89
320 H UC Riverside 12- 6 6 5 0.51
321 A Maryland 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.04
322 H UC Riverside 14-10 4 5 -1.49
324 H Oregon 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.97
325 H Oregon 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.97
327 A UC Davis 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.11
328 A UC Davis 3- 2 1 0 1.11
329 A UC Davis 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.11
402 H Hawai'i 10- 9 1 1 -0.44
403 H Hawai'i 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.44
404 H Hawai'i 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.56
410 H Boston College 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.23
411 A UC Santa Barbara 10-11 -1 -3 1.52
412 A UC Santa Barbara 1- 3 -2 -3 0.52
414 A San Diego State 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.81
417 H Cal Poly 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.79
418 H Cal Poly 3- 5 -2 0 -1.79
419 H Cal Poly 16-15 1 0 1.21
421 A San Diego 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.14
424 H UC Irvine 11-10 1 1 0.24
425 H UC Irvine 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.24
426 H UC Irvine 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.76
428 H Loyola Marymount 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.87
501 A Long Beach State 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.86
502 A Long Beach State 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.86
503 A Long Beach State 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.86
505 H San Diego State 8- 4 4 2 1.84
508 A Cal State Bakersfield 4- 2 2 1 1.15
509 A Cal State Bakersfield 8-10 -2 1 - -2.85
510 A Cal State Bakersfield 15- 2 13 1 +++ 12.15
514 A Long Beach State 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.14
515 A Lipscomb 10-16 -6 1 --- -7.50
516 H Cal State Fullerton 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.39
522 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 1 4 0 + 3.97
523 H Cal Poly 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.21
523 H UC Santa Barbara 7- 0 7 -1 +++ 8.16
524 A Cal Poly 3- 4 -1 -2 0.56
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Louisiana 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.66 305 H Portland 5-15 -10 2 --- -11.83 414 A San Diego State 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.81 417 H Cal Poly 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.79 502 A Long Beach State 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.86 515 A Lipscomb 10-16 -6 1 --- -7.50 516 H Cal State Fullerton 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.39 222 H Western Michigan 2- 5 -3 3 -- -5.58 306 H Southern Miss 3- 9 -6 -2 -- -4.47 325 H Oregon 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.97 403 H Hawai'i 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.44 221 H BYU 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.34 306 H Nebraska 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.05 324 H Oregon 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.97 410 H Boston College 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.23 421 A San Diego 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.14 426 H UC Irvine 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.76 501 A Long Beach State 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.86 503 A Long Beach State 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.86 509 A Cal State Bakersfield 8-10 -2 1 - -2.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A BYU 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 9.01 315 A Cal State Northridge 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.89 404 H Hawai'i 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.56 510 A Cal State Bakersfield 15- 2 13 1 +++ 12.15 514 A Long Beach State 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.14 523 H Cal Poly 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.21 523 H UC Santa Barbara 7- 0 7 -1 +++ 8.16 215 A UCLA 8- 7 1 -5 ++ 5.67 227 A Louisiana 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.34 327 A UC Davis 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.11 329 A UC Davis 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.11 425 H UC Irvine 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.24 428 H Loyola Marymount 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.87 308 A Cincinnati 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.03 321 A Maryland 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.04 522 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 1 4 0 + 3.97 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 4- 8 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.53 -0.21
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 2- 7 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.53 -0.21
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 8- 7 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.53 18.53
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 8- 0 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.53 14.67
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 7- 9 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.53 -1.53
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 2- 5 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.53 -2.12
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 8- 7 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.53 10.99
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 7- 3 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.53 15.02
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 0- 8 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.53 -1.09
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 3- 4 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.53 -1.09
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 5-15 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.53 -1.92
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 1- 5 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.53 -0.93
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 3- 9 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.53 -1.04
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 8- 9 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.53 -0.65
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 17-16 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.53 13.50
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 6- 4 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.53 13.50
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 12- 4 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.53 13.50
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 12- 6 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.53 7.84
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 4- 3 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.53 14.71
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 14-10 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.53 7.84
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 6 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.53 -0.91
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 4-12 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.53 -0.91
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 9- 4 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.53 13.73
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.53 13.73
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 9- 5 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.53 13.73
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 10- 9 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.53 12.10
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3- 6 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.53 -1.82
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 8- 0 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.53 12.10
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 4- 8 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.53 -1.24
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 10-11 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.53 -0.78
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1- 3 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.53 -0.78
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 1- 9 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.53 -1.65
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3-11 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.53 -1.39
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3- 5 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.53 -1.39
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 16-15 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.53 13.83
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 5- 6 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.53 -1.74
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 11-10 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.53 12.81
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 9- 4 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.53 12.81
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 7- 9 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.53 -1.64
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 10- 0 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.53 9.27
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 1- 3 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 1-11 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 4- 6 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 8- 4 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.53 11.34
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 4- 2 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.53 12.72
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 8-10 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 15- 2 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.53 12.72
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 10- 3 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.53 12.71
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 10-16 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.53 -1.83
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 5-10 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.53 -1.81
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 0- 1 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.53 -1.03
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 5- 1 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.53 13.58
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 12- 2 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.53 13.83
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 7- 0 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.53 14.84
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3- 4 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.53 -1.03
------
298.51
|
winning pts = 335.9196 losing points = -37.4099
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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