Cincinnati
W-L: (38-21) PR = 96.7673Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 11- 5 214 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 6- 5 215 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0- 1 217 H Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 8- 5 219 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 11- 8 220 H Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 3- 6 221 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 8- 4 222 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 8- 6 225 H Bowling Green MA ( 1- 7, 91.3) 11- 1 227 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 5- 4 228 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 1- 7 228 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 3- 0 303 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 5- 2 305 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 9- 3 306 A Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 16- 3 306 A Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 13- 2 308 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 9- 8 310 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 13-11 313 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 9- 7 314 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 9-10 316 A Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 11- 1 317 A Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 6- 3 320 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 13- 4 321 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 20- 8 322 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 11-13 324 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 3- 4 327 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 5- 0 328 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 2- 8 329 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 6-13 331 H Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 8- 5 403 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 9-12 404 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 3-11 405 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 4-10 408 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 8-13 410 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 11- 8 411 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 8- 0 412 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 3- 8 414 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 15- 5 417 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 1- 7 418 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 9- 3 419 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 11- 9 421 A Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 7-12 425 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5- 2 426 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 7- 5 502 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 3- 2 502 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 8- 1 503 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 4- 3 505 A Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 15- 4 508 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 4- 2 509 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 5- 3 510 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 2- 5 514 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 13- 8 515 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 8- 1 515 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 5- 9 521 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 2-10 529 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 12- 2 530 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 5-10 530 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 5-10 531 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 6- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Jacksonville State 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.99
214 A Jacksonville State 6- 5 1 -1 1.99
217 H Nicholls 8- 5 3 7 -- -4.44
219 H Santa Clara 11- 8 3 4 -1.05
220 H Murray State 3- 6 -3 6 --- -8.63
221 A UAB 8- 4 4 1 + 2.78
222 A UAB 8- 6 2 1 0.78
225 H Bowling Green 11- 1 10 6 + 3.89
227 H Austin Peay 5- 4 1 5 - -3.68
228 H Austin Peay 1- 7 -6 5 --- -10.68
228 H Austin Peay 3- 0 3 5 -1.68
303 H Janes Madison 5- 2 3 5 - -2.34
305 A Lipscomb 9- 3 6 4 + 2.15
306 A Oakland 16- 3 13 5 +++ 8.05
306 A Oakland 13- 2 11 5 +++ 6.05
308 H UC San Diego 9- 8 1 3 - -2.03
310 H Evansville 13-11 2 6 - -3.96
313 A BYU 9- 7 2 1 0.66
314 A BYU 9-10 -1 1 - -2.34
316 A Utah Valley 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.36
317 A Utah Valley 6- 3 3 5 -1.64
320 H Utah 13- 4 9 3 +++ 6.36
321 A Duke 20- 8 12 2 +++ 10.41
322 H Utah 11-13 -2 3 -- -4.64
324 A Xavier 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.50
327 H Kansas 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.70
328 H Kansas 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.30
329 H Kansas 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.30
331 H Wright State 8- 5 3 3 -0.32
403 A Oklahoma State 9-12 -3 -1 -1.85
404 A Oklahoma State 3-11 -8 -1 --- -6.85
405 A Oklahoma State 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.85
408 H Boston College 8-13 -5 2 --- -6.58
410 A Pacific 11- 8 3 4 -0.69
411 H Baylor 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.28
412 H Texas 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.98
414 H Xavier 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.15
417 A UCF 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.10
418 A UCF 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.90
419 A UCF 11- 9 2 0 1.90
421 A Wright State 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.96
425 H West Virginia 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.71
426 H West Virginia 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.71
502 A Houston 3- 2 1 1 -0.50
502 A Houston 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.50
503 A Houston 4- 3 1 1 -0.50
505 A Oral Roberts 15- 4 11 5 ++ 5.86
508 A Kansas State 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.52
509 A Kansas State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.52
510 A Kansas State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.48
514 A Virginia 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.01
515 A Miami of Florida 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.56
515 A California Baptist 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.61
521 A Arizona State 2-10 -8 -2 --- -6.45
529 H Louisiana 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.64
530 A Mississippi State 5-10 -5 -3 -1.75
530 A Mississippi State 5-10 -5 -3 -1.75
531 A Louisiana 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.01
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Murray State 3- 6 -3 6 --- -8.63 228 H Austin Peay 1- 7 -6 5 --- -10.68 328 H Kansas 2- 8 -6 0 --- -6.30 329 H Kansas 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.30 404 A Oklahoma State 3-11 -8 -1 --- -6.85 408 H Boston College 8-13 -5 2 --- -6.58 417 A UCF 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.10 421 A Wright State 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.96 521 A Arizona State 2-10 -8 -2 --- -6.45 217 H Nicholls 8- 5 3 7 -- -4.44 322 H Utah 11-13 -2 3 -- -4.64 405 A Oklahoma State 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.85 227 H Austin Peay 5- 4 1 5 - -3.68 303 H Janes Madison 5- 2 3 5 - -2.34 308 H UC San Diego 9- 8 1 3 - -2.03 310 H Evansville 13-11 2 6 - -3.96 314 A BYU 9-10 -1 1 - -2.34 324 A Xavier 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.50 412 H Texas 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.98 510 A Kansas State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.48 515 A California Baptist 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.61 531 A Louisiana 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Jacksonville State 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 6.99 306 A Oakland 16- 3 13 5 +++ 8.05 306 A Oakland 13- 2 11 5 +++ 6.05 320 H Utah 13- 4 9 3 +++ 6.36 321 A Duke 20- 8 12 2 +++ 10.41 414 H Xavier 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.15 515 A Miami of Florida 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.56 529 H Louisiana 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.64 316 A Utah Valley 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.36 327 H Kansas 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.70 411 H Baylor 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.28 418 A UCF 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.90 502 A Houston 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.50 505 A Oral Roberts 15- 4 11 5 ++ 5.86 514 A Virginia 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.01 221 A UAB 8- 4 4 1 + 2.78 225 H Bowling Green 11- 1 10 6 + 3.89 305 A Lipscomb 9- 3 6 4 + 2.15 425 H West Virginia 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.71 426 H West Virginia 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.71 508 A Kansas State 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.52 509 A Kansas State 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 11- 5 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.49 15.97
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 6- 5 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.49 15.97
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 0- 1 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.49 -0.52
3 H Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 8- 5 -9.90 8.53 -0.68 0.49 7.70
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 11- 8 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.49 11.02
3 H Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 3- 6 -8.09 10.34 -0.68 0.49 -2.15
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 8- 4 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.49 13.80
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 8- 6 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.49 13.80
3 H Bowling Green ( 1- 7, 91.3) 11- 1 -8.57 9.86 -0.68 0.49 9.00
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 5- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.49 10.40
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 1- 7 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.49 -1.92
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 3- 0 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.49 10.40
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 5- 2 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.49 9.75
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 9- 3 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.49 11.22
3 A Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 16- 3 -8.76 9.67 0.68 0.49 10.14
3 A Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 13- 2 -8.76 9.67 0.68 0.49 10.14
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 9- 8 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.49 12.03
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 13-11 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.49 9.15
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 9- 7 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.49 13.68
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 9-10 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.49 -1.10
3 A Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 11- 1 -8.45 9.98 0.68 0.49 10.45
3 A Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 6- 3 -8.45 9.98 0.68 0.49 10.45
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 13- 4 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.49 12.41
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 20- 8 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.49 13.43
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 11-13 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.49 -1.41
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.31 12.12 0.68 0.49 -1.38
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 5- 0 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.49 14.69
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 2- 8 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.49 -0.84
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 6-13 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.49 -0.84
3 H Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 8- 5 -5.77 12.65 -0.68 0.49 11.74
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 9-12 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.49 -0.49
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 3-11 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.49 -0.49
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 4-10 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.49 -0.49
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 8-13 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.49 -1.16
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 11- 8 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.49 11.38
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 8- 0 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.49 12.33
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 3- 8 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.49 -0.27
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 15- 5 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.49 11.22
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 1- 7 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.49 -0.79
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 9- 3 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.49 14.90
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 11- 9 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.49 14.90
3 A Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 7-12 -5.77 12.65 0.68 0.49 -1.25
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5- 2 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.49 15.69
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 7- 5 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.49 15.69
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 3- 2 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.49 13.53
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 8- 1 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.49 13.53
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 4- 3 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.49 13.53
3 A Oral Roberts ( 6-15, 91.0) 15- 4 -8.95 9.48 0.68 0.49 9.96
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 4- 2 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.49 15.51
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 5- 3 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.49 15.51
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.49 -0.64
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 13- 8 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.49 15.00
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 8- 1 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.49 14.56
3 A California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 5- 9 -3.42 15.01 0.68 0.49 -0.67
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 2-10 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.49 -0.39
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 12- 2 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.49 12.68
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 5-10 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.49 -0.03
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 5-10 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.49 -0.03
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 6- 8 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.49 -1.02
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459.36
|
winning pts = 477.2173 losing points = -17.8606
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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