Central Michigan
W-L: ( 3- 8) PR = 92.3347Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 3-11 213 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 18- 6 214 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 15- 6 214 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 6- 1 227 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 2-16 228 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 8- 9 301 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 5-21 324 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 8-19 331 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 4- 7 407 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 4- 6 428 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A West Georgia 3-11 -8 1 --- -8.58
213 A West Georgia 18- 6 12 1 +++ 11.42
214 A West Georgia 15- 6 9 1 +++ 8.42
214 A West Georgia 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.42
227 A Louisville 2-16 -14 -5 --- -9.46
228 A Louisville 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.54
301 H North Carolina 5-21 -16 -6 --- -8.21
324 H Michigan State 8-19 -11 -2 --- -8.97
331 A Ole Miss 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.01
407 A Michigan 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.18
428 A Notre Dame 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A West Georgia 3-11 -8 1 --- -8.58 227 A Louisville 2-16 -14 -5 --- -9.46 301 H North Carolina 5-21 -16 -6 --- -8.21 324 H Michigan State 8-19 -11 -2 --- -8.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A West Georgia 18- 6 12 1 +++ 11.42 214 A West Georgia 15- 6 9 1 +++ 8.42 214 A West Georgia 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.42 228 A Louisville 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.54 331 A Ole Miss 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.01 407 A Michigan 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.18 428 A Notre Dame 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 3-11 -8.82 9.60 0.68 2.63 -10.71
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 18- 6 -8.82 9.60 0.68 2.63 54.06
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 15- 6 -8.82 9.60 0.68 2.63 54.06
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 6- 1 -8.82 9.60 0.68 2.63 54.06
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 2-16 -3.70 14.73 0.68 2.63 -3.97
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 8- 9 -3.70 14.73 0.68 2.63 -3.97
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 5-21 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 2.63 -2.34
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 8-19 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 2.63 -7.27
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 4- 7 -2.23 16.20 0.68 2.63 -2.04
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 4- 6 -4.07 14.36 0.68 2.63 -4.46
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 3- 5 -4.01 14.42 0.68 2.63 -4.38
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123.02
|
winning pts = 162.1661 losing points = -39.1469
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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