Cal Poly
W-L: (39-25) PR = 95.3016Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 2- 5 214 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 16- 5 214 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 4- 3 218 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 5- 1 220 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 9- 0 221 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 3- 2 222 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 3- 8 223 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 4- 5 226 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 0- 4 227 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 0- 6 228 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 2-16 301 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 6-11 303 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 12- 3 306 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 6-11 307 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 10- 7 308 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 7- 3 310 H Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 13- 3 313 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 8- 4 314 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 6- 2 315 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 6- 3 321 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 12- 0 322 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 5- 4 323 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 2- 8 325 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 7- 8 327 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 22- 4 328 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 4-10 329 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 12- 8 331 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 10- 4 402 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 0- 6 403 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 4 404 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4-12 407 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 11- 5 410 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 3- 9 411 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 6-11 412 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 3 414 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 7- 3 417 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 11- 3 418 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 5- 3 419 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 15-16 421 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 3- 6 424 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 8- 5 425 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5- 4 426 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5- 2 428 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 7- 0 501 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 4-11 502 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 11- 2 503 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 8- 6 505 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 4-11 508 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 3- 4 509 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7- 6 510 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 6- 2 512 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 15-10 514 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 11- 7 515 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 6- 6 516 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 8- 3 521 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 1- 0 522 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 2 523 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 2-12 524 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4- 3 529 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 6- 2 530 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 14- 1 530 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 14- 1 531 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 5- 2 605 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 2-12 606 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 1-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Campbell 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.26
214 A Campbell 16- 5 11 -1 +++ 11.74
214 A Campbell 4- 3 1 -1 1.74
218 H Arizona 5- 1 4 2 1.85
220 A Rice 9- 0 9 0 +++ 8.71
221 H Washington State 3- 2 1 2 -0.97
222 H Washington State 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.97
223 H Washington State 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.97
226 H USC 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.48
227 H USC 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.48
228 H USC 2-16 -14 -2 --- -12.48
301 A Fresno State 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.36
303 A UC Riverside 12- 3 9 5 + 3.98
306 H Nevada 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.10
307 A Hawai'i 10- 7 3 1 + 2.03
308 A Hawai'i 7- 3 4 1 + 3.03
310 H Fresno State 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.29
313 H Cal State Bakersfield 8- 4 4 3 0.91
314 H Cal State Bakersfield 6- 2 4 3 0.91
315 H Cal State Bakersfield 6- 3 3 3 -0.09
321 A UCF 12- 0 12 -1 +++ 13.37
322 H UC Davis 5- 4 1 2 -1.13
323 H UC Davis 2- 8 -6 2 --- -8.13
325 A Loyola Marymount 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.66
327 A UC Riverside 22- 4 18 5 +++ 8.98
328 A UC Riverside 4-10 -6 5 --- -11.02
329 A UC Riverside 12- 8 4 5 -1.02
331 A Fresno State 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.64
402 H UC Santa Barbara 0- 6 -6 0 -- -5.72
403 H UC Santa Barbara 2- 4 -2 0 -1.72
404 H UC Santa Barbara 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.72
407 A San Diego 11- 5 6 2 + 3.97
410 H Texas A&M 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.98
411 A Oregon State 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.35
412 A Oregon State 2- 3 -1 -2 0.65
414 H Pepperdine 7- 3 4 5 -0.51
417 A UC San Diego 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.79
418 A UC San Diego 5- 3 2 0 1.79
419 A UC San Diego 15-16 -1 0 -1.21
421 A Pepperdine 3- 6 -3 3 --- -6.16
424 H Cal State Northridge 8- 5 3 2 0.66
425 H Cal State Northridge 5- 4 1 2 -1.34
426 H Cal State Northridge 5- 2 3 2 0.66
428 H Santa Clara 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.41
501 A UC Irvine 4-11 -7 0 --- -7.30
502 A UC Irvine 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.70
503 A UC Irvine 8- 6 2 0 1.70
505 A Santa Clara 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.24
508 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 4 -1 1 -1.92
509 A Cal State Fullerton 7- 6 1 1 0.08
510 A Cal State Fullerton 6- 2 4 1 + 3.08
512 A Fresno State 15-10 5 1 + 3.64
514 A Stanford 11- 7 4 0 + 3.93
515 A UCLA 6- 6 0 -4 + 3.79
516 H Long Beach State 8- 3 5 3 1.90
522 A UC Santa Barbara 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.63
523 A UC San Diego 2-12 -10 0 --- -10.21
524 H UC San Diego 4- 3 1 2 -0.56
529 A Virginia Tech 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.67
530 H Saint Mary's 14- 1 13 1 +++ 11.59
530 H Saint Mary's 14- 1 13 1 +++ 11.59
531 A Saint Mary's 5- 2 3 0 + 2.94
605 A West Virginia 2-12 -10 -4 --- -6.48
606 H West Virginia 1-17 -16 -2 --- -11.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Washington State 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.97 228 H USC 2-16 -14 -2 --- -12.48 301 A Fresno State 6-11 -5 1 --- -6.36 306 H Nevada 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.10 323 H UC Davis 2- 8 -6 2 --- -8.13 328 A UC Riverside 4-10 -6 5 --- -11.02 404 H UC Santa Barbara 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.72 421 A Pepperdine 3- 6 -3 3 --- -6.16 501 A UC Irvine 4-11 -7 0 --- -7.30 505 A Santa Clara 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.24 523 A UC San Diego 2-12 -10 0 --- -10.21 605 A West Virginia 2-12 -10 -4 --- -6.48 606 H West Virginia 1-17 -16 -2 --- -11.83 227 H USC 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.48 325 A Loyola Marymount 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.66 402 H UC Santa Barbara 0- 6 -6 0 -- -5.72 213 A Campbell 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.26 223 H Washington State 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.97 226 H USC 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.48 410 H Texas A&M 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.98 411 A Oregon State 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Campbell 16- 5 11 -1 +++ 11.74 220 A Rice 9- 0 9 0 +++ 8.71 310 H Fresno State 13- 3 10 3 +++ 7.29 321 A UCF 12- 0 12 -1 +++ 13.37 327 A UC Riverside 22- 4 18 5 +++ 8.98 417 A UC San Diego 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.79 502 A UC Irvine 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.70 530 H Saint Mary's 14- 1 13 1 +++ 11.59 530 H Saint Mary's 14- 1 13 1 +++ 11.59 331 A Fresno State 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.64 428 H Santa Clara 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.41 529 A Virginia Tech 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 4.67 303 A UC Riverside 12- 3 9 5 + 3.98 307 A Hawai'i 10- 7 3 1 + 2.03 308 A Hawai'i 7- 3 4 1 + 3.03 407 A San Diego 11- 5 6 2 + 3.97 510 A Cal State Fullerton 6- 2 4 1 + 3.08 512 A Fresno State 15-10 5 1 + 3.64 514 A Stanford 11- 7 4 0 + 3.93 515 A UCLA 6- 6 0 -4 + 3.79 522 A UC Santa Barbara 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.63 531 A Saint Mary's 5- 2 3 0 + 2.94 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 2- 5 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.44 -0.86
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 16- 5 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.44 12.96
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 4- 3 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.44 12.96
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 5- 1 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.44 10.39
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 9- 0 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.44 12.04
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 3- 2 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.44 10.55
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 3- 8 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.44 -1.46
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 4- 5 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.44 -1.46
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 0- 4 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.44 -0.69
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 0- 6 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.44 -0.69
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 2-16 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.44 -0.69
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 6-11 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.44 -1.32
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 12- 3 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.44 7.84
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 6-11 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.44 -1.71
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 10- 7 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.44 11.44
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 7- 3 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.44 11.44
3 H Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 13- 3 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.44 9.89
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 8- 4 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.44 9.56
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 6- 2 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.44 9.56
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 6- 3 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.44 9.56
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 12- 0 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.44 13.52
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 5- 4 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.44 10.41
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 2- 8 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.44 -1.50
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 7- 8 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.44 -1.84
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 22- 4 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.44 7.84
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 4-10 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.44 -2.14
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 12- 8 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.44 7.84
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 10- 4 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.44 11.10
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 0- 6 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.44 -0.96
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 4 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.44 -0.96
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4-12 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.44 -0.96
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 11- 5 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.44 10.50
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 3- 9 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.44 -0.35
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 6-11 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.44 -0.66
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2- 3 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.44 -0.66
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 7- 3 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.44 8.29
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 11- 3 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.44 12.12
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 5- 3 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.44 12.12
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 15-16 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.44 -1.07
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 3- 6 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.44 -1.73
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 8- 5 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.44 10.22
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 5- 4 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.44 10.22
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 5- 2 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.44 10.22
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 7- 0 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.44 10.00
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 4-11 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.44 -1.09
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 11- 2 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.44 12.04
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 8- 6 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.44 12.04
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 4-11 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.44 -1.30
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 3- 4 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.44 -1.23
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7- 6 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.44 11.49
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 6- 2 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.44 11.49
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 15-10 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.44 11.10
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 11- 7 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.44 12.24
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 6- 6 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.44 0.00
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 8- 3 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.44 9.55
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 1- 0 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.44 10.92
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4- 2 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.44 13.76
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 2-12 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.44 -1.07
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 4- 3 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.44 10.92
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 6- 2 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.44 12.90
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 14- 1 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.44 11.05
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 14- 1 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.44 11.05
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 5- 2 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.44 12.26
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 2-12 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.44 -0.24
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 1-17 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.44 -0.54
------
398.23
|
winning pts = 425.3825 losing points = -27.1523
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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