Creighton
W-L: (32-25) PR = 94.4154Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 11- 3 214 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 2- 7 214 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 9- 8 220 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 7- 3 221 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 5-15 222 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 4- 9 227 A Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 7- 8 228 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 11-12 301 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 5- 4 307 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 2- 1 307 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 4- 5 308 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 7- 6 310 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 4- 8 313 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 8- 6 314 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 2- 1 315 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 5- 4 318 A Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 8- 0 320 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 4- 9 321 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 1- 4 322 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 5-15 324 H Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 7- 6 325 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 11- 5 327 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 6- 2 328 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 4- 7 329 H Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 4- 3 331 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 5- 6 402 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 3- 1 403 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 2-11 404 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 9-11 408 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 16- 9 410 A New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 5- 1 411 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 9- 1 412 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 9- 2 414 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 4- 5 417 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 9- 4 418 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 20- 2 418 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 14- 3 422 A Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 15-10 424 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 6- 0 425 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 6- 5 426 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 12- 2 428 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 6-13 501 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 3-10 502 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 3-11 503 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 6- 5 505 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 9- 8 508 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 3- 4 509 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 9- 5 510 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 2- 5 512 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 4- 8 514 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 5- 3 515 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 2- 3 516 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 3- 5 521 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 2- 4 521 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 7- 4 523 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 7- 4 524 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Saint Mary's 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 8.83
214 A Saint Mary's 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.17
214 A Saint Mary's 9- 8 1 -1 1.83
220 H Loyola Marymount 7- 3 4 4 -0.13
221 A San Diego 5-15 -10 1 --- -11.14
222 A Utah 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.93
227 A Tarleton State 7- 8 -1 -1 0.09
228 A Abilene Christian 11-12 -1 0 -1.11
301 H Tarleton State 5- 4 1 0 0.74
307 H Gonzaga 2- 1 1 -1 1.61
307 H Gonzaga 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.39
308 H Gonzaga 7- 6 1 -1 1.61
310 A LSU 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.73
313 A Tulane 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.67
314 A Tulane 2- 1 1 -1 1.67
315 A Tulane 5- 4 1 -1 1.67
318 A Northwestern State 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.60
320 A Miami 4- 9 -5 -3 - -2.30
321 H Queens University 1- 4 -3 5 --- -8.31
322 A Miami 5-15 -10 -3 --- -7.30
324 H Omaha 7- 6 1 3 -1.96
325 H South Dakota State 11- 5 6 4 1.55
327 H Sacramento State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.78
328 H Sacramento State 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.22
329 H Sacramento State 4- 3 1 0 0.78
331 H Nebraska 5- 6 -1 -2 0.95
402 A UConn 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.62
403 A UConn 2-11 -9 -1 --- -8.38
404 A UConn 9-11 -2 -1 -1.38
408 A Oregon 16- 9 7 -3 +++ 10.38
410 A New Orleans 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.09
411 H Seton Hall 9- 1 8 5 + 3.37
412 H Seton Hall 9- 2 7 5 + 2.37
414 A Nebraska 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.30
417 A Villanova 9- 4 5 3 1.59
418 A Villanova 20- 2 18 3 +++ 10.59
418 A Villanova 14- 3 11 3 +++ 7.59
422 A Omaha 15-10 5 2 + 3.39
424 H Butler 6- 0 6 3 + 2.78
425 H Butler 6- 5 1 3 - -2.22
426 H Butler 12- 2 10 3 +++ 6.78
428 H North Dakota State 6-13 -7 3 --- -10.23
501 A St. John's 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.59
502 A St. John's 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.59
503 A St. John's 6- 5 1 0 1.41
505 H Kansas 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.05
508 H Georgetown 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.97
509 H Georgetown 9- 5 4 4 0.03
510 H Georgetown 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.97
512 H Nebraska 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.05
514 H St. John's 5- 3 2 1 1.06
515 H Lamar 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.83
516 A Xavier 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.15
521 A St. John's 2- 4 -2 0 -1.59
521 A UConn 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.62
523 A Xavier 7- 4 3 0 + 2.85
524 A St. John's 3- 5 -2 0 -1.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A San Diego 5-15 -10 1 --- -11.14 321 H Queens University 1- 4 -3 5 --- -8.31 322 A Miami 5-15 -10 -3 --- -7.30 403 A UConn 2-11 -9 -1 --- -8.38 428 H North Dakota State 6-13 -7 3 --- -10.23 501 A St. John's 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.59 502 A St. John's 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.59 510 H Georgetown 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.97 214 A Saint Mary's 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.17 508 H Georgetown 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.97 222 A Utah 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.93 320 A Miami 4- 9 -5 -3 - -2.30 328 H Sacramento State 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.22 425 H Butler 6- 5 1 3 - -2.22 512 H Nebraska 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.05 515 H Lamar 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.83 516 A Xavier 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Saint Mary's 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 8.83 408 A Oregon 16- 9 7 -3 +++ 10.38 418 A Villanova 20- 2 18 3 +++ 10.59 418 A Villanova 14- 3 11 3 +++ 7.59 426 H Butler 12- 2 10 3 +++ 6.78 318 A Northwestern State 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.60 410 A New Orleans 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.09 313 A Tulane 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.67 327 H Sacramento State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.78 402 A UConn 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.62 411 H Seton Hall 9- 1 8 5 + 3.37 412 H Seton Hall 9- 2 7 5 + 2.37 414 A Nebraska 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.30 422 A Omaha 15-10 5 2 + 3.39 424 H Butler 6- 0 6 3 + 2.78 505 H Kansas 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.05 521 A UConn 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.62 523 A Xavier 7- 4 3 0 + 2.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 11- 3 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.51 13.98
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 2- 7 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.51 -1.18
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 9- 8 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.51 13.98
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 7- 3 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.51 8.95
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 5-15 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.51 -1.68
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 4- 9 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.51 -1.12
3 A Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 7- 8 -5.07 13.35 0.68 0.51 -1.12
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 11-12 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.51 -1.42
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 5- 4 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 0.51 12.87
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 2- 1 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.51 13.75
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 4- 5 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.51 -1.24
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 7- 6 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.51 13.75
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 4- 8 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.51 -0.56
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 8- 6 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.51 13.81
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 2- 1 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.51 13.81
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 5- 4 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.51 13.81
3 A Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 8- 0 -8.56 9.87 0.68 0.51 10.70
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 4- 9 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.51 -0.71
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 1- 4 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.51 -2.74
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 5-15 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.51 -0.71
3 H Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 7- 6 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.51 10.13
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 11- 5 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.51 8.62
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 6- 2 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.51 12.91
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 4- 7 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.51 -1.45
3 H Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 4- 3 -5.03 13.39 -0.68 0.51 12.91
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 5- 6 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.51 -0.90
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 3- 1 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.51 13.76
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 2-11 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.51 -1.23
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 9-11 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.51 -1.23
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 16- 9 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.51 16.56
3 A New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 5- 1 -6.07 12.36 0.68 0.51 13.23
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 9- 1 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.51 8.43
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 9- 2 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.51 8.43
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 4- 5 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.51 -0.55
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 9- 4 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.51 9.67
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 20- 2 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.51 9.67
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 14- 3 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.51 9.67
3 A Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 15-10 -7.77 10.66 0.68 0.51 11.50
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 6- 0 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.51 9.86
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 6- 5 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.51 9.86
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 12- 2 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.51 9.86
3 H North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 6-13 -8.04 10.38 -0.68 0.51 -2.21
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 3-10 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.51 -1.29
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 3-11 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.51 -1.29
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 6- 5 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.51 13.55
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 9- 8 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.51 15.21
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 3- 4 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.51 -2.40
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 9- 5 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.51 9.10
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 2- 5 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.51 -2.40
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 4- 8 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.51 -0.90
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 5- 3 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.51 12.18
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 2- 3 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 0.51 -1.85
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 3- 5 -6.31 12.12 0.68 0.51 -1.43
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 2- 4 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.51 -1.29
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 7- 4 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.51 13.76
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 7- 4 -6.31 12.12 0.68 0.51 12.98
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 3- 5 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.51 -1.29
------
347.09
|
winning pts = 381.2554 losing points = -34.1699
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------