Cal State Bakersfiel
W-L: (24-27) PR = 92.8885Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 8- 7 214 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 6- 7 215 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 8-14 215 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 11-10 218 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 4- 2 220 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 7- 2 221 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 0-14 222 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 15- 2 224 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 8-10 227 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 4-17 228 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 3-14 301 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 15- 9 304 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 6- 8 306 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3-12 307 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 9- 3 308 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7-13 313 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4- 8 314 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 2- 6 315 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3- 6 318 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 3- 3 321 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 2- 0 321 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 12- 2 322 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 1- 5 327 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 11- 3 328 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 8- 6 329 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5- 9 330 A UNLV MW ( 7- 9, 91.7) 17-14 402 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 4-14 403 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 4- 5 404 H Utah Valley WAC ( 7-15, 91.5) 8- 2 406 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 8- 1 408 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 4- 4 409 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 0- 2 410 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 8- 7 410 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 3- 2 414 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 6-10 417 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 2- 0 418 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3- 5 419 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 5-14 424 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 5-11 425 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 10- 0 426 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 14- 1 428 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 17- 4 501 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1-18 502 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 3- 4 503 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 9-19 505 H Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 6- 2 508 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 2- 4 509 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 10- 8 510 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 2-15 514 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 3- 2 515 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4- 3 516 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 7-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Southern Indiana 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.22
214 H Southern Indiana 6- 7 -1 -1 0.22
215 H Southern Indiana 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.78
215 H Southern Indiana 11-10 1 -1 + 2.22
218 A Indiana State 4- 2 2 0 + 2.10
220 H Florida Atlantic 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.19
221 H Pittsburgh 0-14 -14 -3 --- -11.20
222 A Long Beach State 15- 2 13 -1 +++ 13.67
224 H Saint Mary's 8-10 -2 -1 -0.99
227 A Texas Tech 4-17 -13 -4 --- -9.42
228 A Texas Tech 3-14 -11 -4 --- -7.42
301 H Penn State 15- 9 6 2 ++ 4.15
304 H Ole Miss 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.11
306 A Santa Clara 3-12 -9 -1 --- -7.82
307 H Cal State Fullerton 9- 3 6 0 +++ 6.14
308 H Cal State Fullerton 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.86
313 A Cal Poly 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.91
314 A Cal Poly 2- 6 -4 -3 -0.91
315 A Cal Poly 3- 6 -3 -3 0.09
318 H Houston 3- 3 0 -1 1.03
321 H Long Beach State 2- 0 2 1 1.32
321 A Missouri 12- 2 10 -2 +++ 12.29
322 H Long Beach State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.68
327 A Cal State Northridge 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 9.42
328 A Cal State Northridge 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.42
329 A Cal State Northridge 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.58
330 A UNLV 17-14 3 1 + 2.47
402 H Utah Valley 4-14 -10 2 --- -12.11
403 H Utah Valley 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.11
404 H Utah Valley 8- 2 6 2 + 3.89
406 H Pacific 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.84
408 H Notre Dame 4- 4 0 -2 + 2.33
409 H Houston 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.97
410 H Minnesota 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.77
410 H San Francisco 3- 2 1 3 -1.58
414 A Fresno State 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.94
417 H Hawai'i 2- 0 2 0 + 2.09
418 H Hawai'i 3- 5 -2 0 -1.91
419 H Hawai'i 5-14 -9 0 --- -8.91
424 A UC Riverside 5-11 -6 3 --- -8.61
425 A UC Riverside 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.39
426 A UC Riverside 14- 1 13 3 +++ 10.39
428 A Pacific 17- 4 13 0 +++ 13.19
501 H UC Santa Barbara 1-18 -17 -3 --- -11.31
502 H UC Santa Barbara 3- 4 -1 -3 1.69
503 H UC Santa Barbara 9-19 -10 -3 --- -7.31
505 H Fresno State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.70
508 H UC San Diego 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.15
509 H UC San Diego 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.85
510 H UC San Diego 2-15 -13 -1 --- -12.15
514 H UC Davis 3- 2 1 0 1.29
515 H Saint Mary's 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.01
516 A UC Irvine 7-10 -3 -2 -0.88
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Pittsburgh 0-14 -14 -3 --- -11.20 227 A Texas Tech 4-17 -13 -4 --- -9.42 228 A Texas Tech 3-14 -11 -4 --- -7.42 306 A Santa Clara 3-12 -9 -1 --- -7.82 402 H Utah Valley 4-14 -10 2 --- -12.11 419 H Hawai'i 5-14 -9 0 --- -8.91 424 A UC Riverside 5-11 -6 3 --- -8.61 501 H UC Santa Barbara 1-18 -17 -3 --- -11.31 503 H UC Santa Barbara 9-19 -10 -3 --- -7.31 510 H UC San Diego 2-15 -13 -1 --- -12.15 215 H Southern Indiana 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.78 308 H Cal State Fullerton 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.86 322 H Long Beach State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.68 329 A Cal State Northridge 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.58 403 H Utah Valley 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.11 414 A Fresno State 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.94 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Long Beach State 15- 2 13 -1 +++ 13.67 307 H Cal State Fullerton 9- 3 6 0 +++ 6.14 321 A Missouri 12- 2 10 -2 +++ 12.29 327 A Cal State Northridge 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 9.42 425 A UC Riverside 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.39 426 A UC Riverside 14- 1 13 3 +++ 10.39 428 A Pacific 17- 4 13 0 +++ 13.19 220 H Florida Atlantic 7- 2 5 0 ++ 5.19 301 H Penn State 15- 9 6 2 ++ 4.15 406 H Pacific 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.84 410 H Minnesota 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 4.77 213 H Southern Indiana 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.22 215 H Southern Indiana 11-10 1 -1 + 2.22 218 A Indiana State 4- 2 2 0 + 2.10 304 H Ole Miss 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.11 328 A Cal State Northridge 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.42 330 A UNLV 17-14 3 1 + 2.47 404 H Utah Valley 8- 2 6 2 + 3.89 408 H Notre Dame 4- 4 0 -2 + 2.33 417 H Hawai'i 2- 0 2 0 + 2.09 505 H Fresno State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.70 509 H UC San Diego 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.85 515 H Saint Mary's 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 8- 7 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.55 13.79
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 6- 7 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.55 -1.58
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 8-14 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.55 -1.58
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 11-10 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.55 13.79
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 4- 2 -7.59 10.84 0.68 0.55 12.57
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 7- 2 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.55 12.66
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 0-14 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.55 -1.15
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 15- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.55 13.19
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 8-10 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.55 -1.64
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 4-17 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.55 -0.94
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 3-14 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.55 -0.94
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 15- 9 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.55 10.44
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 6- 8 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.55 -0.79
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3-12 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 9- 3 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.55 12.61
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7-13 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.55 -1.87
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4- 8 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 2- 6 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3- 6 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 3- 3 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.55 0.00
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 2- 0 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 12- 2 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.55 14.96
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 1- 5 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 11- 3 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 14.01
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 8- 6 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 14.01
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 5- 9 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 -1.53
3 A UNLV ( 7- 9, 91.7) 17-14 -8.21 10.21 0.68 0.55 11.88
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 4-14 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.55 -2.49
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 4- 5 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.55 -2.49
3 H Utah Valley ( 7-15, 91.5) 8- 2 -8.45 9.98 -0.68 0.55 10.15
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 8- 1 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.55 11.19
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 4- 4 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.55 0.00
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 0- 2 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.55 -1.63
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 8- 7 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.55 16.58
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 3- 2 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 0.55 9.65
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 6-10 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.55 -1.62
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 2- 0 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.55 12.56
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3- 5 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.55 -1.89
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 5-14 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 0.55 -1.89
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 5-11 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.55 -2.63
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 10- 0 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.55 9.61
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 14- 1 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.55 9.61
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 17- 4 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.55 12.67
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1-18 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 -1.18
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 3- 4 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 -1.18
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 9-19 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 -1.18
3 H Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 6- 2 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.55 12.13
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 2- 4 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 10- 8 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 13.39
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 2-15 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.55 12.77
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4- 3 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.55 13.56
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 7-10 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.55 -1.34
------
257.70
|
winning pts = 299.4745 losing points = -41.7786
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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