Cal State Fullerton
W-L: (21-34) PR = 93.7082Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 3- 1 214 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 4- 5 214 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 6- 7 215 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 0- 7 220 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 4-13 221 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 3- 4 221 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 4- 3 222 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 2- 3 227 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 0- 3 228 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 2- 3 301 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 16- 8 303 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 7 306 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 5-11 307 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 3- 9 308 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 13- 7 310 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 3- 2 313 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 8- 3 314 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 9- 5 315 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 8- 6 317 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 3- 3 320 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 3- 5 321 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 2- 6 322 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 1- 4 324 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 11- 6 327 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 2- 0 328 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 2- 6 329 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 5- 6 402 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 9- 1 403 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 5- 2 404 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 9- 3 407 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 3-12 410 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 10-12 411 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3- 4 412 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 6- 2 414 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 13- 0 417 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 1 418 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 6 419 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2-10 421 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 2- 9 424 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 3- 8 425 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 9- 7 426 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 6- 1 428 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 3- 5 501 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 6- 7 502 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 5-11 503 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 2- 6 505 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 4-13 508 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4- 3 509 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 6- 7 510 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 2- 6 514 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 6-12 515 H McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 9-15 516 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 10- 5 520 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 5- 1 521 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 7 522 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H California Baptist 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.10
214 A California Baptist 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.45
214 A California Baptist 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.45
215 H California Baptist 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -4.90
220 H Troy 4-13 -9 -2 --- -7.16
221 A Stanford 3- 4 -1 -2 0.53
221 A Stanford 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.53
222 A Stanford 2- 3 -1 -2 0.53
227 H Xavier 0- 3 -3 1 - -3.79
228 H Xavier 2- 3 -1 1 -1.79
301 A USC 16- 8 8 -4 +++ 12.46
303 H Ole Miss 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.71
306 H California 5-11 -6 -1 -- -5.25
307 A Cal State Bakersfield 3- 9 -6 0 --- -6.14
308 A Cal State Bakersfield 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.86
310 H San Diego State 3- 2 1 1 -0.45
313 H UC Irvine 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.95
314 H UC Irvine 9- 5 4 0 + 3.95
315 H UC Irvine 8- 6 2 0 1.95
317 H California 3- 3 0 -1 0.75
320 H Cal State Northridge 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.75
321 A Texas Tech 2- 6 -4 -3 -1.24
322 H Cal State Northridge 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.75
324 A San Diego 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.57
327 A Hawai'i 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.62
328 A Hawai'i 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.38
329 A Hawai'i 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.38
402 H UC Riverside 9- 1 8 5 + 3.22
403 H UC Riverside 5- 2 3 5 -1.78
404 H UC Riverside 9- 3 6 5 1.22
407 A Arizona State 3-12 -9 -5 -- -4.39
410 H Gonzaga 10-12 -2 -1 -0.68
411 A Long Beach State 3- 4 -1 0 -1.15
412 A Long Beach State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.85
414 H San Diego 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.21
417 A Oregon State 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.24
418 A Oregon State 1- 6 -5 -3 -1.76
419 A Oregon State 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.76
421 H USC 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.89
424 A UC Santa Barbara 3- 8 -5 -3 -1.77
425 A UC Santa Barbara 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.23
426 A UC Santa Barbara 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 8.23
428 A San Diego State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.10
501 H UC Davis 6- 7 -1 1 -1.53
502 H UC Davis 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.53
503 H UC Davis 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.53
505 A USC 4-13 -9 -4 -- -4.54
508 H Cal Poly 4- 3 1 -1 1.92
509 H Cal Poly 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.08
510 H Cal Poly 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.08
514 H Gonzaga 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.68
515 H McNeese 9-15 -6 1 --- -7.09
516 A UC San Diego 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.39
520 A Hawai'i 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.62
521 A UC Santa Barbara 4- 7 -3 -3 0.23
522 H UC San Diego 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Troy 4-13 -9 -2 --- -7.16 307 A Cal State Bakersfield 3- 9 -6 0 --- -6.14 502 H UC Davis 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.53 515 H McNeese 9-15 -6 1 --- -7.09 215 H California Baptist 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -4.90 306 H California 5-11 -6 -1 -- -5.25 407 A Arizona State 3-12 -9 -5 -- -4.39 419 A Oregon State 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.76 503 H UC Davis 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.53 505 A USC 4-13 -9 -4 -- -4.54 514 H Gonzaga 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.68 227 H Xavier 0- 3 -3 1 - -3.79 320 H Cal State Northridge 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.75 322 H Cal State Northridge 1- 4 -3 1 - -3.75 328 A Hawai'i 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.38 421 H USC 2- 9 -7 -3 - -3.89 428 A San Diego State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.10 510 H Cal Poly 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.08 522 H UC San Diego 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A USC 16- 8 8 -4 +++ 12.46 414 H San Diego 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.21 426 A UC Santa Barbara 6- 1 5 -3 +++ 8.23 516 A UC San Diego 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.39 213 H California Baptist 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.10 308 A Cal State Bakersfield 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.86 313 H UC Irvine 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.95 324 A San Diego 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.57 417 A Oregon State 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.24 425 A UC Santa Barbara 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.23 520 A Hawai'i 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.62 214 A California Baptist 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.45 214 A California Baptist 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.45 221 A Stanford 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.53 314 H UC Irvine 9- 5 4 0 + 3.95 327 A Hawai'i 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.62 402 H UC Riverside 9- 1 8 5 + 3.22 412 A Long Beach State 6- 2 4 0 + 3.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 3- 1 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.52 14.80
3 A California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 4- 5 -3.42 15.01 0.68 0.52 -0.71
3 A California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 6- 7 -3.42 15.01 0.68 0.52 -0.71
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 0- 7 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.52 -1.06
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 4-13 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.52 -1.12
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 3- 4 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.52 -1.20
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 4- 3 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.52 14.21
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 2- 3 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.52 -1.20
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 0- 3 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.52 -1.80
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 2- 3 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.52 -1.80
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 16- 8 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.52 17.24
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 7 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.52 -0.75
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 5-11 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.52 -1.40
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 3- 9 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.52 -1.64
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 13- 7 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.52 12.49
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 3- 2 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.52 11.14
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 8- 3 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.52 12.58
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 9- 5 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.52 12.58
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 8- 6 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.52 12.58
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 3- 3 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.52 0.00
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 3- 5 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.52 -1.79
3 A Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 2- 6 -4.11 14.32 0.68 0.52 -0.89
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 1- 4 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.52 -1.79
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 11- 6 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.52 12.19
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 2- 0 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.52 13.28
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 2- 6 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.52 -1.44
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 5- 6 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.52 -1.44
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 9- 1 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.52 7.70
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 5- 2 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.52 7.70
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 9- 3 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.52 7.70
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 3-12 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.52 -0.41
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 10-12 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.52 -1.26
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3- 4 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.52 -1.64
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 6- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.52 12.48
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 13- 0 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.52 10.79
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2- 1 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.52 15.99
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 1- 6 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.52 -0.76
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2-10 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.52 -0.76
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 2- 9 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 0.52 -0.80
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 3- 8 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.52 -0.77
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 9- 7 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.52 15.97
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 6- 1 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.52 15.97
3 A San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 3- 5 -6.97 11.46 0.68 0.52 -1.62
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 6- 7 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.52 -1.74
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 5-11 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.52 -1.74
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 2- 6 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.52 -1.74
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 4-13 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.52 -0.45
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4- 3 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.52 13.58
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 6- 7 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.52 -1.36
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 2- 6 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.52 -1.36
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 6-12 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.52 -1.26
3 H McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 9-15 -6.61 11.82 -0.68 0.52 -1.88
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 10- 5 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.52 14.07
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 5- 1 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.52 13.28
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4- 7 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.52 -0.77
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 1- 5 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.52 -1.59
------
225.68
|
winning pts = 268.3211 losing points = -42.6392
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------