Coastal Carolina
W-L: (35-24) PR = 95.4816Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 3 214 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 0 214 H Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 1 217 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 3- 4 220 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 13- 3 222 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 5-14 222 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 6- 3 224 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 13- 7 227 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 1- 8 228 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 10-16 301 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 9-11 303 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 4- 2 306 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 10- 4 307 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 7- 1 308 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 4-10 310 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 10- 4 313 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 10- 6 314 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 7- 4 315 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 8- 7 318 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 3-12 320 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 12- 2 321 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 10- 1 322 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 16- 6 324 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 11- 9 327 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 11- 9 328 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 12- 4 329 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 5- 4 331 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 3- 2 402 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 12- 2 403 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 2-15 404 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 8- 7 407 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 2-11 410 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 10- 8 411 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 4- 3 412 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 3- 6 414 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 5-10 417 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 15- 7 418 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 7- 2 419 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 5-11 421 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 1- 2 424 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6- 2 425 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 2- 1 426 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6-10 428 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 12- 2 501 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 8- 7 503 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 14- 4 503 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 4- 7 505 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 4- 8 508 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 16- 8 509 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 3- 6 510 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 2- 9 512 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 5- 3 514 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 2- 6 515 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6-12 516 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 2- 3 520 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 11-12 521 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 8- 2 522 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4- 5 529 H Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 10-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Fairfield 5- 3 2 3 -1.13
214 H Fairfield 5- 0 5 3 1.87
214 H Fairfield 5- 1 4 3 0.87
217 H Charleston 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.05
220 A Eastern Illinois 13- 3 10 1 +++ 8.99
222 H Illinois 5-14 -9 1 --- -10.01
222 H VCU 6- 3 3 2 1.07
224 H Campbell 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.21
227 A Texas 1- 8 -7 -5 - -2.34
228 H UTSA 10-16 -6 -1 -- -5.00
301 H Loyola Marymount 9-11 -2 5 --- -7.19
303 H Western Kentucky 4- 2 2 2 0.20
306 A Stanford 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.75
307 H East Carolina 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 6.58
308 H East Carolina 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.42
310 H Wake Forest 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.11
313 A App State 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.37
314 A App State 7- 4 3 0 + 3.37
315 A App State 8- 7 1 0 1.37
318 H Oklahoma State 3-12 -9 -1 --- -7.91
320 H Janes Madison 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.94
321 A Penn State 10- 1 9 3 ++ 5.91
322 H Janes Madison 16- 6 10 4 ++ 5.94
324 A Clemson 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.84
327 A Marshall 11- 9 2 1 0.66
328 A Marshall 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.66
329 A Marshall 5- 4 1 1 -0.34
331 A The Citadel 3- 2 1 0 1.14
402 H South Alabama 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.04
403 H South Alabama 2-15 -13 1 --- -13.96
404 H South Alabama 8- 7 1 1 0.04
407 H Georgia Tech 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.26
410 H Texas State 10- 8 2 1 0.86
411 A Arkansas State 4- 3 1 -1 1.72
412 A Arkansas State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.28
414 A Wake Forest 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.54
417 H Georgia State 15- 7 8 3 ++ 5.48
418 H Georgia State 7- 2 5 3 + 2.48
419 H Georgia State 5-11 -6 3 --- -8.52
421 A UNC Wilmington 1- 2 -1 0 -1.49
424 H Texas State 6- 2 4 1 + 2.86
425 H Texas State 2- 1 1 1 -0.14
426 H Texas State 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.14
428 A North Carolina 12- 2 10 -4 +++ 13.99
501 A Georgia Southern 8- 7 1 3 -1.90
503 A Georgia Southern 14- 4 10 3 +++ 7.10
503 A Georgia Southern 4- 7 -3 3 -- -5.90
505 H Clemson 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.51
508 H Old Dominion 16- 8 8 3 ++ 5.15
509 H Old Dominion 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.85
510 H Old Dominion 2- 9 -7 3 --- -9.85
512 H The Citadel 5- 3 2 1 0.78
514 H UTSA 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.00
515 H Texas State 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.14
516 A Louisiana 2- 3 -1 0 -0.73
520 H Louisiana 11-12 -1 1 - -2.08
521 H App State 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.02
522 H Louisiana 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.08
529 H Northern Illinois 10-12 -2 3 -- -4.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Illinois 5-14 -9 1 --- -10.01 301 H Loyola Marymount 9-11 -2 5 --- -7.19 318 H Oklahoma State 3-12 -9 -1 --- -7.91 403 H South Alabama 2-15 -13 1 --- -13.96 419 H Georgia State 5-11 -6 3 --- -8.52 510 H Old Dominion 2- 9 -7 3 --- -9.85 515 H Texas State 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.14 217 H Charleston 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.05 228 H UTSA 10-16 -6 -1 -- -5.00 308 H East Carolina 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.42 407 H Georgia Tech 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.26 426 H Texas State 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.14 503 A Georgia Southern 4- 7 -3 3 -- -5.90 505 H Clemson 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.51 509 H Old Dominion 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.85 529 H Northern Illinois 10-12 -2 3 -- -4.62 227 A Texas 1- 8 -7 -5 - -2.34 412 A Arkansas State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.28 414 A Wake Forest 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.54 514 H UTSA 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.00 520 H Louisiana 11-12 -1 1 - -2.08 522 H Louisiana 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Eastern Illinois 13- 3 10 1 +++ 8.99 307 H East Carolina 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 6.58 310 H Wake Forest 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.11 328 A Marshall 12- 4 8 1 +++ 6.66 402 H South Alabama 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.04 428 A North Carolina 12- 2 10 -4 +++ 13.99 503 A Georgia Southern 14- 4 10 3 +++ 7.10 224 H Campbell 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.21 306 A Stanford 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.75 313 A App State 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.37 320 H Janes Madison 12- 2 10 4 ++ 5.94 321 A Penn State 10- 1 9 3 ++ 5.91 322 H Janes Madison 16- 6 10 4 ++ 5.94 417 H Georgia State 15- 7 8 3 ++ 5.48 508 H Old Dominion 16- 8 8 3 ++ 5.15 521 H App State 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.02 314 A App State 7- 4 3 0 + 3.37 324 A Clemson 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.84 418 H Georgia State 7- 2 5 3 + 2.48 424 H Texas State 6- 2 4 1 + 2.86 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 3 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 0.49 10.67
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 0 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 0.49 10.67
3 H Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 5- 1 -6.87 11.56 -0.68 0.49 10.67
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 3- 4 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.49 -1.83
3 A Eastern Illino ( 8- 7, 93.8) 13- 3 -6.10 12.32 0.68 0.49 12.74
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 5-14 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.49 -1.33
3 H VCU (10-10, 94.2) 6- 3 -5.68 12.75 -0.68 0.49 11.84
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 13- 7 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.49 12.95
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 1- 8 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.49 -0.06
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 10-16 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.49 -0.84
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 9-11 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.49 -2.36
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 4- 2 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.49 11.96
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 10- 4 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.49 13.49
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 7- 1 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.49 14.30
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 4-10 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.49 -0.94
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 10- 4 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.49 14.82
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 10- 6 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.49 14.10
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 7- 4 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.49 14.10
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 8- 7 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.49 14.10
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 3-12 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.49 -0.82
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 12- 2 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.49 9.75
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 10- 1 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.49 10.70
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 16- 6 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.49 9.75
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 11- 9 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.49 14.55
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 11- 9 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.49 12.42
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 12- 4 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.49 12.42
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 5- 4 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.49 12.42
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 3- 2 -4.96 13.47 0.68 0.49 13.87
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 12- 2 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.49 12.79
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 2-15 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.49 -1.32
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 8- 7 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.49 12.79
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 2-11 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.49 -0.17
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 10- 8 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.49 12.61
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 4- 3 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.49 14.44
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 3- 6 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.49 -0.91
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 5-10 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.49 -0.48
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 15- 7 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.49 11.26
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 7- 2 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.49 11.26
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 5-11 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.49 -1.70
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 1- 2 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.49 -1.20
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6- 2 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.49 12.61
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 2- 1 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.49 12.61
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6-10 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.49 -1.36
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 12- 2 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.49 17.65
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 8- 7 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.49 10.89
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 14- 4 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.49 10.89
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 4- 7 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.49 -1.79
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 4- 8 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.49 -1.21
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 16- 8 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.49 10.94
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 3- 6 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.49 -1.78
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 2- 9 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.49 -1.78
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 5- 3 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.49 12.54
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 2- 6 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.49 -0.84
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6-12 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.49 -1.36
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 2- 3 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.49 -1.02
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 11-12 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.49 -1.35
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 8- 2 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.49 12.77
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 4- 5 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.49 -1.35
3 H Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 10-12 -6.36 12.07 -0.68 0.49 -1.72
------
408.86
|
winning pts = 438.3646 losing points = -29.5058
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------