Davidson
W-L: ( 1- 7) PR = 90.0398Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1- 7 228 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 1-11 301 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 6-12 331 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 9-14 407 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 8- 4 414 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 6- 8 520 A VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 4- 7 521 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 1- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Wake Forest 1- 7 -6 -8 1.90
228 H Loyola Marymount 1-11 -10 0 --- -9.75
301 H Auburn 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.16
331 A Duke 9-14 -5 -5 0.13
407 H Kentucky 8- 4 4 -5 +++ 9.20
414 A South Carolina 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.19
520 A VCU 4- 7 -3 -5 1.86
521 H George Mason 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Loyola Marymount 1-11 -10 0 --- -9.75 521 H George Mason 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Kentucky 8- 4 4 -5 +++ 9.20 301 H Auburn 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.16 414 A South Carolina 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1- 7 -2.63 15.79 0.68 3.62 -3.54
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 1-11 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 3.62 -17.37
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 6-12 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 3.62 -3.08
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 9-14 -5.40 13.02 0.68 3.62 -8.55
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 8- 4 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 3.62 99.53
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 6- 8 -5.35 13.08 0.68 3.62 -8.45
3 A VCU (10-10, 94.2) 4- 7 -5.68 12.75 0.68 3.62 -9.04
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 1- 9 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 3.62 -19.07
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30.45
|
winning pts = 99.5338 losing points = -69.0870
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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