Dayton
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 93.0591Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 6-11 214 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 3- 1 215 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 6- 9 220 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 17-13 220 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 17- 7 221 H Iona MAAC ( 1- 1, 95.2) 3- 1 421 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 6- 8 512 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Lipscomb 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.14
214 A Lipscomb 3- 1 2 0 1.86
215 A Lipscomb 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.14
220 A Northwestern 17-13 4 0 ++ 4.13
220 H Hawai'i 17- 7 10 0 +++ 9.92
221 H Iona 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.43
421 H Bellarmine 6- 8 -2 3 -- -4.58
512 A Notre Dame 6-16 -10 -4 --- -6.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Notre Dame 6-16 -10 -4 --- -6.49 213 A Lipscomb 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.14 421 H Bellarmine 6- 8 -2 3 -- -4.58 215 A Lipscomb 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Hawai'i 17- 7 10 0 +++ 9.92 220 A Northwestern 17-13 4 0 ++ 4.13 221 H Iona 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 6-11 -7.65 10.77 0.68 3.62 -12.62
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 3- 1 -7.65 10.77 0.68 3.62 82.76
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 6- 9 -7.65 10.77 0.68 3.62 -12.62
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 17-13 -7.38 11.04 0.68 3.62 84.72
3 H Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 17- 7 -6.25 12.18 -0.68 3.62 83.18
3 H Iona ( 1- 1, 95.2) 3- 1 -4.74 13.69 -0.68 3.62 94.10
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 6- 8 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 3.62 -17.02
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 6-16 -4.01 14.42 0.68 3.62 -6.02
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296.49
|
winning pts = 344.7620 losing points = -48.2715
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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