UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Eastern Michig
  
Eastern Michigan      
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 89.2490

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 2-13 218 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 2-19 220 H South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 7- 5 221 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 7- 8 222 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 1- 6 303 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 1- 7 310 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 5-13 406 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 4-15 428 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 4- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Mississippi State       2-13     -11    -9          -1.59
   218 H Mississippi State       2-19     -17    -9    --    -4.59
   220 H South Carolina          7- 5       2    -5    +++    6.63
   221 A Austin Peay             7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.19
   222 A Austin Peay             1- 6      -5    -4          -0.81
   303 H Tennessee               1- 7      -6    -7           0.76
   310 H Michigan State          5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.88
   406 H Michigan                4-15     -11    -6    --    -5.09
   428 H Missouri State          4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H Mississippi State       2-19     -17    -9    --    -4.59
   406 H Michigan                4-15     -11    -6    --    -5.09
   310 H Michigan State          5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H South Carolina          7- 5       2    -5    +++    6.63
   428 H Missouri State          4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.38
   221 A Austin Peay             7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.19

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Mississippi St  (43-20, 99.3)     2-13       -0.56      17.86      -0.68         3.21            -1.99
   3 H Mississippi St  (43-20, 99.3)     2-19       -0.56      17.86      -0.68         3.21            -1.99
   3 H South Carolina  (21-34, 94.6)     7- 5       -5.35      13.08      -0.68         3.21            79.70
   3 A Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)     7- 8       -7.14      11.29       0.68         3.21           -10.39
   3 A Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)     1- 6       -7.14      11.29       0.68         3.21           -10.39
   3 H Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     1- 7       -3.21      15.22      -0.68         3.21            -6.25
   3 H Michigan State  (26-28, 95.0)     5-13       -4.86      13.57      -0.68         3.21            -8.89
   3 H Michigan        (35-22, 95.8)     4-15       -4.07      14.36      -0.68         3.21            -7.62
   3 H Missouri State  (35-19, 96.3)     4- 6       -3.59      14.83      -0.68         3.21            -6.86
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        25.34

winning pts = 79.7008 losing points = -54.3612

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------