East Tennessee State
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 95.9246Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 5- 7 225 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 5- 8 303 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 1- 4 307 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 4- 6 308 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 13- 0 324 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 9- 4 414 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 10-12 421 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 1- 3 501 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 14- 7 502 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 6- 1 503 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 3- 4 520 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 A Virginia Tech 5- 7 -2 0 -1.95
225 H App State 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.42
303 H Virginia Tech 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.31
307 A Janes Madison 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.15
308 A Janes Madison 13- 0 13 3 +++ 9.85
324 H Virginia Tech 9- 4 5 1 + 3.69
414 A Georgia 10-12 -2 -4 1.70
421 A App State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.07
501 A UConn 14- 7 7 1 +++ 6.11
502 A UConn 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.11
503 A UConn 3- 4 -1 1 -1.89
520 H UNC Greensboro 5- 6 -1 5 -- -5.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H App State 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.42 303 H Virginia Tech 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.31 307 A Janes Madison 4- 6 -2 3 -- -5.15 520 H UNC Greensboro 5- 6 -1 5 -- -5.66 421 A App State 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Janes Madison 13- 0 13 3 +++ 9.85 501 A UConn 14- 7 7 1 +++ 6.11 502 A UConn 6- 1 5 1 ++ 4.11 324 H Virginia Tech 9- 4 5 1 + 3.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 5- 7 -4.61 13.82 0.68 2.41 -4.74
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 5- 8 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 2.41 -6.50
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 1- 4 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 2.41 -6.36
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 4- 6 -7.80 10.63 0.68 2.41 -8.59
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 13- 0 -7.80 10.63 0.68 2.41 54.47
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 9- 4 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 2.41 63.36
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 10-12 -0.95 17.47 0.68 2.41 -0.34
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 1- 3 -4.72 13.70 0.68 2.41 -4.88
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 14- 7 -5.54 12.88 0.68 2.41 65.35
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 6- 1 -5.54 12.88 0.68 2.41 65.35
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 3- 4 -5.54 12.88 0.68 2.41 -5.87
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 5- 6 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 2.41 -10.41
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200.87
|
winning pts = 248.5392 losing points = -47.6737
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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