Fresno State
W-L: ( 9-14) PR = 93.2687Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 3- 8 214 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 4- 5 215 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 14- 8 220 A Iona MAAC ( 1- 1, 95.2) 1- 7 221 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 10- 6 222 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 11- 7 223 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 11- 3 227 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 228 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 15- 4 301 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 11- 6 306 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 0- 5 307 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 5- 9 308 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 4-14 310 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3-13 317 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 9-11 323 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 8- 1 331 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4-10 414 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 10- 6 420 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 4- 8 421 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 5- 2 429 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 4- 7 505 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2- 6 512 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 10-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Utah 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.14
214 H Utah 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.14
215 H Utah 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 6.86
220 A Iona 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.43
221 H Pepperdine 10- 6 4 2 1.52
222 H Pepperdine 11- 7 4 2 1.52
223 H Pepperdine 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.52
227 A Stanford 5- 6 -1 -2 0.97
228 A Stanford 15- 4 11 -2 +++ 12.97
301 H Cal Poly 11- 6 5 -1 +++ 6.36
306 H Oklahoma State 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.70
307 A Arizona 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.77
308 A Arizona 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.77
310 A Cal Poly 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.29
317 H Cal State Northridge 9-11 -2 0 - -2.31
323 H Long Beach State 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.94
331 H Cal Poly 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.64
414 H Cal State Bakersfield 10- 6 4 1 + 2.94
420 H Stanford 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.39
421 A Long Beach State 5- 2 3 0 + 3.29
429 A Cal State Northridge 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.96
505 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.70
512 H Cal Poly 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Arizona 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.77 310 A Cal Poly 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.29 213 H Utah 3- 8 -5 -1 -- -4.14 331 H Cal Poly 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.64 220 A Iona 1- 7 -6 -3 - -3.43 307 A Arizona 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.77 317 H Cal State Northridge 9-11 -2 0 - -2.31 420 H Stanford 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.39 505 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.70 512 H Cal Poly 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Utah 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 6.86 228 A Stanford 15- 4 11 -2 +++ 12.97 301 H Cal Poly 11- 6 5 -1 +++ 6.36 223 H Pepperdine 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.52 323 H Long Beach State 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.94 414 H Cal State Bakersfield 10- 6 4 1 + 2.94 421 A Long Beach State 5- 2 3 0 + 3.29 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 3- 8 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 1.26 -3.63
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 4- 5 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 1.26 -3.63
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 14- 8 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 1.26 31.83
3 A Iona ( 1- 1, 95.2) 1- 7 -4.74 13.69 0.68 1.26 -2.55
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 10- 6 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 1.26 23.43
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 11- 7 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 1.26 23.43
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 11- 3 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 1.26 23.43
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.34 13.08 0.68 1.26 -2.93
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 15- 4 -5.34 13.08 0.68 1.26 34.60
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 11- 6 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 1.26 33.08
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 0- 5 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 1.26 -2.09
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 5- 9 -6.08 12.35 0.68 1.26 -3.40
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 4-14 -6.08 12.35 0.68 1.26 -3.40
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3-13 -4.60 13.83 0.68 1.26 -2.47
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 9-11 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 1.26 -4.37
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 8- 1 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 1.26 26.99
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4-10 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 1.26 -3.32
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 10- 6 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 1.26 27.01
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 4- 8 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 1.26 -3.78
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 5- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 1.26 30.39
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 4- 7 -6.27 12.16 0.68 1.26 -3.52
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 2- 6 -7.01 11.41 0.68 1.26 -3.98
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 10-15 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 1.26 -3.32
------
207.81
|
winning pts = 254.1841 losing points = -46.3715
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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