Georgia Southern
W-L: (16-40) PR = 91.9086Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 3-15 214 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 10-11 214 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 2- 5 217 A Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 1- 4 220 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 7- 8 221 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 4-29 222 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 3- 4 224 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 5- 7 228 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 4- 3 228 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 2- 8 301 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 9- 7 304 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 1- 7 306 A Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 2- 3 307 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 14- 4 308 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 11- 6 310 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 6- 1 313 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 6-14 314 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 2- 3 315 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 6-12 317 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 6-17 320 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 16-17 321 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5- 8 322 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 18-12 324 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 8-14 325 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 5- 2 327 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 4- 3 328 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 10- 0 329 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5-11 331 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 3- 2 402 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 5- 8 403 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 5-15 403 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 9- 8 410 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 5-12 411 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 5-13 412 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 12-13 414 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 9-13 417 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 3- 8 418 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 6- 7 419 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 3- 6 422 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 3-10 424 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 3-16 425 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 5-11 426 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 3- 7 428 H Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 18- 4 429 H Maine AE ( 6-12, 93.1) 9- 1 501 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 7- 8 503 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 4-14 503 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 7- 4 506 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 7-10 508 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 1- 5 508 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 5-10 509 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 6- 5 512 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 9- 5 514 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 3- 9 515 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 1-19 516 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 0-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H West Virginia 3-15 -12 -6 --- -6.43
214 H West Virginia 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 4.57
214 H West Virginia 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.57
217 A Lamar 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.97
220 H Stetson 7- 8 -1 0 -0.82
221 A South Florida 4-29 -25 -3 --- -10.65
222 A South Florida 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.35
224 H Kennesaw State 5- 7 -2 -2 0.09
228 H South Carolina Upstate 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.39
228 H South Carolina Upstate 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.61
301 A App State 9- 7 2 -4 ++ 5.95
304 H Middle Tennessee 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.15
306 A Wright State 2- 3 -1 -3 1.89
307 H Tennessee Tech 14- 4 10 3 +++ 7.40
308 H Tennessee Tech 11- 6 5 3 + 2.40
310 A Clemson 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 9.41
313 A Janes Madison 6-14 -8 -1 --- -7.13
314 A Janes Madison 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.13
315 A Janes Madison 6-12 -6 -1 -- -5.13
317 H Mississippi State 6-17 -11 -7 -- -4.25
320 H Marshall 16-17 -1 -1 -0.12
321 A Lipscomb 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.99
322 H Marshall 18-12 6 -1 +++ 6.88
324 A Charleston Southern 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.85
325 A Charleston 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.88
327 H Troy 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.64
328 H Troy 10- 0 10 -4 +++ 13.64
329 H Troy 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.36
331 A North Florida 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.23
402 A Texas State 5- 8 -3 -4 0.78
403 A Texas State 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.22
403 A Texas State 9- 8 1 -4 ++ 4.78
410 A Central Arkansas 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.52
411 H South Alabama 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.39
412 H South Alabama 12-13 -1 -3 1.61
414 A Georgia Tech 9-13 -4 -9 ++ 4.67
417 A Old Dominion 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.92
418 A Old Dominion 6- 7 -1 -2 1.08
419 A Old Dominion 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.92
422 H The Citadel 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.64
424 A App State 3-16 -13 -4 --- -9.05
425 A App State 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.05
426 A App State 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.05
428 H Charleston Southern 18- 4 14 -1 +++ 14.80
429 H Maine 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.49
501 H Coastal Carolina 7- 8 -1 -3 1.90
503 H Coastal Carolina 4-14 -10 -3 --- -7.10
503 H Coastal Carolina 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.90
506 H Mercer 7-10 -3 -3 -0.24
508 H Georgia State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.95
508 H Georgia State 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.95
509 H Georgia State 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.05
512 H Charleston 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.53
514 H North Alabama 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.18
515 H UTSA 1-19 -18 -5 --- -9.43
516 A Southern Miss 0-11 -11 -5 -- -5.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H West Virginia 3-15 -12 -6 --- -6.43 221 A South Florida 4-29 -25 -3 --- -10.65 313 A Janes Madison 6-14 -8 -1 --- -7.13 403 A Texas State 5-15 -10 -4 --- -6.22 424 A App State 3-16 -13 -4 --- -9.05 503 H Coastal Carolina 4-14 -10 -3 --- -7.10 515 H UTSA 1-19 -18 -5 --- -9.43 304 H Middle Tennessee 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.15 315 A Janes Madison 6-12 -6 -1 -- -5.13 317 H Mississippi State 6-17 -11 -7 -- -4.25 410 A Central Arkansas 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.52 411 H South Alabama 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.39 422 H The Citadel 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.64 514 H North Alabama 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.18 516 A Southern Miss 0-11 -11 -5 -- -5.61 228 H South Carolina Upstate 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.61 324 A Charleston Southern 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.85 329 H Troy 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.36 417 A Old Dominion 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.92 425 A App State 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.05 508 H Georgia State 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.95 508 H Georgia State 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Tennessee Tech 14- 4 10 3 +++ 7.40 310 A Clemson 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 9.41 322 H Marshall 18-12 6 -1 +++ 6.88 328 H Troy 10- 0 10 -4 +++ 13.64 428 H Charleston Southern 18- 4 14 -1 +++ 14.80 429 H Maine 9- 1 8 0 +++ 8.49 214 H West Virginia 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 4.57 301 A App State 9- 7 2 -4 ++ 5.95 325 A Charleston 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.88 327 H Troy 4- 3 1 -4 ++ 4.64 403 A Texas State 9- 8 1 -4 ++ 4.78 414 A Georgia Tech 9-13 -4 -9 ++ 4.67 503 H Coastal Carolina 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.90 512 H Charleston 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.53 214 H West Virginia 2- 5 -3 -6 + 2.57 222 A South Florida 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.35 228 H South Carolina Upstate 4- 3 1 -2 + 3.39 308 H Tennessee Tech 11- 6 5 3 + 2.40 331 A North Florida 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.23 509 H Georgia State 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 3-15 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.52 -0.63
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 10-11 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.52 -0.63
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 2- 5 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.52 -0.63
3 A Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 1- 4 -6.64 11.79 0.68 0.52 -1.54
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 7- 8 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.52 -2.02
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 4-29 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.52 -1.20
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 3- 4 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.52 -1.20
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 5- 7 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.52 -1.52
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 4- 3 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.52 13.24
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 2- 8 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.52 -1.45
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 9- 7 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 14.85
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 1- 7 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.52 -1.84
3 A Wright State (10-12, 94.1) 2- 3 -5.77 12.65 0.68 0.52 -1.32
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 14- 4 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.52 8.09
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 11- 6 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.52 8.09
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 6- 1 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.52 15.33
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 6-14 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.52 -1.84
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 2- 3 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.52 -1.84
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 6-12 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.52 -1.84
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 6-17 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.52 -0.32
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 16-17 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.52 -1.84
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5- 8 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.52 -1.80
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 18-12 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.52 11.69
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 8-14 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.52 -1.51
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 5- 2 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.52 12.72
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.52 14.54
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 10- 0 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.52 14.54
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5-11 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.52 -1.12
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 3- 2 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.52 13.08
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 5- 8 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.52 -1.09
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 5-15 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.52 -1.09
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 9- 8 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.52 14.69
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 5-12 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.52 -1.68
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 5-13 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.52 -1.39
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 12-13 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.52 -1.39
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 9-13 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.52 -0.17
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 3- 8 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.52 -1.53
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 6- 7 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.52 -1.53
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 3- 6 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.52 -1.53
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 3-10 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.52 -1.46
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 3-16 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 5-11 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 3- 7 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 H Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 18- 4 -6.52 11.91 -0.68 0.52 11.60
3 H Maine ( 6-12, 93.1) 9- 1 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.52 11.29
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 7- 8 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.52 -1.32
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 4-14 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.52 -1.32
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 7- 4 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.52 13.77
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 7-10 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 0.52 -1.35
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 1- 5 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.52 -1.79
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 5-10 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.52 -1.79
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 6- 5 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.52 11.87
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 9- 5 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.52 11.32
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 3- 9 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.52 -1.85
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 1-19 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.52 -0.88
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 0-11 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.52 -0.67
------
147.67
|
winning pts = 200.6911 losing points = -53.0259
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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