George Mason
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 90.0234Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 2- 6 214 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 5-14 214 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 4-14 215 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 1-11 220 A Army PAT ( 4- 5, 90.5) 6- 9 306 A Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 5- 7 307 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 12- 7 308 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 4- 5 408 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 4-15 421 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 7- 4 428 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 1- 5 505 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 15-14 520 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 8-19 521 A Davidson A10 ( 1- 7, 90.0) 9- 1 522 A Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3- 5, 89.7) 4-14 522 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 11- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Oregon 2- 6 -4 -8 + 3.77
214 A Oregon 5-14 -9 -8 -1.23
214 A Oregon 4-14 -10 -8 - -2.23
215 A Oregon 1-11 -10 -8 - -2.23
220 A Army 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.86
306 A Columbia 5- 7 -2 -2 0.07
307 A Georgetown 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.77
308 H Georgetown 4- 5 -1 0 -0.58
408 A Maryland 4-15 -11 -5 -- -5.56
421 H Janes Madison 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.40
428 A Virginia 1- 5 -4 -7 + 2.75
505 A William & Mary 15-14 1 -2 + 3.17
520 H Rhode Island 8-19 -11 0 --- -11.45
521 A Davidson 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.69
522 A Saint Joseph's 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.63
522 H Richmond 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Rhode Island 8-19 -11 0 --- -11.45 522 A Saint Joseph's 4-14 -10 0 --- -9.63 408 A Maryland 4-15 -11 -5 -- -5.56 214 A Oregon 4-14 -10 -8 - -2.23 215 A Oregon 1-11 -10 -8 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Georgetown 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.77 521 A Davidson 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 8.69 421 H Janes Madison 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.40 522 H Richmond 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.13 213 A Oregon 2- 6 -4 -8 + 3.77 428 A Virginia 1- 5 -4 -7 + 2.75 505 A William & Mary 15-14 1 -2 + 3.17 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 2- 6 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.81 -1.90
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 5-14 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.81 -1.90
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 4-14 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.81 -1.90
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 1-11 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.81 -1.90
3 A Army ( 4- 5, 90.5) 6- 9 -9.41 9.02 0.68 1.81 -7.89
3 A Columbia ( 4-11, 91.4) 5- 7 -8.49 9.94 0.68 1.81 -7.06
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 12- 7 -8.78 9.65 0.68 1.81 37.32
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 4- 5 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 1.81 -8.55
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 4-15 -5.11 13.31 0.68 1.81 -4.01
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 7- 4 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 1.81 35.97
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 1- 5 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.81 -2.82
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 15-14 -8.38 10.05 0.68 1.81 38.76
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 8-19 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 1.81 -9.33
3 A Davidson ( 1- 7, 90.0) 9- 1 -9.86 8.57 0.68 1.81 33.41
3 A Saint Joseph's ( 3- 5, 89.7) 4-14 -10.19 8.24 0.68 1.81 -8.59
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 11- 6 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 1.81 31.36
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120.96
|
winning pts = 176.8231 losing points = -55.8586
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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