Gonzaga
W-L: (35-19) PR = 95.7042Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 2- 3 214 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3- 5 215 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 7- 2 216 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 3- 4 220 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 6- 9 221 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 5- 1 222 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 0- 5 227 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 4-14 228 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 1-11 301 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 7- 1 307 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 1- 2 307 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 5- 4 308 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 6- 7 310 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 8-11 311 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2- 6 313 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 314 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 315 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 23-16 320 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 6- 7 321 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 7- 6 322 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 11- 6 325 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 19- 8 327 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 7- 6 328 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 12- 5 329 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 4- 7 330 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 7- 2 402 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 2- 5 403 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 9- 2 404 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 4- 3 406 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 9- 2 407 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 8- 5 410 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 12-10 411 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 11- 3 412 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 12-11 417 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 7- 2 418 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 14- 4 419 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 6- 5 421 A Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 16- 8 424 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 4- 3 425 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 7- 1 426 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 14- 8 428 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 3- 4 501 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3- 5 502 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 7- 6 503 H Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 4-12 504 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 10- 5 508 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 7- 0 509 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 13- 0 510 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 12- 5 514 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 12- 6 515 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 5- 2 516 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 16-13 521 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4-13 522 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Hawai'i 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.37
214 A Hawai'i 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.37
215 A Hawai'i 7- 2 5 1 + 3.63
216 A Hawai'i 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.37
220 H Florida 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.11
221 A Texas State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.99
222 A Texas State 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.01
227 A Oklahoma 4-14 -10 -2 --- -7.97
228 A Oklahoma 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.97
301 A Oklahoma 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 8.03
307 A Creighton 1- 2 -1 1 -1.61
307 A Creighton 5- 4 1 1 0.39
308 A Creighton 6- 7 -1 1 -1.61
310 A Minnesota 8-11 -3 -2 -0.69
311 A Minnesota 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.69
313 A Indiana State 7- 4 3 3 0.28
314 A Indiana State 7- 4 3 3 0.28
315 A Indiana State 23-16 7 3 ++ 4.28
320 A San Diego 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.43
321 H Auburn 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.49
322 A San Diego 11- 6 5 2 + 2.57
325 H Washington State 19- 8 11 2 +++ 8.63
327 A Pacific 7- 6 1 3 -1.62
328 A Pacific 12- 5 7 3 ++ 4.38
329 A Pacific 4- 7 -3 3 -- -5.62
330 H Seton Hall 7- 2 5 6 -0.92
402 H Pepperdine 2- 5 -3 5 --- -7.91
403 H Pepperdine 9- 2 7 5 + 2.09
404 H Pepperdine 4- 3 1 5 - -3.91
406 A Washington 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.85
407 A Washington 8- 5 3 1 1.85
410 A Cal State Fullerton 12-10 2 1 0.68
411 H Portland 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.89
412 H Portland 12-11 1 3 - -2.11
417 A Saint Mary's 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.54
418 A Saint Mary's 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.54
419 A Saint Mary's 6- 5 1 0 0.54
421 A Washington State 16- 8 8 1 +++ 6.98
424 H Loyola Marymount 4- 3 1 5 -- -4.41
425 H Loyola Marymount 7- 1 6 5 0.59
426 H Loyola Marymount 14- 8 6 5 0.59
428 A Oregon 3- 4 -1 -2 1.09
501 H Santa Clara 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.99
502 H Santa Clara 7- 6 1 3 -1.99
503 H Santa Clara 4-12 -8 3 --- -10.99
504 H Washington State 10- 5 5 2 + 2.63
508 A San Francisco 7- 0 7 4 + 2.96
509 A San Francisco 13- 0 13 4 +++ 8.96
510 A San Francisco 12- 5 7 4 + 2.96
514 A Cal State Fullerton 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.68
515 A Long Beach State 5- 2 3 2 0.85
516 H Seattle U 16-13 3 6 - -2.65
521 H Saint Mary's 4-13 -9 2 --- -10.81
522 A San Francisco 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.04
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Oklahoma 4-14 -10 -2 --- -7.97 228 A Oklahoma 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.97 402 H Pepperdine 2- 5 -3 5 --- -7.91 503 H Santa Clara 4-12 -8 3 --- -10.99 521 H Saint Mary's 4-13 -9 2 --- -10.81 222 A Texas State 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.01 329 A Pacific 4- 7 -3 3 -- -5.62 424 H Loyola Marymount 4- 3 1 5 -- -4.41 501 H Santa Clara 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.99 522 A San Francisco 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.04 213 A Hawai'i 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.37 214 A Hawai'i 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.37 216 A Hawai'i 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.37 320 A San Diego 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.43 404 H Pepperdine 4- 3 1 5 - -3.91 412 H Portland 12-11 1 3 - -2.11 516 H Seattle U 16-13 3 6 - -2.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Oklahoma 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 8.03 325 H Washington State 19- 8 11 2 +++ 8.63 418 A Saint Mary's 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.54 421 A Washington State 16- 8 8 1 +++ 6.98 509 A San Francisco 13- 0 13 4 +++ 8.96 315 A Indiana State 23-16 7 3 ++ 4.28 328 A Pacific 12- 5 7 3 ++ 4.38 406 A Washington 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.85 411 H Portland 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.89 417 A Saint Mary's 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.54 514 A Cal State Fullerton 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.68 215 A Hawai'i 7- 2 5 1 + 3.63 221 A Texas State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.99 321 H Auburn 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.49 322 A San Diego 11- 6 5 2 + 2.57 403 H Pepperdine 9- 2 7 5 + 2.09 504 H Washington State 10- 5 5 2 + 2.63 508 A San Francisco 7- 0 7 4 + 2.96 510 A San Francisco 12- 5 7 4 + 2.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 2- 3 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.54 -1.49
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3- 5 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.54 -1.49
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 7- 2 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.54 13.77
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 3- 4 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.54 -1.49
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 6- 9 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.54 -0.62
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 5- 1 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.54 15.23
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 0- 5 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.54 -1.13
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 4-14 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.54 -0.58
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 1-11 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.54 -0.58
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 7- 1 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.54 17.42
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 1- 2 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.54 -1.29
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 5- 4 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.54 14.59
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 6- 7 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.54 -1.29
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 8-11 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.54 -0.51
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 2- 6 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.54 -0.51
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 -7.59 10.84 0.68 0.54 12.33
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 4 -7.59 10.84 0.68 0.54 12.33
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 23-16 -7.59 10.84 0.68 0.54 12.33
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 6- 7 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.54 -1.77
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 7- 6 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.54 17.91
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 11- 6 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.54 12.64
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 19- 8 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.54 12.70
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 7- 6 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.54 12.43
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 12- 5 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.54 12.43
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 4- 7 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.54 -1.83
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 7- 2 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.54 8.90
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 2- 5 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.54 -2.44
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 9- 2 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.54 9.98
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 4- 3 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.54 9.98
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 9- 2 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.54 14.01
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 8- 5 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.54 14.01
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 12-10 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.54 13.83
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 11- 3 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.54 11.91
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 12-11 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.54 11.91
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 7- 2 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.54 14.75
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 14- 4 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.54 14.75
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 6- 5 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.54 14.75
3 A Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 16- 8 -5.89 12.53 0.68 0.54 14.15
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 4- 3 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.54 9.44
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 7- 1 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.54 9.44
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 14- 8 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.54 9.44
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.54 -0.56
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3- 5 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.54 -1.92
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 7- 6 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.54 12.04
3 H Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 4-12 -6.51 11.91 -0.68 0.54 -1.92
3 H Washington Sta (13-18, 94.0) 10- 5 -5.89 12.53 -0.68 0.54 12.70
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 7- 0 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.54 10.92
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 13- 0 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.54 10.92
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 12- 5 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.54 10.92
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 12- 6 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.54 13.83
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 5- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.54 12.94
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 16-13 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.54 9.19
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4-13 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.54 -1.61
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 5- 6 -8.91 9.51 0.68 0.54 -2.21
------
415.61
|
winning pts = 440.8427 losing points = -25.2301
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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