UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Gardner-Webb
  
Gardner-Webb          
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 92.2346

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 2-11 227 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 7- 6 228 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 11-10 301 A Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 8- 1 303 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 3- 5 306 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 19- 2 307 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 2- 4 308 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 1-16 324 H North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 6-10 331 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 6-16 407 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 14-11 414 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 11- 1 509 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 9-11 512 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 1-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H East Carolina           2-11      -9    -4    --    -5.17
   227 H App State               7- 6       1    -2    +      3.27
   228 H App State              11-10       1    -2    +      3.27
   301 A Marist                  8- 1       7     0    +++    7.12
   303 H Middle Tennessee        3- 5      -2    -1          -1.48
   306 H New Mexico State       19- 2      17     0    +++   13.97
   307 A Oklahoma State          2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.68
   308 A Oklahoma State          1-16     -15    -6    ---   -8.32
   324 H North Carolina A&T      6-10      -4     3    ---   -6.78
   331 A North Carolina A&T      6-16     -10     1    ---  -11.43
   407 H Elon                   14-11       3     1           1.99
   414 H Queens University      11- 1      10     3    +++    6.87
   509 H Campbell                9-11      -2    -2           0.45
   512 A Charlotte               1-11     -10    -3    ---   -7.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Oklahoma State          1-16     -15    -6    ---   -8.32
   324 H North Carolina A&T      6-10      -4     3    ---   -6.78
   331 A North Carolina A&T      6-16     -10     1    ---  -11.43
   512 A Charlotte               1-11     -10    -3    ---   -7.45
   218 H East Carolina           2-11      -9    -4    --    -5.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Marist                  8- 1       7     0    +++    7.12
   306 H New Mexico State       19- 2      17     0    +++   13.97
   414 H Queens University      11- 1      10     3    +++    6.87
   227 H App State               7- 6       1    -2    +      3.27
   228 H App State              11-10       1    -2    +      3.27
   307 A Oklahoma State          2- 4      -2    -6    +      3.68

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H East Carolina   (36-25, 96.7)     2-11       -3.16      15.26      -0.68         2.07            -3.97
   3 H App State       (31-23, 95.2)     7- 6       -4.72      13.70      -0.68         2.07            53.83
   3 H App State       (31-23, 95.2)    11-10       -4.72      13.70      -0.68         2.07            53.83
   3 A Marist          ( 3-11, 91.7)     8- 1       -8.22      10.21       0.68         2.07            44.96
   3 H Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     3- 5       -6.47      11.96      -0.68         2.07            -7.38
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (21-32, 92.9)    19- 2       -7.02      11.41      -0.68         2.07            44.34
   3 A Oklahoma State  (39-22, 97.2)     2- 4       -2.66      15.77       0.68         2.07            -2.05
   3 A Oklahoma State  (39-22, 97.2)     1-16       -2.66      15.77       0.68         2.07            -2.05
   3 H North Carolina  (17-29, 90.1)     6-10       -9.77       8.66      -0.68         2.07           -10.79
   3 A North Carolina  (17-29, 90.1)     6-16       -9.77       8.66       0.68         2.07            -9.39
   3 H Elon            (22-27, 91.9)    14-11       -8.00      10.43      -0.68         2.07            40.29
   3 H Queens Univers  (15-39, 89.8)    11- 1      -10.12       8.30      -0.68         2.07            31.52
   3 H Campbell        (40-17, 95.4)     9-11       -4.54      13.89      -0.68         2.07            -5.38
   3 A Charlotte       (25-31, 94.1)     1-11       -5.79      12.64       0.68         2.07            -5.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       222.48

winning pts = 268.7614 losing points = -46.2834

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------