Hawai'i
W-L: (21-26) PR = 93.6545Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 3- 2 214 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 5- 3 215 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 2- 7 216 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 4- 3 219 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 7- 1 220 A Dayton A10 ( 4- 4, 93.1) 7-17 222 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 3-13 222 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 1- 7 226 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 6- 1 227 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 12- 0 301 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 6-11 306 A Jackson State SWAC ( 2- 5, 89.4) 2- 5 307 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 7-10 308 H Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3- 7 313 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 11- 1 314 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 6- 7 315 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 1- 2 320 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 1 321 H TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 3- 6 322 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1- 5 327 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 0- 2 328 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 6- 2 329 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 6- 5 402 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 9-10 403 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 6- 3 404 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 0- 8 410 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 14- 6 411 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 3- 0 412 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 1- 5 417 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 0- 2 418 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 5- 3 419 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 14- 5 421 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 7-12 424 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 4-12 425 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 8 426 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 3 429 H Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 11- 3 501 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 1- 0 502 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 9- 1 503 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 10- 5 508 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 4- 1 509 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 2- 4 510 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 1- 3 514 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 4-11 515 A Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 7- 3 515 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 1- 8 520 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Gonzaga 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.37
214 H Gonzaga 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.37
215 H Gonzaga 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.63
216 H Gonzaga 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.37
219 A Utah 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.83
220 A Dayton 7-17 -10 0 --- -9.92
222 H Wichita State 3-13 -10 0 --- -9.75
222 H Wichita State 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.75
226 H Ball State 6- 1 5 3 + 2.05
227 H Ball State 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.05
301 A UTSA 6-11 -5 -4 -0.82
306 A Jackson State 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.59
307 H Cal Poly 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.03
308 H Cal Poly 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.03
313 A Long Beach State 11- 1 10 0 +++ 9.90
314 A Long Beach State 6- 7 -1 0 -1.10
315 A Long Beach State 1- 2 -1 0 -1.10
320 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.28
321 H TCU 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.40
322 A UC Santa Barbara 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.72
327 H Cal State Fullerton 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.62
328 H Cal State Fullerton 6- 2 4 1 + 3.38
329 H Cal State Fullerton 6- 5 1 1 0.38
402 A UC San Diego 9-10 -1 -1 0.44
403 A UC San Diego 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.44
404 A UC San Diego 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.56
410 H UC Irvine 14- 6 8 0 +++ 8.00
411 H UC Irvine 3- 0 3 0 + 3.00
412 H UC Irvine 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.00
417 A Cal State Bakersfield 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.09
418 A Cal State Bakersfield 5- 3 2 0 1.91
419 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 5 9 0 +++ 8.91
421 A UCLA 7-12 -5 -5 0.44
424 A Oregon State 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.70
425 A Oregon State 1- 8 -7 -3 - -3.70
426 A Oregon State 1- 3 -2 -3 1.30
429 H Morehead State 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 8.90
502 H UC Riverside 9- 1 8 5 + 3.27
503 H UC Riverside 10- 5 5 5 0.27
508 A UC Davis 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.87
509 A UC Davis 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.13
510 A UC Davis 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.13
514 A Elon 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.08
515 A Columbia 7- 3 4 2 + 2.44
515 H Cal State Northridge 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.70
520 H Cal State Fullerton 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Dayton 7-17 -10 0 --- -9.92 222 H Wichita State 3-13 -10 0 --- -9.75 306 A Jackson State 2- 5 -3 4 --- -6.59 404 A UC San Diego 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.56 514 A Elon 4-11 -7 1 --- -8.08 515 H Cal State Northridge 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.70 222 H Wichita State 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.75 412 H UC Irvine 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.00 424 A Oregon State 4-12 -8 -3 -- -4.70 520 H Cal State Fullerton 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62 215 H Gonzaga 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.63 307 H Cal Poly 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.03 308 H Cal Poly 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.03 327 H Cal State Fullerton 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.62 417 A Cal State Bakersfield 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.09 425 A Oregon State 1- 8 -7 -3 - -3.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Utah 7- 1 6 -2 +++ 7.83 227 H Ball State 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.05 313 A Long Beach State 11- 1 10 0 +++ 9.90 410 H UC Irvine 14- 6 8 0 +++ 8.00 419 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 5 9 0 +++ 8.91 429 H Morehead State 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 8.90 320 A UC Santa Barbara 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.28 403 A UC San Diego 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.44 213 H Gonzaga 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.37 214 H Gonzaga 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.37 216 H Gonzaga 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.37 226 H Ball State 6- 1 5 3 + 2.05 328 H Cal State Fullerton 6- 2 4 1 + 3.38 411 H UC Irvine 3- 0 3 0 + 3.00 502 H UC Riverside 9- 1 8 5 + 3.27 508 A UC Davis 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.87 515 A Columbia 7- 3 4 2 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 3- 2 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.62 16.68
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 5- 3 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.62 16.68
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 2- 7 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.62 -1.50
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 4- 3 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.62 16.68
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 7- 1 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.62 17.24
3 A Dayton ( 4- 4, 93.1) 7-17 -6.84 11.59 0.68 0.62 -1.90
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 3-13 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.62 -1.84
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 1- 7 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.62 -1.84
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 6- 1 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 0.62 11.36
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 12- 0 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 0.62 11.36
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 6-11 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.62 -0.64
3 A Jackson State ( 2- 5, 89.4) 2- 5 -10.51 7.91 0.68 0.62 -3.03
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 7-10 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.62 -1.62
3 H Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 3- 7 -4.60 13.83 -0.68 0.62 -1.62
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 11- 1 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.62 14.87
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 6- 7 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.62 -1.95
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 1- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.62 -1.95
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 1 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.62 19.03
3 H TCU (32-21, 95.9) 3- 6 -3.97 14.45 -0.68 0.62 -1.43
3 A UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1- 5 -3.64 14.78 0.68 0.62 -0.91
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 0- 2 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.62 -2.11
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 6- 2 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.62 14.22
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 6- 5 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.62 14.22
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 9-10 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.62 -1.48
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 6- 3 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.62 16.76
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 0- 8 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.62 -1.48
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 14- 6 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.62 14.99
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 3- 0 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.62 14.99
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 1- 5 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.62 -1.92
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 0- 2 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.62 -1.95
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 5- 3 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.62 14.88
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 14- 5 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.62 14.88
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 7-12 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.62 -0.25
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 4-12 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.62 -0.91
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 1- 8 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.62 -0.91
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 1- 3 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.62 -0.91
3 H Morehead State ( 7- 4, 95.2) 11- 3 -4.67 13.76 -0.68 0.62 16.10
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 1- 0 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.62 15.30
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 9- 1 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.62 9.17
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 10- 5 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.62 9.17
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 4- 1 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.62 16.07
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 2- 4 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.62 -1.65
3 A UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 1- 3 -6.05 12.38 0.68 0.62 -1.65
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 4-11 -8.00 10.43 0.68 0.62 -2.25
3 A Columbia ( 4-11, 91.4) 7- 3 -8.49 9.94 0.68 0.62 13.07
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 1- 8 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.62 -2.14
3 H Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 1- 5 -6.19 12.23 -0.68 0.62 -2.11
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265.76
|
winning pts = 307.7169 losing points = -41.9587
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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