High Point
W-L: ( 8-12) PR = 93.2783Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 6-11 225 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 3- 9 303 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 0-13 306 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 7-10 307 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 6- 2 308 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 11-12 310 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 12- 6 324 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 331 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1- 0 402 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 2- 0 403 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 14- 0 404 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 5- 6 407 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 3-15 412 H Radford BSO ( 3- 7, 90.2) 4- 1 414 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 4-10 421 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2- 9 428 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 4- 5 505 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 2- 1 523 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 0- 5 523 H Longwood BSO ( 6- 4, 94.0) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 H Memphis 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.58
225 A Liberty 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.45
303 A Marshall 0-13 -13 -1 --- -12.14
306 H Texas A&M 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.04
307 A Florida 6- 2 4 -6 +++ 9.66
308 A Florida 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.66
310 H Duke 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.54
324 A App State 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.58
402 A Charleston 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.51
403 A Charleston 14- 0 14 -1 +++ 14.51
404 A Charleston 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.49
407 A Old Dominion 3-15 -12 -1 --- -11.29
412 H Radford 4- 1 3 4 -0.75
414 A North Carolina A&T 4-10 -6 2 --- -8.47
421 A North Carolina 2- 9 -7 -6 -0.80
428 A Campbell 4- 5 -1 -3 1.76
505 A UNC Wilmington 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.71
523 H South Carolina Upstate 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.98
523 H Longwood 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Marshall 0-13 -13 -1 --- -12.14 407 A Old Dominion 3-15 -12 -1 --- -11.29 414 A North Carolina A&T 4-10 -6 2 --- -8.47 217 H Memphis 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.58 225 A Liberty 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.45 523 H South Carolina Upstate 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.98 523 H Longwood 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Florida 6- 2 4 -6 +++ 9.66 310 H Duke 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.54 403 A Charleston 14- 0 14 -1 +++ 14.51 308 A Florida 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.66 306 H Texas A&M 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.04 324 A App State 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.58 402 A Charleston 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.51 505 A UNC Wilmington 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 6-11 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 1.45 -4.49
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 3- 9 -3.75 14.68 0.68 1.45 -2.22
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 0-13 -6.44 11.99 0.68 1.45 -4.16
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 7-10 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 1.45 -1.14
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 6- 2 -1.63 16.79 0.68 1.45 50.52
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 11-12 -1.63 16.79 0.68 1.45 -0.69
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 12- 6 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 1.45 35.71
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 -4.72 13.70 0.68 1.45 41.59
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1- 0 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 1.45 43.72
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 2- 0 -6.79 11.64 0.68 1.45 35.61
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 14- 0 -6.79 11.64 0.68 1.45 35.61
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 5- 6 -6.79 11.64 0.68 1.45 -4.42
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 3-15 -6.59 11.84 0.68 1.45 -4.28
3 H Radford ( 3- 7, 90.2) 4- 1 -9.70 8.73 -0.68 1.45 23.29
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 4-10 -9.77 8.66 0.68 1.45 -6.58
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2- 9 -1.10 17.32 0.68 1.45 -0.31
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 4- 5 -4.54 13.89 0.68 1.45 -2.79
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 2- 1 -5.59 12.84 0.68 1.45 39.09
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 0- 5 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 1.45 -4.05
3 H Longwood ( 6- 4, 94.0) 4- 7 -5.94 12.48 -0.68 1.45 -4.79
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265.21
|
winning pts = 305.1319 losing points = -39.9228
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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