Hofstra
W-L: (19-33) PR = 92.4609Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 5- 6 214 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 5- 7 214 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 1- 6 227 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 2- 7 228 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 2-13 301 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 7-10 305 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2-15 306 A Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 1- 3 307 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 8- 3 308 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 4- 5 311 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 16- 6 313 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 4- 5 314 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 5- 4 315 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 9-19 317 H New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 15- 5 318 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 5- 8 320 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 4- 5 321 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 16- 8 322 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 2- 6 325 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 8- 9 327 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 5- 4 328 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 11-12 329 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 11-10 331 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 3- 2 402 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 6- 9 403 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 9- 6 404 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 6- 8 410 A Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 7, 89.7) 11-10 411 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 0- 5 412 H Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 11-12 414 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 7-10 417 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 10- 1 418 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 0-12 419 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 6- 5 424 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 0- 8 425 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 6- 8 426 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 13- 2 428 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 10-12 501 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 12- 1 502 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 5- 6 503 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 8- 0 506 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 1-14 508 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 7- 3 508 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 2- 5 510 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 10-18 514 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 4-14 515 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 8- 6 516 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 0-23 520 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 13- 0 521 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 6- 0 523 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 4- 5 523 A Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Mississippi State 5- 6 -1 -8 +++ 6.55
214 A Mississippi State 5- 7 -2 -8 ++ 5.55
214 A Mississippi State 1- 6 -5 -8 + 2.55
227 A Liberty 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.64
228 A Liberty 2-13 -11 -4 --- -6.64
301 A Liberty 7-10 -3 -4 1.36
305 H California 2-15 -13 -2 --- -11.00
306 A Harvard 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.73
307 H Charleston 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.97
308 H Charleston 4- 5 -1 0 -1.03
311 H Rider 16- 6 10 -1 +++ 11.21
313 A Monmouth 4- 5 -1 -1 0.29
314 A Monmouth 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.29
315 A Monmouth 9-19 -10 -1 --- -8.71
317 H New Haven 15- 5 10 6 + 3.71
318 H Towson 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.96
320 A Seton Hall 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.32
321 H Monmouth 16- 8 8 0 +++ 7.94
322 A Seton Hall 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.32
325 A Villanova 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.46
327 H Northeastern 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.29
328 H Seton Hall 11-12 -1 3 - -3.68
329 H Northeastern 11-10 1 -1 + 2.29
331 A Rutgers 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.11
402 A Towson 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.61
403 A Towson 9- 6 3 1 + 2.39
404 A Towson 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.61
410 A Merrimack 11-10 1 2 -1.13
411 H Stony Brook 0- 5 -5 1 -- -5.68
412 H Stony Brook 11-12 -1 1 -1.68
414 A St. John's 7-10 -3 -2 -0.63
417 A UNC Wilmington 10- 1 9 -3 +++ 11.53
418 A UNC Wilmington 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.47
419 A UNC Wilmington 6- 5 1 -3 + 3.53
424 A Northeastern 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.36
425 A Northeastern 6- 8 -2 -3 0.64
426 A Northeastern 13- 2 11 -3 +++ 13.64
428 H St. John's 10-12 -2 -1 -0.98
501 H Towson 12- 1 11 2 +++ 9.04
502 H Towson 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.96
503 H Towson 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.04
506 A Villanova 1-14 -13 1 --- -14.46
508 H Monmouth 7- 3 4 0 + 3.94
508 H Monmouth 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.06
510 H Monmouth 10-18 -8 0 --- -8.06
514 H Monmouth 4-14 -10 0 --- -10.06
515 H Houston Christian 8- 6 2 1 1.45
516 A Stony Brook 0-23 -23 -1 --- -13.33
520 A Charleston 13- 0 13 -1 +++ 14.32
521 A Northeastern 6- 0 6 -3 +++ 8.64
523 A Northeastern 4- 5 -1 -3 1.64
523 A Campbell 3- 5 -2 -4 1.58
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Liberty 2-13 -11 -4 --- -6.64 305 H California 2-15 -13 -2 --- -11.00 315 A Monmouth 9-19 -10 -1 --- -8.71 418 A UNC Wilmington 0-12 -12 -3 --- -9.47 506 A Villanova 1-14 -13 1 --- -14.46 510 H Monmouth 10-18 -8 0 --- -8.06 514 H Monmouth 4-14 -10 0 --- -10.06 516 A Stony Brook 0-23 -23 -1 --- -13.33 318 H Towson 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.96 322 A Seton Hall 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.32 411 H Stony Brook 0- 5 -5 1 -- -5.68 424 A Northeastern 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.36 306 A Harvard 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.73 320 A Seton Hall 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.32 325 A Villanova 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.46 328 H Seton Hall 11-12 -1 3 - -3.68 402 A Towson 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.61 404 A Towson 6- 8 -2 1 - -2.61 502 H Towson 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.96 508 H Monmouth 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Mississippi State 5- 6 -1 -8 +++ 6.55 311 H Rider 16- 6 10 -1 +++ 11.21 321 H Monmouth 16- 8 8 0 +++ 7.94 417 A UNC Wilmington 10- 1 9 -3 +++ 11.53 426 A Northeastern 13- 2 11 -3 +++ 13.64 501 H Towson 12- 1 11 2 +++ 9.04 503 H Towson 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.04 520 A Charleston 13- 0 13 -1 +++ 14.32 521 A Northeastern 6- 0 6 -3 +++ 8.64 214 A Mississippi State 5- 7 -2 -8 ++ 5.55 307 H Charleston 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.97 214 A Mississippi State 1- 6 -5 -8 + 2.55 314 A Monmouth 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.29 317 H New Haven 15- 5 10 6 + 3.71 327 H Northeastern 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.29 329 H Northeastern 11-10 1 -1 + 2.29 331 A Rutgers 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.11 403 A Towson 9- 6 3 1 + 2.39 419 A UNC Wilmington 6- 5 1 -3 + 3.53 508 H Monmouth 7- 3 4 0 + 3.94 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 5- 6 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.56 -0.03
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 5- 7 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.56 -0.03
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 1- 6 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.56 -0.03
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 2- 7 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.56 -0.85
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 2-13 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.56 -0.85
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 7-10 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.56 -0.85
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 2-15 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.56 -1.51
3 A Harvard ( 2- 9, 91.1) 1- 3 -8.84 9.58 0.68 0.56 -2.27
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 8- 3 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.56 12.19
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 4- 5 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.56 -2.08
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 16- 6 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 0.56 13.57
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 4- 5 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.56 -1.71
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 5- 4 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.56 13.66
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 9-19 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.56 -1.71
3 H New Haven ( 0- 9, 86.9) 15- 5 -13.05 5.38 -0.68 0.56 5.23
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 5- 8 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.56 -2.61
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 4- 5 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.56 -2.44
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 16- 8 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.56 12.16
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 2- 6 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.56 -2.44
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 8- 9 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.56 -2.47
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 5- 4 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.56 13.66
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 11-12 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.56 -2.81
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 11-10 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.56 13.66
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.56 14.57
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 6- 9 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.56 -2.24
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 9- 6 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.56 11.55
3 A Towson (20-33, 91.2) 6- 8 -8.72 9.70 0.68 0.56 -2.24
3 A Merrimack ( 2- 7, 89.7) 11-10 -10.24 8.19 0.68 0.56 9.86
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 0- 5 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.56 -2.26
3 H Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 11-12 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.56 -2.26
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 7-10 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.56 -1.41
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 10- 1 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.56 15.03
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 0-12 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.56 -1.37
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 6- 5 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.56 15.03
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 0- 8 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.56 -1.33
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 6- 8 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.56 -1.33
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 13- 2 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.56 15.16
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 10-12 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.56 -1.79
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 12- 1 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.56 10.04
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 5- 6 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.56 -2.61
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 8- 0 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.56 10.04
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 1-14 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.56 -2.47
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 7- 3 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.56 12.16
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 2- 5 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.56 -2.08
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 10-18 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.56 -2.08
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 4-14 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 0.56 -2.08
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 8- 6 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.56 11.61
3 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 0-23 -7.44 10.99 0.68 0.56 -1.88
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 13- 0 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.56 13.69
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 6- 0 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.56 15.16
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 4- 5 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.56 -1.33
3 A Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 3- 5 -4.54 13.89 0.68 0.56 -1.07
------
181.46
|
winning pts = 238.0248 losing points = -56.5645
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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