Illinois State
W-L: ( 4-13) PR = 90.8997Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 3-13 228 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 2- 8 301 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 14- 7 306 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 7- 8 307 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 4- 8 308 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 6-10 324 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 0-11 331 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 4- 1 421 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 13- 6 428 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 13- 6 505 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 1- 7 508 A UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 2-10 514 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 0- 5 515 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 6- 8 516 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 8-18 520 A Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 4- 6 521 A Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 3- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Middle Tennessee 3-13 -10 -3 --- -6.79
228 A Middle Tennessee 2- 8 -6 -3 - -2.79
301 A Middle Tennessee 14- 7 7 -3 +++ 10.21
306 H San Francisco 7- 8 -1 1 -1.59
307 A Eastern Kentucky 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.01
308 A Eastern Kentucky 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.01
324 H Iowa 0-11 -11 -4 --- -6.74
331 H Illinois 4- 1 3 -4 +++ 6.57
421 A Illinois 13- 6 7 -5 +++ 11.92
428 A Iowa 13- 6 7 -6 +++ 12.61
505 A Northwestern 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.71
508 A UIC 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.59
514 H Virginia Tech 0- 5 -5 -4 -1.28
515 H Charlotte 6- 8 -2 -3 0.54
516 A Michigan State 8-18 -10 -5 -- -5.18
520 A Murray State 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.41
521 A Evansville 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Middle Tennessee 3-13 -10 -3 --- -6.79 324 H Iowa 0-11 -11 -4 --- -6.74 508 A UIC 2-10 -8 -2 -- -5.59 516 A Michigan State 8-18 -10 -5 -- -5.18 228 A Middle Tennessee 2- 8 -6 -3 - -2.79 307 A Eastern Kentucky 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.01 308 A Eastern Kentucky 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.01 505 A Northwestern 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Middle Tennessee 14- 7 7 -3 +++ 10.21 331 H Illinois 4- 1 3 -4 +++ 6.57 421 A Illinois 13- 6 7 -5 +++ 11.92 428 A Iowa 13- 6 7 -6 +++ 12.61 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 3-13 -6.47 11.96 0.68 1.70 -4.93
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 2- 8 -6.47 11.96 0.68 1.70 -4.93
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 14- 7 -6.47 11.96 0.68 1.70 42.99
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 7- 8 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 1.70 -8.16
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 4- 8 -8.69 9.74 0.68 1.70 -6.81
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 6-10 -8.69 9.74 0.68 1.70 -6.81
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 0-11 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 1.70 -4.03
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 4- 1 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 1.70 44.23
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 13- 6 -4.75 13.67 0.68 1.70 48.83
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 13- 6 -4.07 14.36 0.68 1.70 51.15
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 1- 7 -7.38 11.04 0.68 1.70 -5.71
3 A UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 2-10 -7.27 11.16 0.68 1.70 -5.61
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 0- 5 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 1.70 -4.49
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 6- 8 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 1.70 -5.50
3 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 8-18 -4.86 13.57 0.68 1.70 -3.56
3 A Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 4- 6 -8.09 10.34 0.68 1.70 -6.31
3 A Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 3- 6 -8.41 10.01 0.68 1.70 -6.58
------
113.77
|
winning pts = 187.1962 losing points = -73.4234
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------