Indiana State
W-L: ( 9-14) PR = 92.3125Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 4-10 215 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1-10 218 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2- 4 224 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 1-17 225 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 5- 4 227 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 8- 5 228 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 2- 1 301 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 8- 7 306 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 5- 4 307 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 11- 6 308 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 4- 7 310 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 6-14 313 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 4- 7 314 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 4- 7 315 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 16-23 318 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 4- 7 324 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 5- 4 331 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 12- 4 407 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 3- 7 414 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 12-17 421 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 6- 5 521 H Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 2- 3 523 H Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 5- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A NC State 4-10 -6 -5 -1.25
215 H Wake Forest 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.72
218 H Cal State Bakersfield 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.10
224 A Florida Gulf Coast 1-17 -16 -2 --- -11.57
225 A Florida Gulf Coast 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.43
227 A Penn State 8- 5 3 0 + 3.08
228 H Penn State 2- 1 1 1 -0.28
301 H Stetson 8- 7 1 0 0.77
306 H UT Arlington 5- 4 1 0 1.40
307 A Western Kentucky 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 7.72
308 A Western Kentucky 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.28
310 A Vanderbilt 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.51
313 H Gonzaga 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.28
314 H Gonzaga 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.28
315 H Gonzaga 16-23 -7 -3 -- -4.28
318 A Western Kentucky 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.28
324 A Indiana 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.42
331 H Purdue 12- 4 8 -3 +++ 11.36
407 A Illinois 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.49
414 H Indiana 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.93
421 A Purdue 6- 5 1 -5 ++ 5.71
521 H Murray State 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.18
523 H Southern Illinois 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.43
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Florida Gulf Coast 1-17 -16 -2 --- -11.57 215 H Wake Forest 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.72 315 H Gonzaga 16-23 -7 -3 -- -4.28 523 H Southern Illinois 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.43 218 H Cal State Bakersfield 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.10 310 A Vanderbilt 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.51 414 H Indiana 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.93 521 H Murray State 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Western Kentucky 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 7.72 331 H Purdue 12- 4 8 -3 +++ 11.36 324 A Indiana 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.42 421 A Purdue 6- 5 1 -5 ++ 5.71 225 A Florida Gulf Coast 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.43 227 A Penn State 8- 5 3 0 + 3.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 4-10 -3.52 14.91 0.68 1.26 -1.79
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1-10 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 1.26 -2.08
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 2- 4 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 1.26 -4.83
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 1-17 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.26 -3.24
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 5- 4 -5.83 12.59 0.68 1.26 33.37
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 8- 5 -8.19 10.24 0.68 1.26 27.45
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 2- 1 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 1.26 24.05
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 8- 7 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 1.26 26.69
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 5- 4 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 1.26 28.27
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 11- 6 -5.55 12.88 0.68 1.26 34.09
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 4- 7 -5.55 12.88 0.68 1.26 -3.06
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 6-14 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.26 -1.32
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 4- 7 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 1.26 -3.06
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 4- 7 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 1.26 -3.06
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 16-23 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 1.26 -3.06
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 4- 7 -5.55 12.88 0.68 1.26 -3.06
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 5- 4 -4.84 13.58 0.68 1.26 35.86
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 12- 4 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 1.26 35.70
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 3- 7 -4.75 13.67 0.68 1.26 -2.56
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 12-17 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 1.26 -3.47
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 6- 5 -3.56 14.87 0.68 1.26 39.10
3 H Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 2- 3 -8.09 10.34 -0.68 1.26 -5.51
3 H Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 5- 7 -9.34 9.08 -0.68 1.26 -6.30
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238.15
|
winning pts = 284.5744 losing points = -46.4204
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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