Jacksonville State
W-L: (47-18) PR = 97.0838Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 5-11 214 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 5- 6 215 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 1- 0 217 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 3- 1 220 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 5- 0 221 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 2- 1 222 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 12- 9 224 H Mississippi Valley Sta SWAC ( 0- 4, 88.3) 15- 3 225 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 7- 4 227 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 10- 1 228 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 9- 4 301 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 7- 1 303 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 5-11 306 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 3-11 307 H Valparaiso MV ( 1- 8, 89.4) 17- 3 307 H Valparaiso MV ( 1- 8, 89.4) 13- 2 310 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 8- 3 313 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 3- 1 314 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 18- 7 315 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 4- 3 317 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 6- 7 318 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 12- 1 320 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 10- 3 321 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 6- 9 322 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 10- 0 324 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 11-16 327 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 4- 0 328 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 5- 3 329 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 7- 4 331 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3- 4 402 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 6- 5 403 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 7- 6 404 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 3- 1 407 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 15- 5 410 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8- 6 411 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 6- 7 412 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 2- 4 414 H Alabama A&M SWAC ( 1- 6, 89.5) 15-11 417 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 4- 2 418 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 13- 1 419 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 7- 2 421 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5- 4 424 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 3- 6 425 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 4- 0 426 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 10- 0 429 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 15- 5 501 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 2-10 502 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 10- 2 503 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 11- 4 508 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 2- 5 509 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 5- 4 510 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 4- 3 512 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 4- 1 514 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3- 5 515 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 6-11 516 A Dallas Baptist 13- 4 521 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 9- 3 522 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 12-11 523 H Dallas Baptist 6- 5 524 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 10- 0 529 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 15- 7 530 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 6- 8 530 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 6- 8 531 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 7- 6 531 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 3- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Cincinnati 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.99
214 H Cincinnati 5- 6 -1 1 -1.99
217 A East Carolina 3- 1 2 0 + 2.33
220 A Cal State Northridge 5- 0 5 3 + 2.22
221 H Toledo 2- 1 1 4 - -3.49
222 H Toledo 12- 9 3 4 -1.49
224 H Mississippi Valley Sta 15- 3 12 9 + 2.59
225 H William & Mary 7- 4 3 6 - -3.24
227 A Memphis 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.96
228 A Memphis 9- 4 5 2 + 2.96
301 A Memphis 7- 1 6 2 + 3.96
303 H Texas A&M 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.77
306 A Florida Gulf Coast 3-11 -8 2 --- -10.34
307 H Valparaiso 17- 3 14 8 ++ 5.69
307 H Valparaiso 13- 2 11 8 + 2.69
310 A North Alabama 8- 3 5 3 1.99
313 A Sam Houston 3- 1 2 3 -0.97
314 A Sam Houston 18- 7 11 3 +++ 8.03
315 A Sam Houston 4- 3 1 3 -1.97
317 H Samford 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.01
318 H Wichita State 12- 1 11 3 +++ 7.82
320 H Western Kentucky 10- 3 7 3 + 3.59
321 A UL Monroe 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.79
322 H Western Kentucky 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.59
324 A UAB 11-16 -5 2 --- -6.53
327 A Louisiana Tech 4- 0 4 2 + 2.26
328 A Louisiana Tech 5- 3 2 2 0.26
329 A Louisiana Tech 7- 4 3 2 1.26
331 H Alabama 3- 4 -1 1 -1.68
402 H Middle Tennessee 6- 5 1 4 - -3.33
403 H Middle Tennessee 7- 6 1 4 - -3.33
404 H Middle Tennessee 3- 1 2 4 - -2.33
407 H Missouri 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.74
410 H Elon 8- 6 2 6 - -3.86
411 A Liberty 6- 7 -1 0 -1.26
412 A Liberty 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.26
414 H Alabama A&M 15-11 4 8 -- -4.25
417 H Florida International 4- 2 2 5 - -2.98
418 H Florida International 13- 1 12 5 +++ 7.02
419 H Florida International 7- 2 5 5 0.02
421 A Troy 5- 4 1 0 0.82
424 H New Mexico State 3- 6 -3 5 --- -7.88
425 H New Mexico State 4- 0 4 5 -0.88
426 H New Mexico State 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.12
429 A Oklahoma 15- 5 10 -1 +++ 10.65
501 A Missouri State 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.10
502 A Missouri State 10- 2 8 0 +++ 7.90
503 A Missouri State 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.90
508 H Kennesaw State 2- 5 -3 3 --- -6.08
509 H Kennesaw State 5- 4 1 3 - -2.08
510 H Kennesaw State 4- 3 1 3 - -2.08
512 H Auburn 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.11
514 H Alabama 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.68
515 H Texas A&M 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.77
521 A Middle Tennessee 9- 3 6 3 + 3.02
522 H Western Kentucky 12-11 1 3 - -2.41
524 H Liberty 10- 0 10 2 +++ 8.39
529 A Virginia 15- 7 8 0 +++ 7.69
530 H Little Rock 6- 8 -2 4 -- -5.83
530 H Little Rock 6- 8 -2 4 -- -5.83
531 H Virginia 7- 6 1 2 -0.66
531 A Little Rock 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.47
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Cincinnati 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.99 306 A Florida Gulf Coast 3-11 -8 2 --- -10.34 324 A UAB 11-16 -5 2 --- -6.53 424 H New Mexico State 3- 6 -3 5 --- -7.88 501 A Missouri State 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.10 508 H Kennesaw State 2- 5 -3 3 --- -6.08 303 H Texas A&M 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.77 317 H Samford 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.01 321 A UL Monroe 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.79 414 H Alabama A&M 15-11 4 8 -- -4.25 530 H Little Rock 6- 8 -2 4 -- -5.83 530 H Little Rock 6- 8 -2 4 -- -5.83 531 A Little Rock 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.47 221 H Toledo 2- 1 1 4 - -3.49 225 H William & Mary 7- 4 3 6 - -3.24 402 H Middle Tennessee 6- 5 1 4 - -3.33 403 H Middle Tennessee 7- 6 1 4 - -3.33 404 H Middle Tennessee 3- 1 2 4 - -2.33 410 H Elon 8- 6 2 6 - -3.86 412 A Liberty 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.26 417 H Florida International 4- 2 2 5 - -2.98 509 H Kennesaw State 5- 4 1 3 - -2.08 510 H Kennesaw State 4- 3 1 3 - -2.08 514 H Alabama 3- 5 -2 1 - -2.68 515 H Texas A&M 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.77 522 H Western Kentucky 12-11 1 3 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Memphis 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.96 314 A Sam Houston 18- 7 11 3 +++ 8.03 318 H Wichita State 12- 1 11 3 +++ 7.82 322 H Western Kentucky 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.59 407 H Missouri 15- 5 10 3 +++ 6.74 418 H Florida International 13- 1 12 5 +++ 7.02 429 A Oklahoma 15- 5 10 -1 +++ 10.65 502 A Missouri State 10- 2 8 0 +++ 7.90 503 A Missouri State 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.90 524 H Liberty 10- 0 10 2 +++ 8.39 529 A Virginia 15- 7 8 0 +++ 7.69 307 H Valparaiso 17- 3 14 8 ++ 5.69 426 H New Mexico State 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.12 512 H Auburn 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.11 217 A East Carolina 3- 1 2 0 + 2.33 220 A Cal State Northridge 5- 0 5 3 + 2.22 224 H Mississippi Valley Sta 15- 3 12 9 + 2.59 228 A Memphis 9- 4 5 2 + 2.96 301 A Memphis 7- 1 6 2 + 3.96 307 H Valparaiso 13- 2 11 8 + 2.69 320 H Western Kentucky 10- 3 7 3 + 3.59 327 A Louisiana Tech 4- 0 4 2 + 2.26 521 A Middle Tennessee 9- 3 6 3 + 3.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 5-11 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.46 -0.87
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 5- 6 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.46 -0.87
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 1- 0 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.46 13.42
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 3- 1 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.46 14.63
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 5- 0 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.46 11.78
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 2- 1 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.46 10.21
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 12- 9 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.46 10.21
3 H Mississippi Va ( 0- 4, 88.3) 15- 3 -11.55 6.87 -0.68 0.46 5.69
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 7- 4 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.46 8.60
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 10- 1 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.46 12.46
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 9- 4 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.46 12.46
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 7- 1 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.46 12.46
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 5-11 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.46 -0.36
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 3-11 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.46 -1.18
3 H Valparaiso ( 1- 8, 89.4) 17- 3 -10.45 7.97 -0.68 0.46 6.70
3 H Valparaiso ( 1- 8, 89.4) 13- 2 -10.45 7.97 -0.68 0.46 6.70
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 8- 3 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.46 11.57
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 3- 1 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.46 11.61
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 18- 7 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.46 11.61
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 4- 3 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.46 11.61
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 6- 7 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 0.46 -1.34
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 12- 1 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.46 11.41
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 10- 3 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.46 11.20
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 6- 9 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.46 -1.06
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 10- 0 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.46 11.20
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 11-16 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.46 -1.00
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 4- 0 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.46 12.73
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 5- 3 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.46 12.73
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 7- 4 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.46 12.73
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.46 -0.80
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 6- 5 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.46 10.36
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 7- 6 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.46 10.36
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 3- 1 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.46 10.36
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 15- 5 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.46 11.34
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8- 6 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.46 8.95
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 6- 7 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.46 -0.71
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 2- 4 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.46 -0.71
3 H Alabama A&M ( 1- 6, 89.5) 15-11 -10.39 8.04 -0.68 0.46 6.76
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 4- 2 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.46 9.76
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 13- 1 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.46 9.76
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 7- 2 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.46 9.76
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5- 4 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.46 14.16
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 3- 6 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.46 -1.77
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 4- 0 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.46 9.85
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 10- 0 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.46 9.85
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 15- 5 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.46 14.93
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 2-10 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.46 -0.67
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 10- 2 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.46 14.24
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 11- 4 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.46 14.24
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.46 -1.35
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 5- 4 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.46 11.50
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 4- 3 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.46 11.50
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 4- 1 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.46 15.36
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3- 5 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.46 -0.80
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 6-11 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.46 -0.36
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 9- 3 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.46 11.60
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 12-11 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.46 11.20
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 10- 0 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.46 12.85
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 15- 7 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.46 14.05
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 6- 8 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.46 -1.52
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 6- 8 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.46 -1.52
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 7- 6 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.46 12.81
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 3- 6 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.46 -1.21
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491.18
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winning pts = 509.3015 losing points = -18.1227
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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