Jacksonville
W-L: (29-23) PR = 93.6396Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 16- 3 214 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 11- 6 214 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 4- 3 215 H Rhode Island A10 ( 3-10, 90.3) 15- 1 217 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 3- 6 220 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 12-12 221 H Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 12- 7 222 H Long Island University NE ( 3- 6, 92.2) 11- 3 227 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 10- 2 228 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6-11 301 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 2 303 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 6-14 306 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 3- 6 307 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 4- 9 308 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 2- 7 309 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 6-11 313 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 7- 8 314 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 1- 4 315 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 10- 5 317 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 3- 3 320 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 17- 5 321 H Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 1- 2 322 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 3- 4 324 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 4- 3 327 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 2- 4 328 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 4-11 329 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 6-12 331 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 4- 3 402 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 5- 1 403 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 4- 3 404 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 0- 3 410 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 6- 7 411 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 4- 1 412 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 1- 4 414 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 5- 4 417 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 13- 7 418 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 13- 7 419 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 9- 8 421 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 7- 5 424 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 10- 1 425 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 6- 2 426 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 6- 2 501 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 4- 5 502 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 4- 3 503 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 0-10 505 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 2- 5 509 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 5- 4 509 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6-16 510 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6- 9 514 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 2- 1 515 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 3- 2 516 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 2- 1 519 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 7- 1 520 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 0- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Rhode Island 16- 3 13 4 +++ 8.94
214 H Rhode Island 11- 6 5 4 0.94
214 H Rhode Island 4- 3 1 4 - -3.06
215 H Rhode Island 15- 1 14 4 +++ 9.94
217 A San Diego 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.37
220 A Ohio State 12-12 0 -2 + 2.07
221 H Long Island University 12- 7 5 2 + 2.86
222 H Long Island University 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.86
227 A UAB 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 9.91
228 A UAB 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.09
301 H Louisiana Tech 3- 2 1 0 1.35
303 H Charlotte 6-14 -8 0 --- -8.20
306 A East Carolina 3- 6 -3 -4 0.77
307 H UNC Wilmington 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.00
308 H UNC Wilmington 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.00
309 H South Florida 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.74
313 A West Georgia 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.89
314 A West Georgia 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.89
315 A West Georgia 10- 5 5 2 + 3.11
317 H Northeastern 3- 3 0 0 0.11
320 A Queens University 17- 5 12 3 +++ 8.81
321 H Pacific 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.91
322 A Queens University 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.19
324 H Bethune-Cookman 4- 3 1 3 -1.65
327 H North Florida 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.85
328 H North Florida 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.85
329 H North Florida 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.85
331 A Florida 4- 3 1 -5 +++ 6.30
402 H Stetson 5- 1 4 2 + 2.45
403 H Stetson 4- 3 1 2 -0.55
404 H Stetson 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.55
410 H Oregon 6- 7 -1 -3 1.81
411 A Florida Gulf Coast 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.10
412 A Florida Gulf Coast 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.90
414 A UCF 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.03
417 H West Georgia 13- 7 6 3 + 2.76
418 H West Georgia 13- 7 6 3 + 2.76
419 H West Georgia 9- 8 1 3 - -2.24
421 A Florida 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 7.30
424 H Queens University 10- 1 9 5 ++ 4.46
425 H Queens University 6- 2 4 5 -0.54
426 H Queens University 6- 2 4 5 -0.54
501 A North Florida 4- 5 -1 0 -0.50
502 A North Florida 4- 3 1 0 1.50
503 A North Florida 0-10 -10 0 --- -9.50
505 A Florida State 2- 5 -3 -4 1.02
509 A Stetson 5- 4 1 0 0.80
509 A Stetson 6-16 -10 0 --- -10.20
510 A Stetson 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.20
514 A Liberty 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.19
515 A Sam Houston 3- 2 1 0 1.48
516 H Florida Gulf Coast 2- 1 1 0 0.75
519 H Austin Peay 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.44
520 A North Alabama 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Charlotte 6-14 -8 0 --- -8.20 328 H North Florida 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.85 329 H North Florida 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.85 503 A North Florida 0-10 -10 0 --- -9.50 509 A Stetson 6-16 -10 0 --- -10.20 307 H UNC Wilmington 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.00 308 H UNC Wilmington 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.00 309 H South Florida 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.74 314 A West Georgia 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.89 322 A Queens University 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.19 404 H Stetson 0- 3 -3 2 -- -4.55 520 A North Alabama 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.56 214 H Rhode Island 4- 3 1 4 - -3.06 217 A San Diego 3- 6 -3 0 - -3.37 228 A UAB 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.09 313 A West Georgia 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.89 321 H Pacific 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.91 327 H North Florida 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.85 419 H West Georgia 9- 8 1 3 - -2.24 510 A Stetson 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Rhode Island 16- 3 13 4 +++ 8.94 215 H Rhode Island 15- 1 14 4 +++ 9.94 227 A UAB 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 9.91 320 A Queens University 17- 5 12 3 +++ 8.81 331 A Florida 4- 3 1 -5 +++ 6.30 421 A Florida 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 7.30 222 H Long Island University 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.86 411 A Florida Gulf Coast 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.10 414 A UCF 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.03 424 H Queens University 10- 1 9 5 ++ 4.46 514 A Liberty 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.19 519 H Austin Peay 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.44 220 A Ohio State 12-12 0 -2 + 2.07 221 H Long Island University 12- 7 5 2 + 2.86 315 A West Georgia 10- 5 5 2 + 3.11 402 H Stetson 5- 1 4 2 + 2.45 417 H West Georgia 13- 7 6 3 + 2.76 418 H West Georgia 13- 7 6 3 + 2.76 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 16- 3 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 0.54 8.68
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 11- 6 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 0.54 8.68
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 4- 3 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 0.54 8.68
3 H Rhode Island ( 3-10, 90.3) 15- 1 -9.65 8.78 -0.68 0.54 8.68
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 3- 6 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.54 -1.77
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 12-12 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.54 0.00
3 H Long Island Un ( 3- 6, 92.2) 12- 7 -7.73 10.70 -0.68 0.54 10.73
3 H Long Island Un ( 3- 6, 92.2) 11- 3 -7.73 10.70 -0.68 0.54 10.73
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 10- 2 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.54 15.08
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 6-11 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.54 -1.16
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.54 13.40
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 6-14 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 3- 6 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.54 -0.67
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 4- 9 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.54 -1.68
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 2- 7 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.54 -1.68
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 6-11 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.54 -1.61
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 7- 8 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.54 -2.18
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 1- 4 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.54 -2.18
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 10- 5 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.54 11.01
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 3- 3 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.54 0.00
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 17- 5 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.54 9.62
3 H Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 1- 2 -7.50 10.93 -0.68 0.54 -2.19
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 3- 4 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.54 -2.53
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 4- 3 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.54 10.20
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 2- 4 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 4-11 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 6-12 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 4- 3 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.54 18.71
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 5- 1 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.54 11.37
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 4- 3 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.54 11.37
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 0- 3 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.54 -2.09
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 6- 7 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.54 -0.93
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 4- 1 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.54 14.21
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 1- 4 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.54 -1.38
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 5- 4 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.54 16.28
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 13- 7 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.54 9.56
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 13- 7 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.54 9.56
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 9- 8 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.54 9.56
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 7- 5 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.54 18.71
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 10- 1 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 8.17
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 6- 2 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 8.17
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 6- 2 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.54 8.17
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 4- 5 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 -1.54
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 4- 3 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 13.56
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 0-10 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.54 -1.54
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 2- 5 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.54 -0.60
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 5- 4 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.54 12.82
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6-16 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6- 9 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 2- 1 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.54 16.44
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 3- 2 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.54 13.54
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 2- 1 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.54 12.76
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 7- 1 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.54 11.37
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 0- 5 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.54 -1.56
------
301.65
|
winning pts = 339.8487 losing points = -38.1953
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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