Kent State
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 95.1350Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 216 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 7-10 220 H Cornell IVY ( 1- 3, 95.5) 3- 1 221 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 2- 1 222 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 9- 5 310 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 8- 5 324 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 4-13 429 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 13-10 512 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 5- 3 521 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 0- 8 522 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 3- 1 522 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 6- 1 523 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
216 A LSU 7-10 -3 -3 -0.45
220 H Cornell 3- 1 2 0 1.70
221 A Tennessee 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.23
222 A Tennessee 9- 5 4 -2 +++ 6.23
310 A Ohio State 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.57
324 H Pittsburgh 4-13 -9 -1 --- -8.45
429 H Mercer 13-10 3 0 + 2.53
512 H Michigan 5- 3 2 0 + 2.02
521 H Toledo 0- 8 -8 3 --- -10.54
522 A Miami 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.99
522 H Western Michigan 6- 1 5 3 1.70
523 H Toledo 2- 5 -3 3 -- -5.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Pittsburgh 4-13 -9 -1 --- -8.45 521 H Toledo 0- 8 -8 3 --- -10.54 523 H Toledo 2- 5 -3 3 -- -5.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Tennessee 9- 5 4 -2 +++ 6.23 221 A Tennessee 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.23 310 A Ohio State 8- 5 3 -1 + 3.57 429 H Mercer 13-10 3 0 + 2.53 512 H Michigan 5- 3 2 0 + 2.02 522 A Miami 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 7-10 -2.89 15.53 0.68 2.41 -2.67
3 H Cornell ( 1- 3, 95.5) 3- 1 -4.39 14.04 -0.68 2.41 64.41
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 2- 1 -3.21 15.22 0.68 2.41 76.60
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 9- 5 -3.21 15.22 0.68 2.41 76.60
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 8- 5 -4.87 13.56 0.68 2.41 68.61
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 4-13 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 2.41 -5.07
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 13-10 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 2.41 63.61
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 5- 3 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 2.41 65.96
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 0- 8 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 2.41 -8.80
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 3- 1 -3.46 14.97 0.68 2.41 75.42
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 6- 1 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 2.41 49.95
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 2- 5 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 2.41 -8.80
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515.80
|
winning pts = 541.1483 losing points = -25.3518
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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