Lafayette
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 89.6383Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 2- 2 221 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 4-14 221 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 3-14 222 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 5-30 227 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 3-10 228 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 6-12 301 H UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 5- 0 306 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 11- 7 307 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 4-10 308 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 4-14 324 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 1- 6 331 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 11- 1 407 H Lehigh PAT ( 1- 3, 88.9) 3- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
220 H McNeese 2- 2 0 -3 + 2.98
221 A Miami 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.52
221 A Miami 3-14 -11 -7 - -3.52
222 A Miami 5-30 -25 -7 --- -6.52
227 A William & Mary 3-10 -7 -3 -- -4.44
228 A William & Mary 6-12 -6 -3 - -3.44
301 H UMBC 5- 0 5 -2 +++ 6.74
306 H Charlotte 11- 7 4 -4 +++ 7.80
307 A NC State 4-10 -6 -7 1.42
308 A NC State 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.58
324 A Monmouth 1- 6 -5 -4 -0.88
331 A Villanova 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 11.36
407 H Lehigh 3- 8 -5 1 --- -6.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Miami 5-30 -25 -7 --- -6.52 407 H Lehigh 3- 8 -5 1 --- -6.40 227 A William & Mary 3-10 -7 -3 -- -4.44 221 A Miami 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.52 221 A Miami 3-14 -11 -7 - -3.52 228 A William & Mary 6-12 -6 -3 - -3.44 308 A NC State 4-14 -10 -7 - -2.58 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H UMBC 5- 0 5 -2 +++ 6.74 306 H Charlotte 11- 7 4 -4 +++ 7.80 331 A Villanova 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 11.36 220 H McNeese 2- 2 0 -3 + 2.98 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 4-14 -3.46 14.97 0.68 2.22 -3.09
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 3-14 -3.46 14.97 0.68 2.22 -3.09
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 5-30 -3.46 14.97 0.68 2.22 -3.09
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 3-10 -8.38 10.05 0.68 2.22 -8.57
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 6-12 -8.38 10.05 0.68 2.22 -8.57
3 H UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 5- 0 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 2.22 44.07
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 11- 7 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 2.22 53.22
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 4-10 -3.52 14.91 0.68 2.22 -3.16
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 4-14 -3.52 14.91 0.68 2.22 -3.16
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 1- 6 -6.82 11.60 0.68 2.22 -6.84
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 11- 1 -9.57 8.85 0.68 2.22 42.39
3 H Lehigh ( 1- 3, 88.9) 3- 8 -10.98 7.44 -0.68 2.22 -12.97
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87.14
|
winning pts = 139.6809 losing points = -52.5400
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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