Lamar
W-L: (11-13) PR = 93.2638Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 4- 1 218 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 4- 4 224 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 5-25 304 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 1- 8 310 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 6- 0 317 A Jackson State SWAC ( 2- 5, 89.4) 4- 1 331 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 6- 8 402 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 0- 2 403 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 0- 8 404 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 3-10 407 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 9- 5 413 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 0- 4 422 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 1- 6 428 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 5- 6 505 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 15-14 514 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 0- 1 515 A Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 3- 2 516 A Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 8- 0 516 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 1- 7, 90.8) 4- 2 517 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 1- 7, 90.8) 11- 0 521 H McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 9- 3 522 A McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 2- 1 529 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 5- 7 530 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 6-19 530 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 6-19
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 H Georgia Southern 4- 1 3 2 0.97
218 A Loyola Marymount 4- 4 0 2 -1.62
224 A Texas A&M 5-25 -20 -6 --- -7.60
304 A Arkansas State 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.06
310 A Louisiana Tech 6- 0 6 -2 +++ 8.08
317 A Jackson State 4- 1 3 3 -0.20
331 A TCU 6- 8 -2 -3 1.34
402 H Oregon State 0- 2 -2 -2 0.34
403 H Oregon State 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.66
404 H Oregon State 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.66
407 H Tulane 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.47
413 H BYU 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.19
422 A South Alabama 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.39
428 A Rice 5- 6 -1 -2 0.74
505 A Sam Houston 15-14 1 -1 1.85
515 A Creighton 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.83
516 A Northwestern State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.75
516 A Stephen F. Austin 4- 2 2 2 0.23
517 A Stephen F. Austin 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.23
521 H McNeese 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.35
522 A McNeese 2- 1 1 -1 1.71
529 A Texas A&M 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.40
530 H USC 6-19 -13 -4 --- -9.45
530 H USC 6-19 -13 -4 --- -9.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Texas A&M 5-25 -20 -6 --- -7.60 530 H USC 6-19 -13 -4 --- -9.45 530 H USC 6-19 -13 -4 --- -9.45 304 A Arkansas State 1- 8 -7 -3 -- -4.06 403 H Oregon State 0- 8 -8 -2 -- -5.66 404 H Oregon State 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.66 413 H BYU 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.19 422 A South Alabama 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Louisiana Tech 6- 0 6 -2 +++ 8.08 516 A Northwestern State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.75 517 A Stephen F. Austin 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.23 407 H Tulane 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.47 521 H McNeese 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.35 529 A Texas A&M 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.40 515 A Creighton 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 4- 1 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 1.16 22.58
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 4- 4 -8.93 9.49 0.68 1.16 0.00
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 5-25 -0.91 17.52 0.68 1.16 -0.13
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 1- 8 -4.38 14.05 0.68 1.16 -2.14
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 6- 0 -5.24 13.19 0.68 1.16 32.08
3 A Jackson State ( 2- 5, 89.4) 4- 1 -10.51 7.91 0.68 1.16 19.87
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 6- 8 -3.97 14.45 0.68 1.16 -1.91
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 0- 2 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 1.16 -2.49
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 0- 8 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 1.16 -2.49
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 3-10 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 1.16 -2.49
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 9- 5 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 1.16 28.36
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 0- 4 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 1.16 -3.37
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 1- 6 -4.71 13.72 0.68 1.16 -2.33
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 5- 6 -5.57 12.86 0.68 1.16 -2.83
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 15-14 -6.46 11.97 0.68 1.16 29.25
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 0- 1 -7.65 10.77 0.68 1.16 -4.04
3 A Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.48 12.94 0.68 1.16 31.51
3 A Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 8- 0 -8.56 9.87 0.68 1.16 24.39
3 A Stephen F. Aus ( 1- 7, 90.8) 4- 2 -9.08 9.34 0.68 1.16 23.18
3 A Stephen F. Aus ( 1- 7, 90.8) 11- 0 -9.08 9.34 0.68 1.16 23.18
3 H McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 9- 3 -6.61 11.82 -0.68 1.16 25.78
3 A McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 2- 1 -6.61 11.82 0.68 1.16 28.91
3 A Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 5- 7 -0.91 17.52 0.68 1.16 -0.13
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 6-19 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 1.16 -1.78
3 H USC (43-22, 97.5) 6-19 -2.41 16.02 -0.68 1.16 -1.78
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261.18
|
winning pts = 289.0897 losing points = -27.9086
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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