UL Monroe
W-L: (31-23) PR = 94.6160Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 11- 2 214 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 11-12 215 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 10- 2 215 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 4- 6 217 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 10- 4 220 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 4- 4 221 H Alabama A&M SWAC ( 1- 6, 89.5) 7-11 222 A New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 9- 1 224 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 9, 87.5) 19- 9 225 H Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 3, 81.5) 12- 0 227 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 12- 5 228 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 11- 4 301 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 11- 6 303 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5-10 304 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 6- 5 306 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 3- 2 307 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 5- 9 308 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 12- 2 313 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 12- 6 314 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 8- 5 315 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 16- 5 318 A Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 17- 2 320 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 5 321 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 9- 6 322 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4-16 324 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 0- 5 327 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 5- 3 328 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 7- 3 329 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 0- 4 331 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 14- 3 402 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 7-10 403 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 3-12 403 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 10- 9 407 H Mississippi Valley Sta SWAC ( 0- 4, 88.3) 9- 4 410 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 5- 8 411 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 14- 9 412 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 4-12 417 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 2- 3 418 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 3- 2 419 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 1- 4 421 A Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 4- 1 424 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 3-11 425 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 6- 4 426 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 2-10 428 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 16- 5 502 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 1- 2 502 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 1- 3 503 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 3- 7 505 H Mississippi Valley Sta SWAC ( 0- 4, 88.3) 10- 5 508 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 4- 7 509 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 10-13 510 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 7- 5 514 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 4- 0 515 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 12- 9 516 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 3-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Central Arkansas 11- 2 9 3 +++ 6.42
214 H Central Arkansas 11-12 -1 3 - -3.58
215 H Central Arkansas 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.42
215 H Central Arkansas 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.58
217 H Florida Atlantic 10- 4 6 2 ++ 4.46
220 H VCU 4- 4 0 1 -1.07
221 H Alabama A&M 7-11 -4 6 --- -9.78
222 A New Orleans 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.89
224 H Grambling 19- 9 10 8 + 2.21
225 H Alcorn State 12- 0 12 14 -1.82
227 H Western Illinois 12- 5 7 8 -0.86
228 H Western Illinois 11- 4 7 8 -0.86
301 A Southern Miss 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 7.69
303 A Arkansas State 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.42
304 A Mercer 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.41
306 H Central Arkansas 3- 2 1 3 -1.58
307 A UT Arlington 5- 9 -4 1 -- -4.55
308 A UT Arlington 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.45
313 H Texas State 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.72
314 H Texas State 8- 5 3 0 + 2.72
315 H Texas State 16- 5 11 0 +++ 10.72
318 A Omaha 17- 2 15 2 +++ 12.19
320 A South Alabama 4- 5 -1 -1 0.25
321 H Jacksonville State 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.79
322 A South Alabama 4-16 -12 -1 --- -10.75
324 H Northwestern State 0- 5 -5 4 --- -8.95
327 A Louisiana 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.14
328 A Louisiana 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.14
329 A Louisiana 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.86
331 A Louisiana Tech 14- 3 11 -1 +++ 11.72
402 H Georgia State 7-10 -3 2 -- -4.65
403 H Georgia State 3-12 -9 2 --- -10.65
403 H Georgia State 10- 9 1 2 -0.65
407 H Mississippi Valley Sta 9- 4 5 7 -1.94
410 H Marshall 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.83
411 A App State 14- 9 5 -1 +++ 6.24
412 A App State 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.76
417 H Arkansas State 2- 3 -1 0 -0.77
418 H Arkansas State 3- 2 1 0 1.23
419 H Arkansas State 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.77
421 A Northwestern State 4- 1 3 3 0.40
424 H Janes Madison 3-11 -8 3 --- -11.19
425 H Janes Madison 6- 4 2 3 -1.19
426 H Janes Madison 2-10 -8 3 --- -11.19
428 H Louisiana Tech 16- 5 11 1 +++ 10.37
502 A Southern Miss 1- 2 -1 -3 1.69
502 A Southern Miss 1- 3 -2 -3 0.69
503 A Southern Miss 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.31
505 H Mississippi Valley Sta 10- 5 5 7 -1.94
508 A Marshall 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.48
509 A Marshall 10-13 -3 0 - -3.48
510 A Marshall 7- 5 2 0 1.52
514 A Marshall 4- 0 4 0 + 3.52
515 A Marshall 12- 9 3 0 + 2.52
516 H Troy 3-13 -10 -1 --- -9.07
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Alabama A&M 7-11 -4 6 --- -9.78 322 A South Alabama 4-16 -12 -1 --- -10.75 324 H Northwestern State 0- 5 -5 4 --- -8.95 403 H Georgia State 3-12 -9 2 --- -10.65 412 A App State 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.76 424 H Janes Madison 3-11 -8 3 --- -11.19 426 H Janes Madison 2-10 -8 3 --- -11.19 516 H Troy 3-13 -10 -1 --- -9.07 215 H Central Arkansas 4- 6 -2 3 -- -4.58 307 A UT Arlington 5- 9 -4 1 -- -4.55 402 H Georgia State 7-10 -3 2 -- -4.65 410 H Marshall 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.83 214 H Central Arkansas 11-12 -1 3 - -3.58 303 A Arkansas State 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.42 329 A Louisiana 0- 4 -4 -1 - -2.86 419 H Arkansas State 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.77 508 A Marshall 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.48 509 A Marshall 10-13 -3 0 - -3.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Central Arkansas 11- 2 9 3 +++ 6.42 222 A New Orleans 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.89 301 A Southern Miss 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 7.69 308 A UT Arlington 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.45 315 H Texas State 16- 5 11 0 +++ 10.72 318 A Omaha 17- 2 15 2 +++ 12.19 331 A Louisiana Tech 14- 3 11 -1 +++ 11.72 411 A App State 14- 9 5 -1 +++ 6.24 428 H Louisiana Tech 16- 5 11 1 +++ 10.37 215 H Central Arkansas 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.42 217 H Florida Atlantic 10- 4 6 2 ++ 4.46 313 H Texas State 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.72 321 H Jacksonville State 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 4.79 328 A Louisiana 7- 3 4 -1 ++ 5.14 224 H Grambling 19- 9 10 8 + 2.21 304 A Mercer 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.41 314 H Texas State 8- 5 3 0 + 2.72 327 A Louisiana 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.14 514 A Marshall 4- 0 4 0 + 3.52 515 A Marshall 12- 9 3 0 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 11- 2 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 11.11
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 11-12 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 -2.07
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 10- 2 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 11.11
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 4- 6 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 -2.07
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 10- 4 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.53 12.20
3 H VCU (10-10, 94.2) 4- 4 -5.68 12.75 -0.68 0.53 0.00
3 H Alabama A&M ( 1- 6, 89.5) 7-11 -10.39 8.04 -0.68 0.53 -2.91
3 A New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 9- 1 -6.07 12.36 0.68 0.53 13.71
3 H Grambling ( 0- 9, 87.5) 19- 9 -12.40 6.02 -0.68 0.53 5.62
3 H Alcorn State ( 0- 3, 81.5) 12- 0 -18.43 1.00 -0.68 0.53 0.34
3 H Western Illino ( 0- 8, 87.4) 12- 5 -12.47 5.96 -0.68 0.53 5.56
3 H Western Illino ( 0- 8, 87.4) 11- 4 -12.47 5.96 -0.68 0.53 5.56
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 11- 6 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.53 16.65
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 5-10 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.53 -0.97
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 6- 5 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.53 15.30
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 3- 2 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.53 11.11
3 A UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 5- 9 -6.51 11.92 0.68 0.53 -1.53
3 A UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 12- 2 -6.51 11.92 0.68 0.53 13.24
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 12- 6 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.53 13.53
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 8- 5 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.53 13.53
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 16- 5 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.53 13.53
3 A Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 17- 2 -7.77 10.66 0.68 0.53 11.92
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 5 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.53 -1.06
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 9- 6 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.53 15.71
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4-16 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.53 -1.06
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 0- 5 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.53 -2.43
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 5- 3 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.53 15.02
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 7- 3 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.53 15.02
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 0- 4 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.53 -1.09
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 14- 3 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.53 14.58
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 7-10 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.53 -1.82
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 3-12 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.53 -1.82
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 10- 9 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.53 12.08
3 H Mississippi Va ( 0- 4, 88.3) 9- 4 -11.55 6.87 -0.68 0.53 6.52
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 5- 8 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.53 -1.87
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 14- 9 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.53 15.12
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 4-12 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.53 -1.06
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 2- 3 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.53 -1.33
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.53 14.07
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 1- 4 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.53 -1.33
3 A Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 4- 1 -8.56 9.87 0.68 0.53 11.09
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 3-11 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.53 -2.23
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 6- 4 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.53 10.46
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 2-10 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.53 -2.23
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 16- 5 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.53 13.16
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.53 -0.68
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.53 -0.68
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 3- 7 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.53 -0.68
3 H Mississippi Va ( 0- 4, 88.3) 10- 5 -11.55 6.87 -0.68 0.53 6.52
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 4- 7 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.53 -1.51
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 10-13 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.53 -1.51
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 7- 5 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.53 13.32
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 4- 0 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.53 13.32
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 12- 9 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.53 13.32
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 3-13 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.53 -1.14
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328.21
|
winning pts = 363.3175 losing points = -35.1059
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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