Louisiana Tech
W-L: (31-26) PR = 94.6639Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 17- 5 214 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 5- 3 214 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 6- 4 215 H Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 11- 0 218 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 3- 2 220 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 6-13 221 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 8- 5 221 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 9- 3 224 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 5- 2 227 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 3- 8 228 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 0-11 301 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 2- 3 303 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 2- 6 304 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 2-13 306 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 3- 4 307 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 6- 2 308 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 6- 1 310 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 0- 6 313 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 5- 0 314 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 9- 3 315 H Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 17- 4 317 A Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 5- 0 320 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 13- 8 321 H San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 10- 5 322 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 6- 8 324 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 5-15 327 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0- 4 328 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 3- 5 329 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 4- 7 331 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 3-14 402 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 4- 7 403 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 6- 2 404 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 4- 3 407 A Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 7- 0 410 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 8- 3 411 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 8- 2 412 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 5- 3 414 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 9- 3 417 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 6- 3 418 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 5- 6 419 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 4- 3 421 A McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 3- 4 425 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 6- 5 426 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 9- 8 428 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 5-16 501 A Dallas Baptist 1- 4 502 A Dallas Baptist 5- 4 503 A Dallas Baptist 7- 9 505 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 12- 1 508 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 9- 3 509 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 9- 6 510 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 2- 3 514 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 2- 7 515 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 8- 9 516 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 0- 6 520 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 13-14 522 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 0- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Houston Christian 17- 5 12 3 +++ 9.25
214 H Houston Christian 5- 3 2 3 -0.75
214 H Houston Christian 6- 4 2 3 -0.75
215 H Houston Christian 11- 0 11 3 +++ 8.25
218 A Purdue 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.36
220 H Georgetown 6-13 -7 4 --- -11.22
221 A Memphis 8- 5 3 0 + 3.38
221 H Ohio State 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.69
224 H Northwestern State 5- 2 3 4 -1.00
227 H Southern Miss 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.71
228 H Southern Miss 0-11 -11 -1 --- -9.71
301 A Jacksonville 2- 3 -1 0 -1.35
303 A Abilene Christian 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.36
304 A Alabama 2-13 -11 -3 --- -7.91
306 H Abilene Christian 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.71
307 A South Alabama 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.21
308 A South Alabama 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.21
310 H Lamar 0- 6 -6 2 --- -8.08
313 H Delaware 5- 0 5 3 1.80
314 H Delaware 9- 3 6 3 + 2.80
315 H Columbia 17- 4 13 4 +++ 9.08
317 A Nicholls 5- 0 5 4 1.01
320 A New Mexico State 13- 8 5 1 + 3.89
321 H San Diego 10- 5 5 3 + 2.26
322 A New Mexico State 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.11
324 A LSU 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.98
327 H Jacksonville State 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.26
328 H Jacksonville State 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.26
329 H Jacksonville State 4- 7 -3 -2 -1.26
331 H UL Monroe 3-14 -11 1 --- -11.72
402 A Florida International 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.21
403 A Florida International 6- 2 4 1 + 2.79
404 A Florida International 4- 3 1 1 -0.21
407 A Northwestern State 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.35
410 A New Mexico State 8- 3 5 1 + 3.89
411 H Middle Tennessee 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.09
412 H Middle Tennessee 5- 3 2 2 0.09
414 H Little Rock 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.59
417 A Kennesaw State 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.69
418 A Kennesaw State 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.31
419 A Kennesaw State 4- 3 1 -1 1.69
421 A McNeese 3- 4 -1 1 -1.69
425 H Missouri State 6- 5 1 -1 1.97
426 H Missouri State 9- 8 1 -1 1.97
428 A UL Monroe 5-16 -11 -1 --- -10.37
505 H Northwestern State 12- 1 11 4 +++ 7.00
508 A Liberty 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 8.16
509 A Liberty 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.16
510 A Liberty 2- 3 -1 -2 1.16
514 A UAB 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.11
515 A UAB 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.11
516 H Sam Houston 0- 6 -6 2 --- -7.90
520 H Sam Houston 13-14 -1 2 - -2.90
522 A Liberty 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.84
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Georgetown 6-13 -7 4 --- -11.22 228 H Southern Miss 0-11 -11 -1 --- -9.71 304 A Alabama 2-13 -11 -3 --- -7.91 310 H Lamar 0- 6 -6 2 --- -8.08 324 A LSU 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.98 331 H UL Monroe 3-14 -11 1 --- -11.72 428 A UL Monroe 5-16 -11 -1 --- -10.37 516 H Sam Houston 0- 6 -6 2 --- -7.90 303 A Abilene Christian 2- 6 -4 0 -- -4.36 402 A Florida International 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.21 514 A UAB 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.11 227 H Southern Miss 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.71 306 H Abilene Christian 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.71 322 A New Mexico State 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.11 327 H Jacksonville State 0- 4 -4 -2 - -2.26 520 H Sam Houston 13-14 -1 2 - -2.90 522 A Liberty 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Houston Christian 17- 5 12 3 +++ 9.25 215 H Houston Christian 11- 0 11 3 +++ 8.25 308 A South Alabama 6- 1 5 -1 +++ 6.21 315 H Columbia 17- 4 13 4 +++ 9.08 505 H Northwestern State 12- 1 11 4 +++ 7.00 508 A Liberty 9- 3 6 -2 +++ 8.16 221 H Ohio State 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.69 307 A South Alabama 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.21 407 A Northwestern State 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.35 411 H Middle Tennessee 8- 2 6 2 ++ 4.09 414 H Little Rock 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.59 509 A Liberty 9- 6 3 -2 ++ 5.16 218 A Purdue 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.36 221 A Memphis 8- 5 3 0 + 3.38 314 H Delaware 9- 3 6 3 + 2.80 320 A New Mexico State 13- 8 5 1 + 3.89 321 H San Diego 10- 5 5 3 + 2.26 403 A Florida International 6- 2 4 1 + 2.79 410 A New Mexico State 8- 3 5 1 + 3.89 417 A Kennesaw State 6- 3 3 -1 + 3.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 17- 5 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.18
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 5- 3 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.18
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 6- 4 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.18
3 H Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 11- 0 -7.31 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.18
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 3- 2 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 16.65
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 6-13 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.54 -2.53
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 8- 5 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.54 14.54
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 9- 3 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.54 13.80
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 5- 2 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.54 9.84
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 3- 8 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.54 -1.06
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 0-11 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.54 -1.06
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 2- 3 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 2- 6 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.54 -1.50
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 2-13 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.54 -0.57
3 H Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.27 12.15 -0.68 0.54 -1.86
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 6- 2 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.54 15.42
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 6- 1 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.54 15.42
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 0- 6 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 0.54 -1.96
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 5- 0 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.54 10.70
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 9- 3 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.54 10.70
3 H Columbia ( 4-11, 91.4) 17- 4 -8.49 9.94 -0.68 0.54 9.92
3 A Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 5- 0 -9.90 8.53 0.68 0.54 9.86
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 13- 8 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.54 12.94
3 H San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 10- 5 -7.30 11.12 -0.68 0.54 11.19
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 6- 8 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.54 -1.70
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 5-15 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.54 -0.59
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.54 -0.94
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 3- 5 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.54 -0.94
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 4- 7 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.54 -0.94
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 3-14 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.54 -1.60
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 4- 7 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.54 -1.73
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 6- 2 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.54 12.83
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 4- 3 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.54 12.83
3 A Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 7- 0 -8.56 9.87 0.68 0.54 11.29
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 8- 3 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.54 12.94
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 8- 2 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.54 12.09
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 5- 3 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.54 12.09
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 9- 3 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.54 12.62
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 6- 3 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.54 14.87
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 5- 6 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.54 -1.22
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 4- 3 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.54 14.87
3 A McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 3- 4 -6.61 11.82 0.68 0.54 -1.59
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 6- 5 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.54 15.16
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 9- 8 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.54 15.16
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 5-16 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.54 -1.23
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 12- 1 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.54 9.84
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 9- 3 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.54 16.44
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 9- 6 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.54 16.44
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 2- 3 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.54 -0.82
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 2- 7 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.54 -1.16
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 8- 9 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.54 -1.16
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 0- 6 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 13-14 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.54 -1.91
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 0- 6 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.54 -0.82
------
352.92
|
winning pts = 385.2075 losing points = -32.2908
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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