UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Long Beach Sta
  
Long Beach State      
W-L: (21-31) PR = 92.8805

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 0- 8 214 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 12- 3 215 H San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 2- 3 217 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 3- 2 220 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 2- 9 221 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 4- 6, 93.9) 10- 5 222 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2-15 225 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 10- 7 227 H Washington State WC (13-18, 94.0) 4-10 228 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 7- 6 301 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 7-10 304 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 10- 6 306 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3- 2 307 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 7 308 A UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 6 310 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 1- 6 313 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 1-11 314 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 7- 6 315 H Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 2- 1 317 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 16- 4 321 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 0- 2 321 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6- 3 322 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 5- 1 323 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 1- 8 327 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 10- 2 328 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 9-12 329 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 1- 7 402 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 2- 7 403 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 17- 4 404 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 4-18 406 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 5-10 410 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 0- 2 411 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 4- 3 412 H Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 2- 6 414 H USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 5- 3 415 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 5- 7 417 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 3- 5 418 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 1- 4 419 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 2- 7 421 H Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 2- 5 424 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 5- 3 425 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 8- 3 426 A UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 0- 3 501 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 3- 1 502 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 11- 1 503 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 6- 4 508 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 7 509 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 8 510 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 4- 8 514 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 3-10 515 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 2- 5 516 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 3- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H San José State         0- 8      -8    -1    ---   -7.17
   214 H San José State        12- 3       9    -1    +++    9.83
   215 H San José State         2- 3      -1    -1          -0.17
   217 A Missouri                3- 2       1    -2    +      3.30
   220 H App State               2- 9      -7    -2    --    -5.38
   221 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.67
   222 H Cal State Bakersfield   2-15     -13     1    ---  -13.67
   225 H BYU                    10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.19
   227 H Washington State        4-10      -6     0    --    -5.55
   228 H BYU                     7- 6       1    -1    +      2.19
   301 A Texas                   7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.26
   304 H Minnesota              10- 6       4    -4    +++    7.78
   306 H Florida                 3- 2       1    -5    ++     5.71
   307 A UC Santa Barbara        4- 7      -3    -4           1.05
   308 A UC Santa Barbara        2- 6      -4    -4           0.05
   310 A USC                     1- 6      -5    -5           0.29
   313 H Hawai'i                 1-11     -10     0    ---   -9.90
   314 H Hawai'i                 7- 6       1     0           1.10
   315 H Hawai'i                 2- 1       1     0           1.10
   317 A Pepperdine             16- 4      12     1    +++   11.26
   321 A Cal State Bakersfield   0- 2      -2    -1          -1.32
   321 H Stetson                 6- 3       3     1    +      2.21
   322 A Cal State Bakersfield   5- 1       4    -1    ++     4.68
   323 A Fresno State            1- 8      -7    -1    --    -5.94
   327 H UC Irvine              10- 2       8    -1    +++    8.77
   328 H UC Irvine               9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.23
   329 H UC Irvine               1- 7      -6    -1    --    -5.23
   402 A Cal State Northridge    2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.57
   403 A Cal State Northridge   17- 4      13    -1    +++   14.43
   404 A Cal State Northridge    4-18     -14    -1    ---  -12.57
   406 H California Baptist      5-10      -5    -3    -     -2.07
   410 A Iowa                    0- 2      -2    -4           1.63
   411 H Cal State Fullerton     4- 3       1     0           1.15
   412 H Cal State Fullerton     2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.85
   414 H USC                     5- 3       2    -4    ++     5.94
   415 H San Diego State         5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.62
   417 H UC Riverside            3- 5      -2     4    --    -5.95
   418 H UC Riverside            1- 4      -3     4    ---   -6.95
   419 H UC Riverside            2- 7      -5     4    ---   -8.95
   421 H Fresno State            2- 5      -3     0    -     -3.29
   424 A UC Davis                5- 3       2    -2    +      3.65
   425 A UC Davis                8- 3       5    -2    +++    6.65
   426 A UC Davis                0- 3      -3    -2          -1.35
   501 H UC San Diego            3- 1       2    -1    +      2.86
   502 H UC San Diego           11- 1      10    -1    +++   10.86
   503 H UC San Diego            6- 4       2    -1    +      2.86
   508 H Oregon State            2- 7      -5    -3    -     -2.28
   509 H Oregon State            1- 8      -7    -3    --    -4.28
   510 H Oregon State            4- 8      -4    -3          -1.28
   514 H UC San Diego            3-10      -7    -1    ---   -6.14
   515 H Gonzaga                 2- 5      -3    -2          -0.85
   516 A Cal Poly                3- 8      -5    -3          -1.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H San José State         0- 8      -8    -1    ---   -7.17
   222 H Cal State Bakersfield   2-15     -13     1    ---  -13.67
   313 H Hawai'i                 1-11     -10     0    ---   -9.90
   404 A Cal State Northridge    4-18     -14    -1    ---  -12.57
   418 H UC Riverside            1- 4      -3     4    ---   -6.95
   419 H UC Riverside            2- 7      -5     4    ---   -8.95
   514 H UC San Diego            3-10      -7    -1    ---   -6.14
   220 H App State               2- 9      -7    -2    --    -5.38
   227 H Washington State        4-10      -6     0    --    -5.55
   323 A Fresno State            1- 8      -7    -1    --    -5.94
   329 H UC Irvine               1- 7      -6    -1    --    -5.23
   417 H UC Riverside            3- 5      -2     4    --    -5.95
   509 H Oregon State            1- 8      -7    -3    --    -4.28
   328 H UC Irvine               9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.23
   402 A Cal State Northridge    2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.57
   406 H California Baptist      5-10      -5    -3    -     -2.07
   412 H Cal State Fullerton     2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.85
   415 H San Diego State         5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.62
   421 H Fresno State            2- 5      -3     0    -     -3.29
   508 H Oregon State            2- 7      -5    -3    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H San José State        12- 3       9    -1    +++    9.83
   221 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 10- 5       5    -2    +++    6.67
   304 H Minnesota              10- 6       4    -4    +++    7.78
   317 A Pepperdine             16- 4      12     1    +++   11.26
   327 H UC Irvine              10- 2       8    -1    +++    8.77
   403 A Cal State Northridge   17- 4      13    -1    +++   14.43
   425 A UC Davis                8- 3       5    -2    +++    6.65
   502 H UC San Diego           11- 1      10    -1    +++   10.86
   225 H BYU                    10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.19
   301 A Texas                   7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.26
   306 H Florida                 3- 2       1    -5    ++     5.71
   322 A Cal State Bakersfield   5- 1       4    -1    ++     4.68
   414 H USC                     5- 3       2    -4    ++     5.94
   217 A Missouri                3- 2       1    -2    +      3.30
   228 H BYU                     7- 6       1    -1    +      2.19
   321 H Stetson                 6- 3       3     1    +      2.21
   424 A UC Davis                5- 3       2    -2    +      3.65
   501 H UC San Diego            3- 1       2    -1    +      2.86
   503 H UC San Diego            6- 4       2    -1    +      2.86

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H San José Stat  (12-11, 94.4)     0- 8       -5.52      12.91      -0.68         0.56            -1.72
   3 H San José Stat  (12-11, 94.4)    12- 3       -5.52      12.91      -0.68         0.56            13.61
   3 H San José Stat  (12-11, 94.4)     2- 3       -5.52      12.91      -0.68         0.56            -1.72
   3 A Missouri        (21-31, 94.5)     3- 2       -5.40      13.03       0.68         0.56            15.24
   3 H App State       (31-23, 95.2)     2- 9       -4.72      13.70      -0.68         0.56            -1.50
   3 A Texas A&M-Corp  ( 4- 6, 93.9)    10- 5       -6.03      12.40       0.68         0.56            14.54
   3 H Cal State Bake  (24-27, 92.9)     2-15       -7.01      11.41      -0.68         0.56            -2.14
   3 H BYU             (28-27, 94.7)    10- 7       -5.15      13.28      -0.68         0.56            14.02
   3 H Washington Sta  (13-18, 94.0)     4-10       -5.89      12.53      -0.68         0.56            -1.83
   3 H BYU             (28-27, 94.7)     7- 6       -5.15      13.28      -0.68         0.56            14.02
   3 A Texas           (49-13, 99.5)     7-10       -0.44      17.99       0.68         0.56            -0.07
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)    10- 6       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.56            16.89
   3 H Florida         (43-21, 98.3)     3- 2       -1.63      16.79      -0.68         0.56            17.93
   3 A UC Santa Barba  (40-22, 96.3)     4- 7       -3.64      14.78       0.68         0.56            -0.82
   3 A UC Santa Barba  (40-22, 96.3)     2- 6       -3.64      14.78       0.68         0.56            -0.82
   3 A USC             (43-22, 97.5)     1- 6       -2.41      16.02       0.68         0.56            -0.48
   3 H Hawai'i         (21-26, 93.7)     1-11       -6.25      12.18      -0.68         0.56            -1.92
   3 H Hawai'i         (21-26, 93.7)     7- 6       -6.25      12.18      -0.68         0.56            12.80
   3 H Hawai'i         (21-26, 93.7)     2- 1       -6.25      12.18      -0.68         0.56            12.80
   3 A Pepperdine      (21-33, 91.5)    16- 4       -8.43       9.99       0.68         0.56            11.87
   3 A Cal State Bake  (24-27, 92.9)     0- 2       -7.01      11.41       0.68         0.56            -1.76
   3 H Stetson         (20-34, 92.8)     6- 3       -7.14      11.29      -0.68         0.56            11.81
   3 A Cal State Bake  (24-27, 92.9)     5- 1       -7.01      11.41       0.68         0.56            13.45
   3 A Fresno State    ( 9-14, 93.3)     1- 8       -6.63      11.79       0.68         0.56            -1.66
   3 H UC Irvine       (25-26, 94.3)    10- 2       -5.57      12.86      -0.68         0.56            13.55
   3 H UC Irvine       (25-26, 94.3)     9-12       -5.57      12.86      -0.68         0.56            -1.74
   3 H UC Irvine       (25-26, 94.3)     1- 7       -5.57      12.86      -0.68         0.56            -1.74
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     2- 7       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.56            -1.55
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)    17- 4       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.56            14.28
   3 A Cal State Nort  (24-29, 93.6)     4-18       -6.27      12.16       0.68         0.56            -1.55
   3 H California Bap  (23- 9, 96.5)     5-10       -3.42      15.01      -0.68         0.56            -1.14
   3 A Iowa            (34-21, 95.8)     0- 2       -4.07      14.36       0.68         0.56            -0.94
   3 H Cal State Full  (21-34, 93.7)     4- 3       -6.19      12.23      -0.68         0.56            12.86
   3 H Cal State Full  (21-34, 93.7)     2- 6       -6.19      12.23      -0.68         0.56            -1.91
   3 H USC             (43-22, 97.5)     5- 3       -2.41      16.02      -0.68         0.56            17.07
   3 H San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)     5- 7       -6.97      11.46      -0.68         0.56            -2.13
   3 H UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)     3- 5      -10.30       8.13      -0.68         0.56            -3.05
   3 H UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)     1- 4      -10.30       8.13      -0.68         0.56            -3.05
   3 H UC Riverside    (15-35, 89.6)     2- 7      -10.30       8.13      -0.68         0.56            -3.05
   3 H Fresno State    ( 9-14, 93.3)     2- 5       -6.63      11.79      -0.68         0.56            -2.03
   3 A UC Davis        (27-26, 93.9)     5- 3       -6.05      12.38       0.68         0.56            14.52
   3 A UC Davis        (27-26, 93.9)     8- 3       -6.05      12.38       0.68         0.56            14.52
   3 A UC Davis        (27-26, 93.9)     0- 3       -6.05      12.38       0.68         0.56            -1.49
   3 H UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)     3- 1       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.56            13.65
   3 H UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)    11- 1       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.56            13.65
   3 H UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)     6- 4       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.56            13.65
   3 H Oregon State    (42-16, 96.3)     2- 7       -3.62      14.80      -0.68         0.56            -1.20
   3 H Oregon State    (42-16, 96.3)     1- 8       -3.62      14.80      -0.68         0.56            -1.20
   3 H Oregon State    (42-16, 96.3)     4- 8       -3.62      14.80      -0.68         0.56            -1.20
   3 H UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)     3-10       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.56            -1.71
   3 H Gonzaga         (35-19, 95.7)     2- 5       -4.20      14.23      -0.68         0.56            -1.35
   3 A Cal Poly        (39-25, 95.3)     3- 8       -4.60      13.83       0.68         0.56            -1.09
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       247.12

winning pts = 296.6964 losing points = -49.5742

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------