Longwood
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 93.9561Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 3- 4 224 A Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 8- 3 317 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 8- 6 414 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 3- 7 520 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 8-11 522 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 10- 4 523 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 4- 3 523 A High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 7- 4 524 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 4- 1 524 A South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 1- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H UNC Greensboro 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.69
224 A Elon 8- 3 5 1 + 3.62
317 H William & Mary 8- 6 2 3 -1.11
414 A William & Mary 3- 7 -4 2 -- -5.76
520 A South Carolina Upstate 8-11 -3 -2 -1.31
522 A Charleston Southern 10- 4 6 0 +++ 6.10
523 A Winthrop 4- 3 1 1 -0.22
523 A High Point 7- 4 3 0 + 3.00
524 A South Carolina Upstate 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.69
524 A South Carolina Upstate 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.31
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A William & Mary 3- 7 -4 2 -- -5.76 524 A South Carolina Upstate 1- 8 -7 -2 -- -5.31 218 H UNC Greensboro 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 A Charleston Southern 10- 4 6 0 +++ 6.10 524 A South Carolina Upstate 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.69 224 A Elon 8- 3 5 1 + 3.62 523 A High Point 7- 4 3 0 + 3.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 3- 4 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 2.89 -12.49
3 A Elon (22-27, 91.9) 8- 3 -8.00 10.43 0.68 2.89 64.22
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 8- 6 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 2.89 54.20
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 3- 7 -8.38 10.05 0.68 2.89 -11.14
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 8-11 -4.93 13.50 0.68 2.89 -6.15
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 10- 4 -6.52 11.91 0.68 2.89 72.78
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 4- 3 -7.84 10.58 0.68 2.89 65.13
3 A High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 7- 4 -6.62 11.80 0.68 2.89 72.19
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 4- 1 -4.93 13.50 0.68 2.89 81.97
3 A South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 1- 8 -4.93 13.50 0.68 2.89 -6.15
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374.56
|
winning pts = 410.4985 losing points = -35.9345
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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