UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Lipscomb
  
Lipscomb              
W-L: (32-22) PR = 92.2450

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Dayton A10 ( 4- 4, 93.1) 11- 6 214 H Dayton A10 ( 4- 4, 93.1) 1- 3 215 H Dayton A10 ( 4- 4, 93.1) 9- 6 217 A Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 5- 7 220 A Saint Peter's MAAC ( 1- 5, 88.1) 5- 2 221 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 9- 8 224 H Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 8- 2 227 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 1- 5 228 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 7-10 301 A Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 9- 7 302 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 13-13 305 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 3- 9 306 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 4- 7 307 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 0-26 310 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 2- 5 313 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 6- 3 314 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 7- 5 315 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 7-13 320 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 11- 8 321 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 8- 5 322 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 19- 5 324 A Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 4- 1 327 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 3- 2 328 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 3-15 329 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 9- 2 402 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 9- 4 403 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 5- 9 407 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 3- 7 410 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 6- 1 411 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 5-10 412 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 6- 5 414 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 1-15 417 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 6- 4 418 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 2- 6 419 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 6- 0 421 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 4-14 424 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 6- 5 425 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 11-10 426 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 2- 6 428 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 5-15 501 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 9- 3 502 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 0- 2 503 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 10- 5 507 H Fairleigh Dickinson NE ( 3- 9, 88.7) 5- 4 508 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 6- 4 509 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 2- 1 514 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 1- 0 515 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 16-10 516 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 7- 4 521 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 4- 1 522 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4- 3 523 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 5- 4 529 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 1-10 530 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4-10 530 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Dayton                 11- 6       5     0    ++     5.14
   214 H Dayton                  1- 3      -2     0          -1.86
   215 H Dayton                  9- 6       3     0    +      3.14
   217 A Tennessee Tech          5- 7      -2     2    -     -3.59
   220 A Saint Peter's           5- 2       3     4          -0.51
   221 H Villanova               9- 8       1     3          -1.60
   224 H Belmont                 8- 2       6     1    ++     4.82
   227 H Toledo                  1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.65
   228 H Toledo                  7-10      -3     0    -     -2.65
   301 A Western Illinois        9- 7       2     4    -     -2.13
   302 A Utah                   13-13       0    -3    +      3.24
   305 H Cincinnati              3- 9      -6    -4    -     -2.15
   306 H Miami                   4- 7      -3    -4           0.52
   307 A Mississippi State       0-26     -26    -8    ---   -6.23
   310 A Memphis                 2- 5      -3    -3          -0.20
   313 H North Alabama           6- 3       3     0    +      3.48
   314 H North Alabama           7- 5       2     0    +      2.48
   315 H North Alabama           7-13      -6     0    --    -5.52
   320 A Austin Peay            11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.19
   321 H Georgia Southern        8- 5       3     1           1.99
   322 A Austin Peay            19- 5      14    -1    +++   15.19
   324 A Belmont                 4- 1       3     0    +      3.18
   327 H Eastern Kentucky        3- 2       1     2          -0.71
   328 H Eastern Kentucky        3-15     -12     2    ---  -13.71
   329 H Eastern Kentucky        9- 2       7     2    ++     5.29
   402 A Bellarmine              9- 4       5     0    ++     4.59
   403 A Bellarmine              5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.41
   407 H Tennessee Tech          3- 7      -4     3    ---   -6.94
   410 A Middle Tennessee        6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.86
   411 H Central Arkansas        5-10      -5     0    --    -5.21
   412 H Central Arkansas        6- 5       1     0           0.79
   414 H Vanderbilt              1-15     -14    -4    ---   -9.80
   417 A North Alabama           6- 4       2    -2    +      3.83
   418 A North Alabama           2- 6      -4    -2    -     -2.17
   419 A North Alabama           6- 0       6    -2    +++    7.83
   421 A Tennessee               4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   424 H Austin Peay             6- 5       1     0           0.84
   425 H Austin Peay            11-10       1     0           0.84
   426 H Austin Peay             2- 6      -4     0    --    -4.16
   428 H Tennessee Tech          5-15     -10     3    ---  -12.94
   501 A Eastern Kentucky        9- 3       6     0    ++     5.64
   502 A Eastern Kentucky        0- 2      -2     0    -     -2.36
   503 A Eastern Kentucky       10- 5       5     0    ++     4.64
   507 H Fairleigh Dickinson     5- 4       1     4    -     -3.18
   508 H Bellarmine              6- 4       2     2           0.24
   509 H Bellarmine              2- 1       1     2          -0.76
   515 H UC San Diego           16-10       6    -1    +++    7.50
   516 A Central Arkansas        7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.14
   521 H Florida Gulf Coast      4- 1       3    -1    ++     4.14
   522 H North Alabama           4- 3       1     0           1.48
   523 H North Alabama           5- 4       1     0           1.48
   529 A Mississippi State       1-10      -9    -8          -1.23
   530 A Louisiana               4-10      -6    -4    -     -2.49
   530 A Louisiana               4-10      -6    -4    -     -2.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Mississippi State       0-26     -26    -8    ---   -6.23
   328 H Eastern Kentucky        3-15     -12     2    ---  -13.71
   407 H Tennessee Tech          3- 7      -4     3    ---   -6.94
   414 H Vanderbilt              1-15     -14    -4    ---   -9.80
   428 H Tennessee Tech          5-15     -10     3    ---  -12.94
   315 H North Alabama           7-13      -6     0    --    -5.52
   403 A Bellarmine              5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.41
   411 H Central Arkansas        5-10      -5     0    --    -5.21
   421 A Tennessee               4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.88
   426 H Austin Peay             2- 6      -4     0    --    -4.16
   217 A Tennessee Tech          5- 7      -2     2    -     -3.59
   227 H Toledo                  1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.65
   228 H Toledo                  7-10      -3     0    -     -2.65
   301 A Western Illinois        9- 7       2     4    -     -2.13
   305 H Cincinnati              3- 9      -6    -4    -     -2.15
   418 A North Alabama           2- 6      -4    -2    -     -2.17
   502 A Eastern Kentucky        0- 2      -2     0    -     -2.36
   507 H Fairleigh Dickinson     5- 4       1     4    -     -3.18
   530 A Louisiana               4-10      -6    -4    -     -2.49
   530 A Louisiana               4-10      -6    -4    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Austin Peay            19- 5      14    -1    +++   15.19
   410 A Middle Tennessee        6- 1       5    -2    +++    6.86
   419 A North Alabama           6- 0       6    -2    +++    7.83
   515 H UC San Diego           16-10       6    -1    +++    7.50
   213 H Dayton                 11- 6       5     0    ++     5.14
   224 H Belmont                 8- 2       6     1    ++     4.82
   320 A Austin Peay            11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.19
   329 H Eastern Kentucky        9- 2       7     2    ++     5.29
   402 A Bellarmine              9- 4       5     0    ++     4.59
   501 A Eastern Kentucky        9- 3       6     0    ++     5.64
   503 A Eastern Kentucky       10- 5       5     0    ++     4.64
   516 A Central Arkansas        7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.14
   521 H Florida Gulf Coast      4- 1       3    -1    ++     4.14
   215 H Dayton                  9- 6       3     0    +      3.14
   302 A Utah                   13-13       0    -3    +      3.24
   313 H North Alabama           6- 3       3     0    +      3.48
   314 H North Alabama           7- 5       2     0    +      2.48
   324 A Belmont                 4- 1       3     0    +      3.18
   417 A North Alabama           6- 4       2    -2    +      3.83

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Dayton          ( 4- 4, 93.1)    11- 6       -6.84      11.59      -0.68         0.53            11.47
   3 H Dayton          ( 4- 4, 93.1)     1- 3       -6.84      11.59      -0.68         0.53            -1.98
   3 H Dayton          ( 4- 4, 93.1)     9- 6       -6.84      11.59      -0.68         0.53            11.47
   3 A Tennessee Tech  ( 5-13, 90.0)     5- 7       -9.92       8.51       0.68         0.53            -2.43
   3 A Saint Peter's   ( 1- 5, 88.1)     5- 2      -11.84       6.59       0.68         0.53             7.64
   3 H Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     9- 8       -9.57       8.85      -0.68         0.53             8.60
   3 H Belmont         ( 4-12, 91.7)     8- 2       -8.16      10.27      -0.68         0.53            10.09
   3 H Toledo          ( 6-13, 93.3)     1- 5       -6.63      11.80      -0.68         0.53            -1.92
   3 H Toledo          ( 6-13, 93.3)     7-10       -6.63      11.80      -0.68         0.53            -1.92
   3 A Western Illino  ( 0- 8, 87.4)     9- 7      -12.47       5.96       0.68         0.53             6.98
   3 A Utah            (25-26, 94.8)    13-13       -5.09      13.33       0.68         0.53             0.00
   3 H Cincinnati      (38-21, 96.8)     3- 9       -3.13      15.29      -0.68         0.53            -1.00
   3 H Miami           (22-13, 96.4)     4- 7       -3.46      14.97      -0.68         0.53            -1.09
   3 A Mississippi St  (43-20, 99.3)     0-26       -0.56      17.86       0.68         0.53            -0.03
   3 A Memphis         (27-30, 94.4)     2- 5       -5.53      12.90       0.68         0.53            -1.28
   3 H North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     6- 3       -6.50      11.93      -0.68         0.53            11.83
   3 H North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     7- 5       -6.50      11.93      -0.68         0.53            11.83
   3 H North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     7-13       -6.50      11.93      -0.68         0.53            -1.89
   3 A Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)    11- 8       -7.14      11.29       0.68         0.53            12.58
   3 H Georgia Southe  (16-40, 91.9)     8- 5       -7.99      10.43      -0.68         0.53            10.26
   3 A Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)    19- 5       -7.14      11.29       0.68         0.53            12.58
   3 A Belmont         ( 4-12, 91.7)     4- 1       -8.16      10.27       0.68         0.53            11.51
   3 H Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     3- 2       -8.69       9.74      -0.68         0.53             9.53
   3 H Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     3-15       -8.69       9.74      -0.68         0.53            -2.46
   3 H Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     9- 2       -8.69       9.74      -0.68         0.53             9.53
   3 A Bellarmine      (18-33, 91.2)     9- 4       -8.74       9.69       0.68         0.53            10.90
   3 A Bellarmine      (18-33, 91.2)     5- 9       -8.74       9.69       0.68         0.53            -2.12
   3 H Tennessee Tech  ( 5-13, 90.0)     3- 7       -9.92       8.51      -0.68         0.53            -2.79
   3 A Middle Tenness  (27-30, 93.4)     6- 1       -6.47      11.96       0.68         0.53            13.29
   3 H Central Arkans  (31-25, 92.7)     5-10       -7.19      11.24      -0.68         0.53            -2.07
   3 H Central Arkans  (31-25, 92.7)     6- 5       -7.19      11.24      -0.68         0.53            11.11
   3 H Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     1-15       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         0.53            -0.91
   3 A North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     6- 4       -6.50      11.93       0.68         0.53            13.26
   3 A North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     2- 6       -6.50      11.93       0.68         0.53            -1.53
   3 A North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     6- 0       -6.50      11.93       0.68         0.53            13.26
   3 A Tennessee       (33-26, 96.7)     4-14       -3.21      15.22       0.68         0.53            -0.67
   3 H Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)     6- 5       -7.14      11.29      -0.68         0.53            11.16
   3 H Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)    11-10       -7.14      11.29      -0.68         0.53            11.16
   3 H Austin Peay     (25-30, 92.8)     2- 6       -7.14      11.29      -0.68         0.53            -2.05
   3 H Tennessee Tech  ( 5-13, 90.0)     5-15       -9.92       8.51      -0.68         0.53            -2.79
   3 A Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     9- 3       -8.69       9.74       0.68         0.53            10.95
   3 A Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)     0- 2       -8.69       9.74       0.68         0.53            -2.11
   3 A Eastern Kentuc  (17-34, 91.2)    10- 5       -8.69       9.74       0.68         0.53            10.95
   3 H Fairleigh Dick  ( 3- 9, 88.7)     5- 4      -11.16       7.27      -0.68         0.53             6.93
   3 H Bellarmine      (18-33, 91.2)     6- 4       -8.74       9.69      -0.68         0.53             9.48
   3 H Bellarmine      (18-33, 91.2)     2- 1       -8.74       9.69      -0.68         0.53             9.48
   3 H Lamar           (11-13, 93.3)     1- 0       -6.64      11.79      -0.68         0.53            11.69
   3 H UC San Diego    (26-29, 94.4)    16-10       -5.48      12.94      -0.68         0.53            12.90
   3 A Central Arkans  (31-25, 92.7)     7- 4       -7.19      11.24       0.68         0.53            12.53
   3 H Florida Gulf C  (35-21, 94.1)     4- 1       -5.83      12.59      -0.68         0.53            12.53
   3 H North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     4- 3       -6.50      11.93      -0.68         0.53            11.83
   3 H North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     5- 4       -6.50      11.93      -0.68         0.53            11.83
   3 A Mississippi St  (43-20, 99.3)     1-10       -0.56      17.86       0.68         0.53            -0.03
   3 A Louisiana       (40-27, 95.1)     4-10       -4.82      13.61       0.68         0.53            -1.09
   3 A Louisiana       (40-27, 95.1)     4-10       -4.82      13.61       0.68         0.53            -1.09
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       315.92

winning pts = 351.1483 losing points = -35.2247

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------