Louisville
W-L: (29-27) PR = 96.2010Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 3- 4 214 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 4-13 215 H Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 9- 1 217 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 23-11 220 A Bryant AE ( 1- 7, 90.7) 4- 3 221 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 5- 8 222 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 6-10 225 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 6- 5 227 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 16- 2 228 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 9- 8 301 A Princeton IVY ( 3- 9, 89.6) 7- 8 303 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 5- 8 306 A St. Thomas SM ( 1- 8, 89.9) 16- 5 307 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 13- 3 308 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 6- 2 310 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 16- 5 311 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 18- 8 313 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 11-14 314 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 8- 7 315 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 21-12 318 A South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 16-11 320 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 1-11 321 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 2- 0 322 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 6- 7 324 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 5-10 327 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 3- 4 328 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 8- 5 329 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 7-13 331 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 17- 7 402 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 3- 6 403 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 8-10 404 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 9- 4 407 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 2- 2 410 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2- 5 411 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 10- 0 412 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 4- 6 414 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 7- 3 417 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 5- 8 418 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 5- 6 419 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 8- 5 421 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 14-10 424 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 13-10 425 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 11- 6 426 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 7- 5 428 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 6-10 430 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 8- 9 501 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 5- 6 502 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 5- 7 505 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 6-12 507 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 8-13 508 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 16- 9 509 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 8-10 512 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 14- 7 514 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 3- 7 515 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 12- 7 516 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 10- 5 519 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 8-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Michigan State 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.83
214 H Michigan State 4-13 -9 2 --- -10.83
215 H Michigan State 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.17
217 H Xavier 23-11 12 3 +++ 8.72
220 A Bryant 4- 3 1 5 - -3.79
221 A Michigan 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.69
222 H Auburn 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.00
225 H Eastern Kentucky 6- 5 1 6 -- -4.66
227 H Central Michigan 16- 2 14 5 +++ 9.46
228 H Central Michigan 9- 8 1 5 - -3.54
301 A Princeton 7- 8 -1 6 --- -6.97
303 A Liberty 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.38
306 A St. Thomas 16- 5 11 6 ++ 5.37
307 H Seton Hall 13- 3 10 6 + 3.58
308 H Seton Hall 6- 2 4 6 - -2.42
310 H Marshall 16- 5 11 3 +++ 7.59
311 H Marshall 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.59
313 H Notre Dame 11-14 -3 1 - -3.98
314 H Notre Dame 8- 7 1 1 0.02
315 H Notre Dame 21-12 9 1 +++ 8.02
318 A South Dakota State 16-11 5 5 0.12
320 A North Carolina 1-11 -10 -3 --- -6.73
321 H Michigan 2- 0 2 1 0.96
322 A North Carolina 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.27
324 A Western Kentucky 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.17
327 H Pittsburgh 3- 4 -1 1 -1.51
328 H Pittsburgh 8- 5 3 1 + 2.49
329 H Pittsburgh 7-13 -6 1 --- -6.51
331 A Eastern Kentucky 17- 7 10 4 ++ 5.69
402 A Duke 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.03
403 A Duke 8-10 -2 1 - -3.03
404 A Duke 9- 4 5 1 + 3.97
407 H Tarleton State 2- 2 0 2 - -2.05
410 A North Carolina 2- 5 -3 -3 0.27
411 H Stanford 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.68
412 H Stanford 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.32
414 H Western Kentucky 7- 3 4 3 1.48
417 A California 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.39
418 A California 5- 6 -1 0 -1.39
419 A California 8- 5 3 0 + 2.61
421 H Kentucky 14-10 4 1 + 3.04
424 H Clemson 13-10 3 1 1.77
425 H Clemson 11- 6 5 1 + 3.77
426 H Clemson 7- 5 2 1 0.77
428 H Indiana 6-10 -4 2 -- -5.82
430 A Wake Forest 8- 9 -1 -2 0.74
501 A Wake Forest 5- 6 -1 -2 0.74
502 A Wake Forest 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.26
505 A Vanderbilt 6-12 -6 -2 -- -4.40
507 A Miami of Florida 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.88
508 A Miami of Florida 16- 9 7 0 +++ 7.12
509 A Miami of Florida 8-10 -2 0 -1.88
512 H Bellarmine 14- 7 7 6 1.28
514 A Wake Forest 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.26
515 A Wake Forest 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.74
516 H Virginia 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.22
519 H Pittsburgh 8-16 -8 1 --- -8.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Michigan State 4-13 -9 2 --- -10.83 301 A Princeton 7- 8 -1 6 --- -6.97 320 A North Carolina 1-11 -10 -3 --- -6.73 324 A Western Kentucky 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.17 329 H Pittsburgh 7-13 -6 1 --- -6.51 519 H Pittsburgh 8-16 -8 1 --- -8.51 225 H Eastern Kentucky 6- 5 1 6 -- -4.66 402 A Duke 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.03 412 H Stanford 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.32 428 H Indiana 6-10 -4 2 -- -5.82 505 A Vanderbilt 6-12 -6 -2 -- -4.40 507 A Miami of Florida 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.88 213 H Michigan State 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.83 220 A Bryant 4- 3 1 5 - -3.79 221 A Michigan 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.69 222 H Auburn 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.00 228 H Central Michigan 9- 8 1 5 - -3.54 303 A Liberty 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.38 308 H Seton Hall 6- 2 4 6 - -2.42 313 H Notre Dame 11-14 -3 1 - -3.98 403 A Duke 8-10 -2 1 - -3.03 407 H Tarleton State 2- 2 0 2 - -2.05 417 A California 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.39 514 A Wake Forest 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Michigan State 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.17 217 H Xavier 23-11 12 3 +++ 8.72 227 H Central Michigan 16- 2 14 5 +++ 9.46 310 H Marshall 16- 5 11 3 +++ 7.59 311 H Marshall 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.59 315 H Notre Dame 21-12 9 1 +++ 8.02 411 H Stanford 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.68 508 A Miami of Florida 16- 9 7 0 +++ 7.12 515 A Wake Forest 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.74 306 A St. Thomas 16- 5 11 6 ++ 5.37 331 A Eastern Kentucky 17- 7 10 4 ++ 5.69 516 H Virginia 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.22 307 H Seton Hall 13- 3 10 6 + 3.58 322 A North Carolina 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.27 328 H Pittsburgh 8- 5 3 1 + 2.49 404 A Duke 9- 4 5 1 + 3.97 419 A California 8- 5 3 0 + 2.61 421 H Kentucky 14-10 4 1 + 3.04 425 H Clemson 11- 6 5 1 + 3.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 3- 4 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.51 -1.40
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 4-13 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.51 -1.40
3 H Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 9- 1 -4.86 13.57 -0.68 0.51 13.08
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 23-11 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.51 11.61
3 A Bryant ( 1- 7, 90.7) 4- 3 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.51 10.08
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 5- 8 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.51 -0.86
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 6-10 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.51 -0.43
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 6- 5 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.51 9.20
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 16- 2 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.51 10.34
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 9- 8 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.51 10.34
3 A Princeton ( 3- 9, 89.6) 7- 8 -10.34 8.08 0.68 0.51 -2.45
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 5- 8 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.51 -0.78
3 A St. Thomas ( 1- 8, 89.9) 16- 5 -10.01 8.42 0.68 0.51 9.23
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 13- 3 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.51 8.43
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 6- 2 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 0.51 8.43
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 16- 5 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 11.48
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 18- 8 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 11.48
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 11-14 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.51 -1.19
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 8- 7 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.51 13.95
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 21-12 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.51 13.95
3 A South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 16-11 -9.25 9.17 0.68 0.51 9.99
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 1-11 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 2- 0 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.51 13.89
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 6- 7 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 5-10 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.51 -1.24
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 3- 4 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.51 -1.07
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 8- 5 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.51 14.43
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 7-13 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.51 -1.07
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 17- 7 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.51 10.57
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 3- 6 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.51 -1.20
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 8-10 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.51 -1.20
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 9- 4 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.51 13.90
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 2- 2 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 0.51 0.00
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2- 5 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 10- 0 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.51 12.59
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.51 -1.53
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 7- 3 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.51 12.38
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 5- 8 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.51 -1.04
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 5- 6 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.51 -1.04
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 8- 5 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.51 14.55
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 14-10 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.51 13.97
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 13-10 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.51 13.69
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 11- 6 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.51 13.69
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 7- 5 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.51 13.69
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 6-10 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.51 -1.40
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 8- 9 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.51 -0.50
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 5- 6 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.51 -0.50
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 5- 7 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.51 -0.50
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 6-12 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.51 -0.53
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 8-13 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.51 -0.91
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 16- 9 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.51 15.07
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 8-10 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.51 -0.91
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 14- 7 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.51 9.14
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 3- 7 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.51 -0.50
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 12- 7 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.51 16.71
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 10- 5 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.51 14.16
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 8-16 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.51 -1.07
------
329.01
|
winning pts = 354.0328 losing points = -25.0182
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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