Marist
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 91.6791Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 5- 6 221 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 1-12 222 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 1- 8 227 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 4- 9 228 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 10-11 228 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 2- 8 301 H Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 1- 8 311 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 1- 3 325 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 10-15 414 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 10- 3 520 A Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 6 520 A Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 10- 8 521 A Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 7, 89.7) 13- 8 522 A Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 2- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
220 H NC State 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.03
221 A Vanderbilt 1-12 -11 -6 -- -4.88
222 A Vanderbilt 1- 8 -7 -6 -0.88
227 A Purdue 4- 9 -5 -5 0.34
228 A Purdue 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.34
228 A Purdue 2- 8 -6 -5 -0.66
301 H Gardner-Webb 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.12
311 A St. John's 1- 3 -2 -3 1.15
325 H St. John's 10-15 -5 -2 - -3.20
414 A Rutgers 10- 3 7 -3 +++ 9.89
520 A Fairfield 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.97
520 A Canisius 10- 8 2 1 1.26
521 A Merrimack 13- 8 5 1 + 3.66
522 A Niagara 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Gardner-Webb 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.12 221 A Vanderbilt 1-12 -11 -6 -- -4.88 522 A Niagara 2- 6 -4 2 -- -5.95 325 H St. John's 10-15 -5 -2 - -3.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Rutgers 10- 3 7 -3 +++ 9.89 228 A Purdue 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.34 220 H NC State 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.03 521 A Merrimack 13- 8 5 1 + 3.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 5- 6 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 2.07 -4.33
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 1-12 -2.78 15.65 0.68 2.07 -2.17
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 1- 8 -2.78 15.65 0.68 2.07 -2.17
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 4- 9 -3.56 14.87 0.68 2.07 -2.97
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 10-11 -3.56 14.87 0.68 2.07 -2.97
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 2- 8 -3.56 14.87 0.68 2.07 -2.97
3 H Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 1- 8 -7.67 10.76 -0.68 2.07 -8.62
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 1- 3 -5.75 12.68 0.68 2.07 -5.24
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 10-15 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 2.07 -6.64
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 10- 3 -6.01 12.42 0.68 2.07 54.11
3 A Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 3- 6 -6.87 11.56 0.68 2.07 -6.40
3 A Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 10- 8 -9.64 8.79 0.68 2.07 39.10
3 A Merrimack ( 2- 7, 89.7) 13- 8 -10.24 8.19 0.68 2.07 36.61
3 A Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 2- 6 -10.85 7.58 0.68 2.07 -10.51
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74.83
|
winning pts = 129.8185 losing points = -54.9854
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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