Massachusetts at Lo
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 90.5160Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 5- 9 307 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 18- 7 308 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 6- 4 309 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 2- 8 312 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 7- 6 313 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 7- 4 314 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 5- 4 314 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 8-13 325 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 0- 6 428 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 6- 7 502 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 1-11 503 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 4- 8 520 A Bryant AE ( 1- 7, 90.7) 7- 5 521 A Binghamton AE ( 3- 9, 91.4) 0- 3 521 A UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 0- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Pepperdine 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.73
307 A San Francisco 18- 7 11 -1 +++ 12.15
308 A San Francisco 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.15
309 A San Francisco 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.85
312 A Pepperdine 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.63
313 A Pepperdine 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.63
314 A Pepperdine 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.63
314 A Pepperdine 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.37
325 H Northeastern 0- 6 -6 -3 - -2.76
428 H Boston College 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.67
502 A Stony Brook 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.38
503 A Stony Brook 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.38
520 A Bryant 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.89
521 A Binghamton 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.47
521 A UMBC 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Stony Brook 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.38 521 A UMBC 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -6.79 309 A San Francisco 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.85 306 H Pepperdine 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.73 314 A Pepperdine 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.37 325 H Northeastern 0- 6 -6 -3 - -2.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A San Francisco 18- 7 11 -1 +++ 12.15 313 A Pepperdine 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.63 308 A San Francisco 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.15 312 A Pepperdine 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.63 314 A Pepperdine 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.63 428 H Boston College 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.67 520 A Bryant 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.89 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 5- 9 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 1.93 -8.78
0 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 18- 7 -8.91 9.51 0.68 1.93 39.29
0 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 6- 4 -8.91 9.51 0.68 1.93 39.29
0 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 2- 8 -8.91 9.51 0.68 1.93 -7.94
0 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 7- 6 -8.43 9.99 0.68 1.93 41.14
0 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 7- 4 -8.43 9.99 0.68 1.93 41.14
0 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 5- 4 -8.43 9.99 0.68 1.93 41.14
0 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 8-13 -8.43 9.99 0.68 1.93 -7.48
0 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 0- 6 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 1.93 -5.93
0 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 6- 7 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 1.93 -4.54
0 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 1-11 -7.44 10.99 0.68 1.93 -6.52
0 A Stony Brook (22-27, 92.5) 4- 8 -7.44 10.99 0.68 1.93 -6.52
0 A Bryant ( 1- 7, 90.7) 7- 5 -9.17 9.26 0.68 1.93 38.30
0 A Binghamton ( 3- 9, 91.4) 0- 3 -8.53 9.89 0.68 1.93 -7.57
0 A UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 0- 9 -7.85 10.58 0.68 1.93 -6.91
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178.11
|
winning pts = 240.3075 losing points = -62.2003
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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