Mercer
W-L: (13- 8) PR = 95.3453Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 4- 3 214 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 17- 5 214 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 3-19 218 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 8- 3 304 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 5- 6 310 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 16- 6 324 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 13- 9 327 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 5- 7 328 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2-19 329 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 1- 3 331 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 14- 4 407 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 12- 1 414 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 9-12 417 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 9- 1 418 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 6- 4 419 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 8- 6 429 A Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 10-13 506 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 10- 7 512 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 12- 9 521 H Wofford SO ( 5- 5, 94.5) 9- 8 522 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 4-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Troy 4- 3 1 0 1.20
214 H Troy 17- 5 12 0 +++ 12.20
214 H Troy 3-19 -16 0 --- -13.80
218 A Stetson 8- 3 5 2 + 3.09
304 H UL Monroe 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.41
310 A Georgia State 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.97
324 A West Georgia 13- 9 4 4 0.41
327 A Oregon State 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.39
328 A Oregon State 2-19 -17 -2 --- -12.39
329 A Oregon State 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.39
331 H Kennesaw State 14- 4 10 1 +++ 8.65
407 H West Georgia 12- 1 11 5 +++ 6.06
414 A Kennesaw State 9-12 -3 0 - -2.99
417 H Towson 9- 1 8 5 + 3.16
418 H Towson 6- 4 2 5 - -2.84
419 H Towson 8- 6 2 5 - -2.84
429 A Kent State 10-13 -3 0 - -2.53
506 A Georgia Southern 10- 7 3 3 0.24
512 A Georgia Tech 12- 9 3 -5 +++ 8.23
521 H Wofford 9- 8 1 2 -0.53
522 H The Citadel 4-14 -10 1 --- -11.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Troy 3-19 -16 0 --- -13.80 328 A Oregon State 2-19 -17 -2 --- -12.39 522 H The Citadel 4-14 -10 1 --- -11.08 304 H UL Monroe 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.41 414 A Kennesaw State 9-12 -3 0 - -2.99 418 H Towson 6- 4 2 5 - -2.84 419 H Towson 8- 6 2 5 - -2.84 429 A Kent State 10-13 -3 0 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Troy 17- 5 12 0 +++ 12.20 310 A Georgia State 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.97 331 H Kennesaw State 14- 4 10 1 +++ 8.65 407 H West Georgia 12- 1 11 5 +++ 6.06 512 A Georgia Tech 12- 9 3 -5 +++ 8.23 218 A Stetson 8- 3 5 2 + 3.09 417 H Towson 9- 1 8 5 + 3.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 1.38 38.77
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 17- 5 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 1.38 38.77
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 3-19 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 1.38 -3.00
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 8- 3 -7.14 11.29 0.68 1.38 32.96
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 1.38 -4.10
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 16- 6 -6.26 12.16 0.68 1.38 35.37
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 13- 9 -8.82 9.60 0.68 1.38 28.31
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 5- 7 -3.62 14.80 0.68 1.38 -2.03
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2-19 -3.62 14.80 0.68 1.38 -2.03
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 1- 3 -3.62 14.80 0.68 1.38 -2.03
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 14- 4 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 1.38 34.50
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 12- 1 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 1.38 24.59
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 9-12 -5.22 13.20 0.68 1.38 -3.13
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 9- 1 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 1.38 24.87
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 6- 4 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 1.38 24.87
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 8- 6 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 1.38 24.87
3 A Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 10-13 -4.77 13.66 0.68 1.38 -2.82
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 10- 7 -7.99 10.43 0.68 1.38 30.60
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 12- 9 -0.00 18.43 0.68 1.38 52.61
3 H Wofford ( 5- 5, 94.5) 9- 8 -5.41 13.01 -0.68 1.38 33.98
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 4-14 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 1.38 -3.88
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402.04
|
winning pts = 425.0573 losing points = -23.0180
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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