Merrimack
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 89.6590Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 0- 7 221 H Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 10-11 317 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 4- 2 325 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 2-12 410 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 10-11 411 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 2- 9 520 H Canisius MAAC ( 4- 7, 90.3) 7- 0 521 A Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 2- 8 521 H Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H NC State 0- 7 -7 -6 -0.95
221 H Seton Hall 10-11 -1 0 -0.87
317 H West Georgia 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.74
325 A Boston College 2-12 -10 -7 - -3.12
410 H Hofstra 10-11 -1 -2 1.13
411 A Northeastern 2- 9 -7 -5 -1.56
520 H Canisius 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.93
521 A Rider 2- 8 -6 -5 -0.64
521 H Marist 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Boston College 2-12 -10 -7 - -3.12 521 H Marist 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Canisius 7- 0 7 0 +++ 6.93 317 H West Georgia 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 0- 7 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 3.21 -6.74
3 H Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 10-11 -9.44 8.99 -0.68 3.21 -16.25
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 4- 2 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 3.21 57.38
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 2-12 -4.04 14.39 0.68 3.21 -5.40
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 10-11 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 3.21 -13.04
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 2- 9 -5.47 12.95 0.68 3.21 -7.71
3 H Canisius ( 4- 7, 90.3) 7- 0 -9.64 8.79 -0.68 3.21 52.14
3 A Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 2- 8 -5.56 12.87 0.68 3.21 -7.84
3 H Marist ( 3-11, 91.7) 8-13 -8.22 10.21 -0.68 3.21 -14.29
------
38.25
|
winning pts = 109.5222 losing points = -71.2709
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------