Miami
W-L: (22-13) PR = 96.4444Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Lehigh PAT ( 1- 3, 88.9) 13- 2 214 H Lehigh PAT ( 1- 3, 88.9) 17-11 215 H Lehigh PAT ( 1- 3, 88.9) 27- 3 217 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 8-13 218 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 6- 5 220 A Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 15- 1 221 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 14- 4 221 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 14- 3 222 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 30- 5 225 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 11- 7 227 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 2- 7 228 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 4- 8 301 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 1-17 304 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5- 9 306 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 7- 4 307 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5- 3 308 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5- 9 311 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 9- 5 313 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 0- 4 314 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 9- 0 315 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 10-20 318 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 10-10 320 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 9- 4 321 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 11- 7 322 H Creighton BE (32-25, 94.4) 15- 5 324 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 10- 6 326 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 8- 3 327 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 6- 7 328 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 8- 6 331 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 11-14 408 A Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 7- 2 414 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 5- 3 421 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 12-10 428 H Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 7-10 521 H Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 5- 6 522 H Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Lehigh 13- 2 11 8 + 2.80
214 H Lehigh 17-11 6 8 - -2.20
215 H Lehigh 27- 3 24 8 ++ 5.80
217 A Florida State 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.78
218 A Minnesota 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.57
220 A Portland 15- 1 14 3 +++ 11.50
221 H Lafayette 14- 4 10 7 + 2.52
221 H Lafayette 14- 3 11 7 + 3.52
222 H Lafayette 30- 5 25 7 +++ 6.52
225 A Florida Atlantic 11- 7 4 2 1.98
227 H Florida 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.85
228 H Florida 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.85
301 H Florida 1-17 -16 -1 --- -12.85
304 A Boston College 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.91
306 A Lipscomb 7- 4 3 4 -0.52
307 H Boston College 5- 3 2 1 0.74
308 H Boston College 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.26
311 A UCF 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.23
313 A Duke 0- 4 -4 1 -- -5.27
314 A Duke 9- 0 9 1 +++ 7.73
315 A Duke 10-20 -10 1 --- -11.27
318 H Kansas 10-10 0 0 0.02
320 H Creighton 9- 4 5 3 + 2.30
321 A West Georgia 11- 7 4 5 -0.69
322 H Creighton 15- 5 10 3 +++ 7.30
324 H Florida Atlantic 10- 6 4 3 0.63
326 A Clemson 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.87
327 A Clemson 6- 7 -1 0 -1.13
328 A Clemson 8- 6 2 0 1.87
331 A Kentucky 11-14 -3 0 - -2.85
408 A Youngstown State 7- 2 5 4 1.36
414 A Purdue 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.58
421 H Michigan 12-10 2 1 0.71
428 H Xavier 7-10 -3 4 --- -6.53
521 H Northern Illinois 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.58
522 H Kent State 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.99
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Florida 1-17 -16 -1 --- -12.85 315 A Duke 10-20 -10 1 --- -11.27 428 H Xavier 7-10 -3 4 --- -6.53 308 H Boston College 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.26 313 A Duke 0- 4 -4 1 -- -5.27 521 H Northern Illinois 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.58 214 H Lehigh 17-11 6 8 - -2.20 217 A Florida State 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.78 227 H Florida 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.85 228 H Florida 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.85 304 A Boston College 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.91 331 A Kentucky 11-14 -3 0 - -2.85 522 H Kent State 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Portland 15- 1 14 3 +++ 11.50 222 H Lafayette 30- 5 25 7 +++ 6.52 314 A Duke 9- 0 9 1 +++ 7.73 322 H Creighton 15- 5 10 3 +++ 7.30 215 H Lehigh 27- 3 24 8 ++ 5.80 311 A UCF 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.23 326 A Clemson 8- 3 5 0 ++ 4.87 213 H Lehigh 13- 2 11 8 + 2.80 218 A Minnesota 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.57 221 H Lafayette 14- 4 10 7 + 2.52 221 H Lafayette 14- 3 11 7 + 3.52 320 H Creighton 9- 4 5 3 + 2.30 414 A Purdue 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.58 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Lehigh ( 1- 3, 88.9) 13- 2 -10.98 7.44 -0.68 0.80 10.88
3 H Lehigh ( 1- 3, 88.9) 17-11 -10.98 7.44 -0.68 0.80 10.88
3 H Lehigh ( 1- 3, 88.9) 27- 3 -10.98 7.44 -0.68 0.80 10.88
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 8-13 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.80 -0.90
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 6- 5 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.80 26.58
3 A Portland (24-27, 93.3) 15- 1 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.80 20.04
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 14- 4 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.80 12.03
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 14- 3 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.80 12.03
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 30- 5 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.80 12.03
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 11- 7 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.80 20.81
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 2- 7 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.80 -0.93
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 4- 8 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.80 -0.93
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 1-17 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.80 -0.93
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5- 9 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.80 -1.35
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 7- 4 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.80 18.39
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5- 3 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.80 22.03
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5- 9 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.80 -1.89
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 9- 5 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.80 24.42
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 0- 4 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.80 -1.90
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 9- 0 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.80 22.01
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 10-20 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.80 -1.90
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 10-10 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.80 0.00
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 9- 4 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.80 19.71
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 11- 7 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.80 16.52
3 H Creighton (32-25, 94.4) 15- 5 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.80 19.71
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 10- 6 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.80 18.64
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 8- 3 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.80 23.85
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 6- 7 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.80 -1.44
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 8- 6 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.80 23.85
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 11-14 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.80 -1.33
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 7- 2 -7.77 10.66 0.68 0.80 18.21
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 5- 3 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.80 24.98
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 12-10 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.80 21.99
3 H Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 7-10 -6.31 12.12 -0.68 0.80 -2.81
3 H Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 5- 6 -6.36 12.07 -0.68 0.80 -2.83
3 H Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 1- 3 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.80 -2.19
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389.15
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winning pts = 410.4543 losing points = -21.3088
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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